France - Top 14
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions
A top-of-the-table clash in Top 14 round nine fixture will see table-toppers Stade Toulousain host second-placed Stade Francais on Saturday. Can the defending champions overcome Stade Francais to strengthen their bid for a top-spot finish? Check out our prediction for the match below.
After a narrow defeat to third-placed Section Paloise, Stade Toulousain roared back to victory over the weekend by thrashing RC Toulon 59-24. Juan Cruz Mallía’s hat-trick of tries and Blair Kinghorn’s set-piece heroics paved the way for the blowout victory for the Red and Blacks.
Notably, Ugo Mola’s side have struggled with an erratic cycle of wins and losses in their last six matches but have been formidable opponents at home. They have won each of their four Top 14 home games this season by 18 points or more.
After a five-point defeat to Castres Olympique, Stade Francais bounced back in their last outing, thrashing Montpellier HR 35-12 at home. They outscored the visitors by 21 unanswered points in the first half and sealed the victory with a two-point lead in the second half.
However, the Castres-based club stands virtually no chance in Saturday’s clash. They are grappling with a harrowing away record, losing 21 of their last 22 games on the road. They also lost their last two away visits to Stade Toulousain by 15 points or more.
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The Best Betting Odds for Stade Toulousain v Stade Francais Paris Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.14 | 34 | 5.5 |
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1.06 | 51 | 7 |
|
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1.18 | 26 | 5.25 |
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1.17 | 34 | 5 |
|
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1.18 | 31 | 4.75 |
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Stade Toulousain vs Stade Francais Paris Form
Stade Toulousain and Stade Francais Paris's standings in the Top 14
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 117 |
|
4
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 40 |
Stade Toulousain and Stade Francais Paris Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
26 Oct 2025 - Top 14
18 Oct 2025 - Top 14
12 Oct 2025 - Top 14
5 Oct 2025 - Top 14
27 Sept 2025 - Top 14
20 Sept 2025 - Top 14
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
26 Oct 2025 - Top 14
12 Oct 2025 - Top 14
27 Sept 2025 - Top 14
13 Sept 2025 - Top 14
28 Jun 2025 - Top 14
20 Jun 2025 - Top 14
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
18 Oct 2025 - Top 14
5 Oct 2025 - Top 14
20 Sept 2025 - Top 14
7 Sept 2025 - Top 14
7 Jun 2025 - Top 14
10 May 2025 - Top 14
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Oct 2025 - Top 14
18 Oct 2025 - Top 14
11 Oct 2025 - Top 14
4 Oct 2025 - Top 14
27 Sept 2025 - Top 14
20 Sept 2025 - Top 14
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
25 Oct 2025 - Top 14
11 Oct 2025 - Top 14
27 Sept 2025 - Top 14
6 Sept 2025 - Top 14
7 Jun 2025 - Top 14
17 May 2025 - Top 14
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
18 Oct 2025 - Top 14
4 Oct 2025 - Top 14
20 Sept 2025 - Top 14
13 Sept 2025 - Top 14
31 May 2025 - Top 14
10 May 2025 - Top 14
Stade Toulousain vs Stade Francais Paris Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
20 Apr 2025 - Top 14
29 Dec 2024 - Top 14
12 May 2024 - Top 14
3 Dec 2023 - Top 14
22 Apr 2023 - Top 14
5 Nov 2022 - Top 14
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Stade Toulousain - Stade Francais Paris Key Points
- Stade Toulousain have won their last six home matches dating back to last season.
- Stade Toulousain have won each of their four Top 14 home fixtures this season by 18 points or more.
- Stade Francais have lost 21 of their last 22 away matches.
- Stade Francais have lost their last two away matches against Stade Toulousain by 15 points or more.
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Our Stade Toulousain vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction
The battle for the top-spot finish in the regular season may likely be decided in this match with both teams level on points at the summit. Stade Francais have improved in their last five games, but are still haunted by their poor away record.
They are not likely to pose a significant challenge to Stade Toulousain, who have been terrific at home. Ugo Mola's men have swept their four home matches this season by 18 points or more. Hence, our Stade Toulousain vs Stade Francais prediction is Stade Toulousain -12.5 handicap points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
