Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Nella Wagah | in Liga Portugal Predictions
The headline match in the fourth round of the Portuguese Primeira Liga features Sporting Lisbon against FC Porto. With perfect starts so far, the two meet at the Jose Alvalade Stadium on Saturday, hosted by Sporting. Both sides started the season strongly, and we expect an entertaining clash in these early days of the campaign. Below we have a prediction of the game’s possible outcome.
This will be the 254th meeting between these clubs, one of the fiercest rivalries in Europe. Sporting have the inferior head-to-head record here, having won 86 times. They entered this season as the defending champions, and save for the Super Cup defeat to Benfica, they’ve played like champions so far.
Porto have the most wins in this fixture, at 93, and 74 matches were drawn. However, the visitors have in recent years struggled in this fixture, going winless in the last seven meetings.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Porto Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.01 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
|
|
2 | 3.5 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.85 | 3.35 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Porto?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Porto match is: Sporting Lisbon wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/08/2025 between Sporting Lisbon and Porto in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.72% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Porto with odds of 2.05 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Porto is 12.3% with odds of 3.85 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 3.9 at Melbet.
Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Form
Sporting Lisbon and Porto's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
|
2
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Sporting Lisbon and Porto Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
31 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2024 - Portugal Super Cup
26 May 2024 - Taca de Portugal
28 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon - Porto: Form Analysis
Sporting have shot to the league summit after bagging three wins from as many outings. They aren’t the best defensively, but they’ve done well so far, only conceding once. Sporting’s strength is in attack.
The hosts have scored 12 times already, and only Porto get closer, with three fewer goals. They are smarting from a 4-1 win against Nacional but the victory wasn’t as comfortable as the scoreline suggests.
Sporting had to come from behind after conceding in the third minute and going into the break trailing 10-man Nacional. Now facing the side just behind them, Sporting should be ready for a tougher outing.
Sporting are unbeaten in the last seven matches against Porto.
FC Porto have to put a stop to Sporting’s recent dominance in this fixture if they are to further the title ambitions they have already shown.
Playing away at Sporting is an additional hurdle they have to overcome, but they have the confidence drawn from three straight wins. Porto have carried their momentum from last season and are now on six straight victories.
Last week’s 4-0 win against Casa Pia means Porto haven't conceded a goal so far. That stat will be severely tested on Saturday. They are one of the three teams yet to concede a goal thus far.
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Sporting Lisbon vs Porto last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Missing players
O. Diomande
MidfielderD. Braganca
ForwardN. Santos
M. Araujo
M. Fernandes
ForwardS. Aghehowa
Sporting Lisbon & Porto Squad Analysis
Sporting have moved on from Viktor Gyokeres, who had four goal contributions in these teams’ last five meetings. Their new main man is Pedro Goncalves.
The Portuguese forward is in fine form and comes here with three goals and two assists. The goals are already half of what he managed last season, and it looks like a promising campaign.
All three goals came against Nacional, where he also grabbed one assist, and he will hope it marks the start of a good run. Brazilian defender Matheus Reis is back from a lengthy suspension but will have to fight for his place against Ricardo Mangas.
Luuk de Jong will be looking to fuly fit in Porto's attack after Samu’s injury.
Porto will go into this game sweating over the fitness of Spanish forward Samu Omorodion. With a thigh injury, Samu joined Martim Fernandes in the treatment room earlier on, and neither has had a positive report.
There are options in attack, though. New signing Borja Sainz scored a brace against Casa Pia and has an assist to his name.
That should be good enough to attract the manager’s trust. Luuk de Jong should also be in place to benefit from Samu’s absence. The former PSV skipper will be hoping to open his account at Porto, should be handed a berth.
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Porto
F. Trincao
(3 Goals)
,
P. Goncalves
(3 Goals)
S. Aghehowa
(2 Goals)
, 
Pepe
(2 Goals)
,
B. Sainz
(2 Goals)
P. Goncalves
(2 Assists)
,
G. Quenda
(2 Assists)
,
Goncalo Inacio
(2 Assists)
, 
L. Suarez
(2 Assists)
A. Costa
(2 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Porto Key Points
- Sporting Lisbon are unbeaten in 24 league matches.
- Sporting won 10 of their last 12 home league matches.
- Porto suffered four defeats in their last 11 league matches.
- Porto lost all three away matches against top four teams last season.
- Sporting are unbeaten in their latest seven matches against FC Porto.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Porto Prediction
All seems to be pointing to another Sporting Lisbon win. This fixture in recent times has gone in their favor and they have the additional advantage that they are playing at home. In Porto’s last two visits here, Sporting claimed wins, and that will boost their confidence.
Last season Porto had a poor away run against top four sides, losing all three, and facing Sporting on six wins in seven home matches won’t be easy. Our prediction for Sporting v Porto is that Sporting Lisbon wins the match.
Sporting Lisbon vs Porto - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
As both teams have started well and shown tremendous strength in defence, we do not anticipate many goals in this clash. The last three meetings between these two sides produced under 2.5 goals.
Porto actually failed to score in two of them. As we look forward to a tight encounter, our second prediction for this match will be for under 2.5 goals.
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Sporting Lisbon vs Porto match : Frequently asked questions
The match will be staged at the Jose Alvalade Stadium.
The match will be played on Saturday 30th August.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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