St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
A relegation six-pointer battle is set to be played out on the final matchday of the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign with St Pauli and Wolfsburg fighting to avoid direct relegation on Saturday in Hamburg. This match between the 18th-placed ‘Neighbourhood Kickers’ and the 16th-placed Wolves is likely to be a tense affair testing both defensive units, and our prediction is BTTS.
Both teams have 26 points (W6, D8, L19) and are tied for points in the bottom three along with Heidenheim. The winner from this game is likely to move up to 16th and qualify for the relegation play-offs.
St Pauli lost 2-1 away at Leipzig to be dragged down the table to the bottom spot. They have now lost six of their last eight league games (D2), including three defeats in a row.
Home form isn’t any great, as they lost three of their last four Bundesliga home games (D1).
Wolfsburg couldn’t move away from the other two teams in the relegation zone after losing 1-0 at home against Bayern Munich last weekend. That said, it was their first defeat in four matches (W1, D2) as they look to avoid direct relegation.
The Wolves have been stubborn on the road, though, as they avoided defeat in four of their last six away league outings (W1, D3, L2).
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St. Pauli v Wolfsburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.65 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.71 | 3.58 | 2.47 |
|
|
2.71 | 3.58 | 2.47 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.55 | 2.48 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between St. Pauli and Wolfsburg?
Our prediction for the St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/05/2026 between St. Pauli and Wolfsburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.58% for a win of St. Pauli against Wolfsburg with odds of 2.81 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg is 40.45% with odds of 3.72 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli with odds of 2.56 at 888Starz.
St. Pauli - Wolfsburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| St. Pauli Wolfsburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 40.45% | 3.72 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.32% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 70.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 19.53% | 6 at Bet365 |
St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg Form
St. Pauli and Wolfsburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
29 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -24 |
|
18
|
26 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 |
St. Pauli and Wolfsburg Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Bundesliga
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Bundesliga
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
St. Pauli against Wolfsburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
B. Voll
DefenderF. Stevens
K. Mets
L. Ritzka
MidfielderR. Jones
T. Hara
A. Ceesay
M. Rasmussen
D. Sinani
P. Pervan
DefenderM. Jenz
A. Zehnter
MidfielderJ. Lindstrom
K. Paredes
L. Majer
Y. Gerhardt
M. Amoura
K. Shiogai
Missing players
S. Spari
DefenderD. Nemeth
J. Robatsch
MidfielderM. Pereira Lage
Rogerio
K. Fischer
MidfielderB. Dardai
Most goals and assists
St. Pauli
Wolfsburg
D. Sinani
(5 Goals)
D. Pejcinovic
(9 Goals)
J. Fujita
(3 Assists)
C. Eriksen
(8 Assists)
St. Pauli - Wolfsburg Key Points
- Only Heidenheim have conceded more goals than Wolfsburg this season.
- Five of St Pauli’s last seven league games saw both teams score goals.
- In six of their last eight home league games, St Pauli saw both teams score.
- Six of Wolfsburg’s last nine Bundesliga matches have seen both teams score.
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Our St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg Prediction
This match has all the makings of a humdinger clash, as both teams are in the relegation zone along with Heidenheim – all three are on 26 points. While the winner here is likely to have a greater chance of qualifying for the play-offs, neither team can lay claim to improved form. This could be a tense fixture with the high stakes involved, with Wolfsburg having the second-worst defensive record and St Pauli the worst scoring record!
That’s unlikely to stop them from scoring goals, so our St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis St. Pauli Wolfsburg
| St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli wins | 2.77 | 2.81 | +1.4% |
| Draw | 3.49 | 3.72 | +6.6% |
| Wolfsburg wins | 2.72 | 2.56 | -5.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.7% and is now 26.9% (-1.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
