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Stoke vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Stoke
13/09/2025 15:00
Birmingham

Prediction :

 

Both Teams To Score

1.83
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga in Championship Predictions

It’s anybody’s game on Saturday as Stoke take on the Birmingham challenge in a match that would be fun for everyone but the 22 men. Both teams have started sharply and have mostly mirrored each other’s form in the Championship so far. So, what’s the value bet here? Let’s find out in this Stoke vs Birmingham match prediction.

Going against the books in terms of what the odds indicate, we’re taking the Both Teams To Score bet. After all, both of their games last season saw both teams netting, and this is true in four of their last five games (all of which have ended with over 2.5 goals). So why are betting sites leaning towards fewer goals?

It’s because both teams have failed to score in four of Stoke’s last five, and the same goes for Birmingham’s last three games. But that might be good for us, as these odds may have been reasonably underpriced, especially when you consider that both teams have scored in their last four meetings at Stoke’s home.

What’s more, both The Potters and The Blues are eager to bounce back after losing their last league games before the international break. Stoke took a 1-0 defeat in their backyard to West Brom, while Birmingham travelled back from Leicester with 2 goals to none.

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The Best Betting Odds for Stoke v Birmingham Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.1 3.25 2.25
Betfred
3.1 3.2 2.4
William Hill
3 3.1 2.3
Betway
3 3.2 2.3
Unibet
3.15 3.15 2.32
Check all Stoke vs Birmingham odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Birmingham?

Our prediction for the Stoke vs Birmingham match is: Both Teams To Score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/09/2025 between Stoke and Birmingham in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.83% for a win of Stoke against Birmingham with odds of 3.15 at Unibet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Birmingham is 15.8% with odds of 3.4 at Bwin.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Stoke with odds of 2.4 at Betfred.

Stoke vs Birmingham Form

Stoke and Birmingham's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Stoke
Stoke
9 4 3 0 1 5
10
Birmingham
Birmingham
7 4 2 1 1 0

Stoke and Birmingham Last Matches

Stoke
Stoke Last matches
W D W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  1
West Brom

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Stoke
0 :  3
Bradford City FC

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Stoke

16 Aug 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  3
Stoke

12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Stoke
0 :  0
Walsall

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  1
Derby County
D W W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  1
West Brom

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Stoke
0 :  3
Bradford City FC

12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Stoke
0 :  0
Walsall

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  1
Derby County

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  0
Burnley

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  1
Wolves
L D L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Stoke

16 Aug 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  3
Stoke

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Crewe Alexandra
1 :  2
Stoke

16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  1
Stoke

3 May 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  0
Stoke

21 Apr 2025 - Championship

Leeds
6 :  0
Stoke
Birmingham
Birmingham Last matches
D W W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2025 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  0
Birmingham

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Birmingham
0 :  1
Port Vale

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  0
Oxford United

16 Aug 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  2
Birmingham

13 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Birmingham
2 :  1
Sheffield United

8 Aug 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Ipswich Town
W W D W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Birmingham
0 :  1
Port Vale

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  0
Oxford United

13 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Birmingham
2 :  1
Sheffield United

8 Aug 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Ipswich Town

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Birmingham
1 :  0
Nottingham Forest

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Birmingham
1 :  0
Solihull Moors
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2025 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  0
Birmingham

16 Aug 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  2
Birmingham

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Northampton Town
3 :  0
Birmingham

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Port Vale
0 :  2
Birmingham

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Burton Albion
1 :  0
Birmingham

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Crewe Alexandra
4 :  0
Birmingham

Stoke vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stoke

50 %

Draw

0 %

Birmingham

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (home team)
1.5
Goals scored (away team)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

20 Jan 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Birmingham

26 Dec 2023 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  3
Stoke
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Stoke vs Birmingham last Lineups

Stoke

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
V. Johansson
22
J. Tchamadeu
18
B. Lawal
16
B. Wilmot
3
A. Cresswell
12
T. Seko
8
L. Baker
42
M. Manhoef
10
B. Joon-ho
7
S. Thomas
9
D. Mubama
9
K. Furuhashi
30
L. Koumas
10
D. Gray
24
T. Iwata
8
S. Paik
18
W. Willumsson
2
E. Laird
4
C. Klarer
5
P. Neumann
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
21
R. Allsop

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Birmingham

Missing players

Stoke
Stoke
Forward

S. Gallagher

Birmingham
Birmingham
Midfielder

S. Wright

Forward

J. Stansfield

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Stoke
CD Huachipato Birmingham
Top Goalscorer
England L. Baker (2 Goals)
Wales S. Thomas (2 Goals)
England D. Mubama (2 Goals)
Netherlands M. Manhoef (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Stansfield (3 Goals)
Best assists
Wales S. Thomas (2 Assists)
Best assists
Jamaica D. Gray (1 Assists)
England E. Laird (1 Assists)

Stoke - Birmingham Key Points

  1. Both teams scored in their two meetings last season.
  2. In their last four H2Hs, both teams have scored in four.
  3. At Stoke’s home in this H2H, both teams have scored in the last four.
  4. Out of each of their four championship games this season, both teams have scored in two of their four games.
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Our Stoke vs Birmingham Prediction

It’s a classic case of mispriced odds, and we think taking the BTTS bet offers good value. The bookmakers have underestimated the number of goals that could be scored in this game despite their recent H2H history of both teams netting and Stoke’s streak of games that finished with over 2.5 goals.

With The Potters and The Blues eager to bounce back after their recent league setbacks, we expect to see the kind of open attacking play that’ll see the ball rolling out the back of both nets. Hence, our Stoke vs Birmingham prediction is Both Teams To Score.

Prediction :

 

Both Teams To Score

1.83
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Stoke vs Birmingham Prediction
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