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Stade Toulousain vs Union Bordeaux Begles Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
12/10/2025 15:05
Union Bordeaux Begles

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain -16.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

In a rematch of last season's final, eighth-placed Stade Toulousain tackle ninth-ranked Bordeaux Begles in this Top 14 matchday six fixture on Sunday. Can the defending champions overcome Les Girondins to relaunch themselves into the title race? Here is our prediction for the match. 

After winning their two opening Top 14 matches, Stade Toulousain have struggled for results lately. They have lost two of their last three league matches, including a 40-26 away defeat to Aviron Bayonne in their last outing. 

The defeat to Bayonne has seen the defending champions fall five points behind the playoff spots. However, the Red and Blacks have won their last four home league matches (excluding last season's final against Bordeaux Begles). They have also won 11 of their last 13 home matches against Bordeaux Begles. 

Bordeaux Begles have been trapped in a win-loss cycle since the start of the season. They defeated Lyon 32-20 at home in their most recent fixture, but have lost two of their last four matches. 

The Girondins have also struggled with a run of dismal results on the road. They have lost both of their away matches this season, and are on a four-match away losing streak in the league back to the previous campaign (excluding last season's final versus Stade Toulousain).

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The Best Betting Odds for Stade Toulousain v Union Bordeaux Begles Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.08 34 7.5
William Hill
1.1 29 6.5
Betway
1.1 21 8
Ladbrokes
1.11 34 6.5
Unibet
1.09 41 7.5
Check all Stade Toulousain vs Union Bordeaux Begles odds
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Stade Toulousain vs Union Bordeaux Begles Form

Stade Toulousain and Union Bordeaux Begles's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7
Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
14 5 3 0 2 31
9
Union Bordeaux Begles
Union Bordeaux Begles
14 5 3 0 2 31

Stade Toulousain and Union Bordeaux Begles Last Matches

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain Last matches
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

5 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
40 :  26
Stade Toulousain

27 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
59 :  12
Castres Olympique

20 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
44 :  14
Stade Toulousain

13 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
31 :  13
USA Perpignan

7 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
24 :  34
Stade Toulousain

28 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
39 :  33
Union Bordeaux Begles
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

27 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
59 :  12
Castres Olympique

13 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
31 :  13
USA Perpignan

28 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
39 :  33
Union Bordeaux Begles

20 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
32 :  25
Aviron Bayonne

1 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
43 :  3
Lyon Ou

17 May 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
35 :  37
Racing 92
L W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

5 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
40 :  26
Stade Toulousain

20 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
44 :  14
Stade Toulousain

7 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
24 :  34
Stade Toulousain

7 Jun 2025 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
42 :  35
Stade Toulousain

10 May 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
16 :  50
Stade Toulousain

4 May 2025 - Champions Cup

Union Bordeaux Begles
35 :  18
Stade Toulousain
Union Bordeaux Begles
Union Bordeaux Begles Last matches
L W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

4 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
32 :  20
Lyon Ou

27 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
28 :  7
Union Bordeaux Begles

20 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
71 :  24
US Montalbanaise

14 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Racing 92
44 :  32
Union Bordeaux Begles

6 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
23 :  18
Stade Rochelais

28 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
39 :  33
Union Bordeaux Begles
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

4 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
32 :  20
Lyon Ou

20 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
71 :  24
US Montalbanaise

6 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
23 :  18
Stade Rochelais

21 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
39 :  24
RC Toulonnais

7 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
59 :  28
Rugby Club Vannes

17 May 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
34 :  29
Castres Olympique
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

27 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
28 :  7
Union Bordeaux Begles

14 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Racing 92
44 :  32
Union Bordeaux Begles

28 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
39 :  33
Union Bordeaux Begles

1 Jun 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
27 :  10
Union Bordeaux Begles

24 May 2025 - Champions Cup

Northampton Saints
20 :  28
Union Bordeaux Begles

11 May 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
46 :  27
Union Bordeaux Begles

Stade Toulousain vs Union Bordeaux Begles Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stade Toulousain

33 %

Draw

0 %

Union Bordeaux Begles

67 %

28 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
39 :  33
Union Bordeaux Begles

4 May 2025 - Champions Cup

Union Bordeaux Begles
35 :  18
Stade Toulousain

23 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
32 :  24
Stade Toulousain

29 Sep 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
12 :  16
Union Bordeaux Begles

28 Jun 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
59 :  3
Union Bordeaux Begles

24 Mar 2024 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
31 :  28
Stade Toulousain

Stade Toulousain - Union Bordeaux Begles Key Points

  1. Stade Toulousain have won three of their five Top 14 matches this season by double-digit margins.
  2. Stade Toulousain have won both of their home league matches this season by a margin of 32.5 points.
  3. Bordeaux Begles' defeats this season have been by an average margin of 16.5 points.
  4. Bordeaux Begles have lost 11 of their last 13 away matches against Stade Toulousain.
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Our Stade Toulousain vs Union Bordeaux Begles Prediction

Stade Toulousain have stumbled in their bid to retain the Top 14 crown following last weekend's result. They will desperately need a win to bounce back and relaunch themselves into the title race. The defending champions have dominated their last 13 home matches against Bordeaux Begles and will look to build on this impressive record. 

Ugo Mola's side have also won their two matches this season by wide double-digit margins. Meanwhile, Bordeaux Begles have struggled on the road dating back to last season. Our Stade Toulousain vs Bordeaux Begles prediction: Stade Toulousain -16.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain -16.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Stade Toulousain vs Union Bordeaux Begles Prediction
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