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Stade Toulousain vs Castres Olympique Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
27/09/2025 14:00
Castres Olympique

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain -25.5 handicap points

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

Stade Toulousain will eye a comeback when they host Castres Olympique in this Top 14 matchday four fixture on Saturday. The Toulouse-based giants crashed to a heavy defeat last weekend. Can they return to winning ways against Xavier Sadourny's side? Here is our prediction for the match.

Stade Toulousain's promising start to the season ended in their last match. The defending champions lost both halves away to Montpellier, collapsing to heavy 44-14 defeat at the GGL Stadium.

This result broke the Red and Blacks' four-match unbeaten run in the French top flight. However, they boast an impressive 15-0-1 record in their last 16 home games. Ugo Mola's men have also won their last four home fixtures against Castres Olympique, three of which by 27 points or more. 

Castres Olympique got off to a rocky start to their 2025-26 Top 14 campaign. They lost their opening two fixtures in the French elite division before recently securing their first win against Bayonne last week. Xavier Sadourny's men swept both halves impressively against the Rowing Club, easing to a dominant 48-17 victory.

However, the Castres-based outfit have endured a worrying losing streak on the road lately. They have lost their last six away fixtures, mostly by double-digit margins.

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The Best Betting Odds for Stade Toulousain v Castres Olympique Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.03 51 11
William Hill
1.02 41 12
Betway
1.03 21 13
Ladbrokes
1.04 51 10
Unibet
1.04 51 11
Check all Stade Toulousain vs Castres Olympique odds
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Stade Toulousain vs Castres Olympique Form

Stade Toulousain and Castres Olympique's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
9 3 2 0 1 -2
8
Castres Olympique
Castres Olympique
6 3 1 0 2 25

Stade Toulousain and Castres Olympique Last Matches

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain Last matches
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

20 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
44 :  14
Stade Toulousain

13 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
31 :  13
USA Perpignan

7 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
24 :  34
Stade Toulousain

28 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
39 :  33
Union Bordeaux Begles

20 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
32 :  25
Aviron Bayonne

7 Jun 2025 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
42 :  35
Stade Toulousain
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

13 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
31 :  13
USA Perpignan

28 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
39 :  33
Union Bordeaux Begles

20 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
32 :  25
Aviron Bayonne

1 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
43 :  3
Lyon Ou

17 May 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
35 :  37
Racing 92

26 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
52 :  6
Castres Olympique
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

20 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
44 :  14
Stade Toulousain

7 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
24 :  34
Stade Toulousain

7 Jun 2025 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
42 :  35
Stade Toulousain

10 May 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
16 :  50
Stade Toulousain

4 May 2025 - Champions Cup

Union Bordeaux Begles
35 :  18
Stade Toulousain

20 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
21 :  27
Stade Toulousain
Castres Olympique
Castres Olympique Last matches
W L L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

20 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
48 :  17
Aviron Bayonne

13 Sep 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
16 :  12
Castres Olympique

6 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
15 :  17
Section Paloise

14 Jun 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
52 :  23
Castres Olympique

7 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
21 :  10
Castres Olympique

31 May 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
33 :  3
Aviron Bayonne
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

20 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
48 :  17
Aviron Bayonne

6 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
15 :  17
Section Paloise

31 May 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
33 :  3
Aviron Bayonne

24 May 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
34 :  29
Clermont

19 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
32 :  13
Rugby Club Vannes

5 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

Castres Olympique
39 :  37
Benetton Treviso
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

13 Sep 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
16 :  12
Castres Olympique

14 Jun 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
52 :  23
Castres Olympique

7 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
21 :  10
Castres Olympique

17 May 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
34 :  29
Castres Olympique

26 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
52 :  6
Castres Olympique

12 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

Northampton Saints
51 :  16
Castres Olympique

Stade Toulousain vs Castres Olympique Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stade Toulousain

50 %

Draw

0 %

Castres Olympique

50 %

26 Apr 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
52 :  6
Castres Olympique

5 Oct 2024 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
28 :  23
Stade Toulousain

2 Mar 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
33 :  6
Castres Olympique

18 Nov 2023 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
31 :  23
Stade Toulousain

25 Mar 2023 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
27 :  17
Stade Toulousain

23 Dec 2022 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
22 :  18
Castres Olympique

Stade Toulousain - Castres Olympique Key Points

  1. Stade Toulousain boast an impressive 15-0-1 record in their last 16 home matches.
  2. Stade Toulousain have won their last four home fixtures against Castres Olympique, three of which by 27 points or more.
  3. Castres Olympique have lost four of their last five matches.
  4. Castres Olympique have lost their last five away matches, mostly by wide margins.
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Our Stade Toulousain vs Castres Olympique Prediction

Stade Toulousain remain favorites to retain the French championship despite last week's setback. The Red and Blacks notably boasted an impressive home record, winning 15 of their last 16 home matches. They have also won their last four home games against Castres Olympique, three of which by 27 points or more. 

Meanwhile, Castres Olympique have endured an ugly-looking losing streak on the road. Given these indicators, we are tipping Stade Toulousain to win by a wide margin. Our Stade Toulousain vs Castres Olympique prediction is Stade Toulousain -25.5 handicap points.

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain -25.5 handicap points

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Stade Toulousain vs Castres Olympique Prediction
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