Spezia vs Sampdoria Prediction & Betting Tips - Coppa Italia

Italy - Coppa Italia

Spezia
18/08/2025 12:30
Sampdoria

Prediction :

 

Spezia score between one and two goals

1.61
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions

Spezia will battle Sampdoria in this 2025-26 Coppa Italia first round fixture on Monday at Stadio Alberto Picco. The Whites will aim to edge out the Blue-Circled to reach the second round. Below is our prediction for the match. 

Spezia narrowly missed out on promotion to Serie A last season. I Bianchi lost 3-2 on aggregate to Cremonese in the playoffs final, ending their bid for a return to the Italian top flight. They will renew the challenge this season and a strong start in the first round of the Italian Cup could prove a crucial test of their chances.

Notably, Luca D'Angelo's side's attack has been effective, but not overly prolific. They have scored between 1-2 goals in nine of their last 11 competitive matches. They have also recorded a similar goal range in five of their last six competitive home fixtures. 

Sampdoria escaped relegation to Serie C following a 5-0 aggregate win over Salernitana in the playout final last season. I Blucerchiati won the first leg 2-0 and were awarded a 3-0 victory in the second leg due to riot by hosts' fans. 

Interestingly, the Massimo Donati-led side boasts a strong defense but not without flaws, especially when playing away from home. They have conceded between 1-2 goals in nine of their last 11 competitive away fixtures (excluding the awarded away victory against Salernitana).

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The Best Betting Odds for Spezia v Sampdoria Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.9 3.3 4.33
1xbet
1.92 3.32 4.23
Stake
1.84 3.5 4.3
Melbet
1.93 3.34 4.12
BC Game
1.92 3.35 4.3
Check all Spezia vs Sampdoria odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Spezia and Sampdoria?

Our prediction for the Spezia vs Sampdoria match is: Spezia score between one and two goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/08/2025 between Spezia and Sampdoria in Coppa Italia :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.83% for a win of Spezia against Sampdoria with odds of 1.97 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Spezia vs Sampdoria is 39.76% with odds of 3.5 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Sampdoria vs Spezia with odds of 4.35 at Shangrila.

Spezia - Sampdoria Prediction and Best Odds:

Spezia Sampdoria Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 39.76% 3.5 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 56.47% 2.5 at Stake
Both Team To Score 65.42%
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 16.67% 4.75 at Bet365

Spezia vs Sampdoria Form

Spezia and Sampdoria Last Matches

Spezia
Spezia Last matches
D L W L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Spezia
2 :  1
USD Sestri Levante 1919

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Spezia
2 :  2
AS Cittadella

27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
2 :  1
Spezia

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Gherdeina
0 :  5
Spezia

1 Jun 2025 - Serie B

Spezia
2 :  3
Cremonese

29 May 2025 - Serie B

Cremonese
0 :  0
Spezia
L W W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Spezia
2 :  1
USD Sestri Levante 1919

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Spezia
2 :  2
AS Cittadella

1 Jun 2025 - Serie B

Spezia
2 :  3
Cremonese

25 May 2025 - Serie B

Spezia
2 :  1
US Catanzaro

13 May 2025 - Serie B

Spezia
3 :  1
Cosenza

9 May 2025 - Serie B

Spezia
2 :  3
Cremonese
D L W D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
2 :  1
Spezia

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Gherdeina
0 :  5
Spezia

29 May 2025 - Serie B

Cremonese
0 :  0
Spezia

21 May 2025 - Serie B

US Catanzaro
0 :  2
Spezia

4 May 2025 - Serie B

Reggiana
2 :  1
Spezia

25 Apr 2025 - Serie B

Frosinone
2 :  2
Spezia
Sampdoria
Sampdoria Last matches
D W D W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sampdoria
0 :  0
Novara

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sampdoria
3 :  1
ASD Sant'Angelo

15 Jun 2025 - Serie B

Sampdoria
2 :  0
Salernitana

13 May 2025 - Serie B

Juve Stabia
0 :  0
Sampdoria

9 May 2025 - Serie B

Sampdoria
1 :  0
Salernitana

4 May 2025 - Serie B

US Catanzaro
2 :  2
Sampdoria
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sampdoria
0 :  0
Novara

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sampdoria
3 :  1
ASD Sant'Angelo

15 Jun 2025 - Serie B

Sampdoria
2 :  0
Salernitana

9 May 2025 - Serie B

Sampdoria
1 :  0
Salernitana

1 May 2025 - Serie B

Sampdoria
0 :  0
Cremonese

12 Apr 2025 - Serie B

Sampdoria
1 :  0
AS Cittadella
D D L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 May 2025 - Serie B

Juve Stabia
0 :  0
Sampdoria

4 May 2025 - Serie B

US Catanzaro
2 :  2
Sampdoria

25 Apr 2025 - Serie B

Carrarese Calcio
1 :  0
Sampdoria

6 Apr 2025 - Serie B

Spezia
2 :  0
Sampdoria

16 Mar 2025 - Serie B

Reggiana
2 :  2
Sampdoria

2 Mar 2025 - Serie B

Bari
1 :  1
Sampdoria

Spezia vs Sampdoria Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Spezia

33 %

Draw

50 %

Sampdoria

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

6 Apr 2025 - Serie B

Spezia
2 :  0
Sampdoria

14 Dec 2024 - Serie B

Sampdoria
0 :  0
Spezia

20 Apr 2024 - Serie B

Spezia
0 :  0
Sampdoria

24 Nov 2023 - Serie B

Sampdoria
2 :  1
Spezia

22 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Sampdoria
1 :  1
Spezia

17 Sept 2022 - Serie A

Spezia
2 :  1
Sampdoria

Spezia vs Sampdoria last Lineups

Spezia

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

31
G. Aurelio
9
G. Artistico
36
P. Candelari
12
D. Mascardi
20
G. Di Serio
37
A. Mateju
15
A. Cistana
8
A. Nagy
5
S. Esposito
2
P. Wisniewski
23
A. Candela
9
M. Coda
23
F. Depaoli
1
S. Ghidotti
80
L. Benedetti
24
N. Sekulov
4
J. Ferri
16
L. Henderson
25
A. Ferrari
14
A. Bellemo
5
A. Riccio
31
S. Vulikic

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Sampdoria

Substitutes

Spezia
Spezia
Goalkeeper

G. Crespi

M. Leonardo

Defender

S. Giorgeschi

A. Insignito

A. Bertoncini

M. Onofri

P. Hristov

A. Cistana 62'

Midfielder

R. Kouda

P. Candelari 63'

G. Corradini

E. Lorenzelli

C. Comotto

G. Di Serio 78'

H. Djankpata

S. Zurkowski

Forward

E. Soleri

G. Artistico 78'

Sampdoria
Sampdoria
Goalkeeper

E. Tantalocchi

N. Ravaglia

Defender

L. Malanca

N. Ioannou

S. Vulikic 86'

Midfielder

T. Casalino

S. Girelli

F. Conti

J. Ferri 64'

M. Ricci

Forward

E. Pedrola

L. Benedetti 63'

V. Narro

M. Coda 86'

M. Cuni

N. Sekulov 46'

Spezia - Sampdoria Key Points

  1. Spezia have scored between one and two goals in nine of their last 11 competitive matches.
  2. Spezia have scored between one and two goals in five of their last six competitive home matches.
  3. Sampdoria have conceded between one and two goals in nine of their last 11 competitive away matches, excluding the awarded victory against Salernitana.
  4. Sampdoria have conceded between one and two goals in eight of their last 10 encounters with Spezia.
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Our Spezia vs Sampdoria Prediction

Spezia have the backing  of the home fans heading into this match, but Sampdoria are not likely to give in without a fight. We expect a tough match as the two Serie B sides lock horns for a place in the Italian Cup second round. 

Meanwhile, Luca D'Angelo's Spezia boasts an effective frontline capable of breaking Sampdoria's strong, but penetrable defense. We expect them to find the back of the net without blowing out the visitors. Our Spezia vs Sampdoria prediction is Spezia score between one and two goals.

Prediction :

 

Spezia score between one and two goals

1.61
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Spezia Sampdoria

Spezia vs Sampdoria Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Spezia wins 1.82 1.97 +8.2%
Draw 3.45 3.5 +1.4%
Sampdoria wins 4.3 4.35 +1.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 29.0% and is now 28.6% (-0.4%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Spezia vs Sampdoria Prediction