France - Top 14
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by Steve Ashfield | in Rugby Predictions
Stade Toulousain are the Top 14 league leaders with a five-point lead over Bordeaux Begles. This weekend sees them at home to Castres who are fifth in the table. Can Le Stade get another home victory? Here's our match prediction.
The home side have won their last two league games, most recently securing a 27-21 win away at Stade Francais Paris. They have been in excellent form at home in this season's Top 14. Nine of their ten home league games have been won, the other a loss to Bordeaux last September.
That win in Paris last weekend was their fourth in a row in all competitions. 159 points have been scored by them in their last three home league matches.
Castres Olympique are in fifth place and nine points above seventh place with the top six going into the play-offs. They are unbeaten in their last three Top 14 fixtures. After a draw at Stade Rochelais, they have beaten RC Toulon and Vannes, both at home.
On their travels, they have only won one of their ten league matches and two of their last three have been drawn. 297 points have been conceded in their ten away league fixtures. We tip Stade Toulousain to win on a -16.5 points handicap.
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The Best Betting Odds for Stade Toulousain v Castres Olympique Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.07 | 41 | 8 |
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1.07 | 41 | 8 |
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1.04 | 35 | 8.5 |
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1.05 | 36 | 11 |
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1.05 | 36 | 11 |
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Stade Toulousain vs Castres Olympique Form
Stade Toulousain and Castres Olympique's standings in the Top 14
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
79 | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 364 |
|
5
|
53 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | -51 |
Stade Toulousain and Castres Olympique Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
20 Apr 2025 - Top 14
13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
6 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
23 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1 Mar 2025 - Top 14
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1 Mar 2025 - Top 14
22 Feb 2025 - Top 14
25 Jan 2025 - Top 14
19 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
20 Apr 2025 - Top 14
13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
23 Mar 2025 - Top 14
16 Feb 2025 - Top 14
11 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Top 14
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
19 Apr 2025 - Top 14
12 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
5 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
22 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1 Mar 2025 - Top 14
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
19 Apr 2025 - Top 14
5 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
22 Feb 2025 - Top 14
11 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Top 14
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
12 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
22 Mar 2025 - Top 14
1 Mar 2025 - Top 14
15 Feb 2025 - Top 14
25 Jan 2025 - Top 14
19 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup
Stade Toulousain vs Castres Olympique Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
5 Oct 2024 - Top 14
2 Mar 2024 - Top 14
18 Nov 2023 - Top 14
25 Mar 2023 - Top 14
23 Dec 2022 - Top 14
17 Jun 2022 - Top 14
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Substitutes
Stade Toulousain - Castres Olympique Key Points
- Castres have only won one away league game in this season's Top 14.
- Stade Toulousain have won nine of their ten home league games this season.
- Stade Toulousain have scored 159 points in their last three home games.
- This season has seen Castres concede 297 points in ten away league fixtures.
- Stade Toulousain have a +269 points difference in their ten home league matches with 417 points scored.
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Our Stade Toulousain vs Castres Olympique Prediction
Stade Toulousain have scored more home points than any other club in this season's Top 14. It's not all about attack though as the league leaders have conceded fewer home points than any other club. The last three at home have seen them score 159 points.
Castres look like making it into the play-offs but that's due to their ten home wins. Only one match has been won on the road and our Stade Toulousain v Castres Olympique prediction is Stade Toulousain to win on a -16.5 points handicap.
Prediction :
Stade Toulousain to win on a -16.5 points handicap
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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