Stoke vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Championship Predictions
Prepare for intense mid-table action in the Championship as 10th-place Stoke welcomes 15th-placed Southampton in Round 30. Only five points separate the pair, and both will be looking to rack up as many as they can to book a promotion playoffs spot by the season's end. Let's get into this match prediction.
Things have taken a downturn for The Potters after failing to win any of their last three games following back-to-back victories over Hull and Norwich. They effectively missed a golden opportunity to enter the promotion playoffs zone, which is still just two points within Stoke’s reach.
The problem is Stoke’s next test comes against an equally matched Southampton, who are even more desperate to win. The Saints, who won six in seven games sometime between November and December, have now slumped severely, winning only one of their nine games following that run.
Southampton beat Sheffield United but couldn't maintain momentum and fell to another draw against Portsmouth in its latest game. For the Saints, who are now just eight points clear of the relegation zone, winning this game isn't even an option. But to do so, they must tactically outclass an opponent that's already gotten the better of them this season in their home.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Stoke v Southampton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.35 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.73 | 3.28 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.73 | 3.28 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.72 | 3.35 | 2.52 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs Southampton match is: Both Teams To Score - Yes.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/01/2026 between Stoke and Southampton in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.89% for a win of Stoke against Southampton with odds of 2.8 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Southampton is 28.95% with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Stoke with odds of 2.6 at Shangrila.
Stoke - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stoke Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 42.89% | 2.8 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.69% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Stoke | 25.28% | 6.75 at LSbet |
Stoke vs Southampton Form
Stoke and Southampton's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 |
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
Stoke and Southampton Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Championship
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
Stoke vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
3 Oct 2023 - Championship
30 Sept 2017 - Premier League
21 May 2017 - Premier League
Stoke against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Fielding
DefenderA. Cresswell
B. Gibson
B. Wilmot
T. Seko
R. Curley
W. Smith
B. Pearson
F. Fawunmi
A. McCarthy
DefenderE. Jelert
J. Quarshie
N. Wood
MidfielderS. Charles
K. Matsuki
R. Manning
J. Robinson
N. Oyekunle
Missing players
V. Johansson
M. Roerslev
Most goals and assists
Stoke
Southampton
S. Thomas
(10 Goals)
F. Azaz
(11 Goals)
, 
A. Armstrong
(11 Goals)
S. Thomas
(11 Assists)
L. Scienza
(9 Assists)
Stoke - Southampton Key Points
- Southampton has scored the sixth-most goals this season (41).
- Southampton has also conceded the seventh-most goals this season (41).
- Both teams scored in their meeting earlier this season.
- Incredibly, both teams have scored in 14 of Southampton’s 15 away games this season.
- Both teams have scored in Stoke’s last two games, and also in four of their last six home games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Stoke vs Southampton Prediction
Yes, Stoke boasts the tightest defence this season, with the fewest goals conceded. However, their opponents determine the outcomes just as much as The Potters do. They face the Saints, who top the charts for most goals scored and conceded this season. And that was the case in the first meeting, which ended 2-1.
For Southampton, it seems the defensive problems that have plagued them all season remain, especially away. And that's why a whopping 14 of their 15 away games this season have featured both teams scoring. Hence, our Stoke vs Southampton prediction is Both Teams To Score - Yes.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke Southampton
| Stoke vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 2.9 | 2.8 | -3.4% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.45 | +6.2% |
| Southampton wins | 2.4 | 2.6 | +8.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stoke is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.5% and is now 35.7% (1.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
