Europe - Conference League
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by Ian John in Conference League Predictions
The Qualifying Rounds of the UEFA Conference League begin this week, and in Ireland, St. Patrick's Athletic host Lithuania's FC Hegelmann Litauen at Richmond Park. The Saints reached the Playoffs of this competition last season, whereas Hegelmann stumbled at the first stage of qualifying, being easily eliminated. What will our prediction be for this first leg match?
Last season, St Patrick's saw off FC Vaduz (5-3 on aggregate) and then Sabah (2-0 on aggregate) to reach the playoff stage, where they held Istanbul Basaksehir to a 0-0 draw at home, before a battling 2-0 defeat in Turkey saw them eliminated. FC Hegelmann faced Shkupi in the first round of the same competition last season, losing the first leg 5-0 at home before drawing 0-0 away.
Coming into this game, St. Patrick's manager Stephen Kenny will be pleased to have ended a run of poor results by securing two 0-0 draws back to back, the first away to Cork City and then most recently a scoreless draw at home to Bohemians. They lie sixth in the league table after 25 games, amassing 32 points.
FC Hegelmann have the better form, having recovered from a 2-0 home defeat to Suduva to beat Siauliai 5-2 in their next game, also at home. The Lithuanian side lie third in the table on 37 points after 19 games of the season, but have conceded 27 goals in those 19 matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for St Patricks v Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.15 | 3.2 | 3 |
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2.1 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
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2.25 | 3.1 | 3 |
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2.25 | 3 | 3.2 |
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2.3 | 3.2 | 3.1 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between St Patricks and Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas?
Our prediction for the St Patricks vs Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas match is: St. Patrick's wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/07/2025 between St Patricks and Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.06% for a win of St Patricks against Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas with odds of 2.37 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St Patricks vs Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas is 30.66% with odds of 3.3 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas vs St Patricks with odds of 3.55 at Unibet.
St Patricks vs Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas Form
St Patricks and Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2025 - Airtricity League
27 Jun 2025 - Airtricity League
23 Jun 2025 - Airtricity League
20 Jun 2025 - Airtricity League
16 Jun 2025 - Airtricity League
13 Jun 2025 - Airtricity League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2025 - Airtricity League
23 Jun 2025 - Airtricity League
16 Jun 2025 - Airtricity League
13 Jun 2025 - Airtricity League
23 May 2025 - Airtricity League
16 May 2025 - Airtricity League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jun 2025 - Airtricity League
20 Jun 2025 - Airtricity League
30 May 2025 - Airtricity League
19 May 2025 - Airtricity League
9 May 2025 - Airtricity League
5 May 2025 - Airtricity League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - A Lyga
30 Jun 2025 - A Lyga
24 Jun 2025 - A Lyga
19 Jun 2025 - A Lyga
14 Jun 2025 - A Lyga
31 May 2025 - A Lyga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - A Lyga
30 Jun 2025 - A Lyga
19 Jun 2025 - A Lyga
31 May 2025 - A Lyga
17 May 2025 - A Lyga
20 Apr 2025 - A Lyga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2025 - A Lyga
14 Jun 2025 - A Lyga
27 May 2025 - LFF Cup
24 May 2025 - A Lyga
10 May 2025 - A Lyga
6 May 2025 - LFF Cup
St Patricks - Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas Key Points
- St. Patricks' have conceded just one goal in their last three League of Ireland games.
- FC Hegelmann have conceded at least two goals in four of their last five games.
- St Patricks' have lost just one of their last six European Conference League games (W3, D2).
- FC Hegelmann have yet to win a game in Europe, drawing one and losing the other 5-0.
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Our St Patricks vs Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas Prediction
Our prediction for the St Patrick's Athletic vs. FC Hegelmann Litaunen UEFA Conference League Qualifying Round match is: St. Patrick's wins the match.
Both of these come into this game midway through their domestic season, so fitness should not be an issue here. Recent form suggests the Lithuanian side are the team to back, but their record in Europe is dismal, while St. Patrick's is excellent, especially last season. With home advantage too, we're backing St Patrick's to take a narrow lead into the second leg at the Raudondvaris Stadium.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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