Southampton vs Oxford United Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Southampton
21/03/2026 11:00
Oxford United

Prediction :

 

Southampton wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions

Promotion-chasing Southampton and relegation-threatened Oxford United are set to face off next in the Championship. Both sides have lately picked up good form, landing Southampton in the top six and Oxford 22nd with eight matches remaining. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

Southampton are pushing for a straight return to the Premier League, and so far, that’s on course. A 1-0 win against Norwich saw the Saints break into the top six, hitting 60 points after recording their 16th league win.

They are now undefeated in their last 13 matches across all competitions, and at home in the last six games, they won four.

Oxford United took advantage of Southampton’s poor start to the season, winning 2-1 in the reverse fixture. They feel with their recent form, they can complete a league double over the Saints. The U’s carry into this game a four-match unbeaten run.

Their most recent ended in a 1-1 draw with Charlton Athletic, stopping them from bagging a fourth straight victory. After suffering 17 defeats, it may seem a little too late for Oxford’s survival push.

However, they are well in it as they go for only their 10th league win of the season. The visitors are just one point away from safety, and a win here could even see them rise three places above.

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Southampton v Oxford United Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.66 3.9 5
Melbet
1.54 4.1 5.72
Betwinner
1.54 4.1 5.72
Bet365
1.53 3.8 6.25
Roobet
1.64 3.85 5.2
Check all Southampton vs Oxford United odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Oxford United?

Our prediction for the Southampton vs Oxford United match is: Southampton wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2026 between Southampton and Oxford United in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.72% for a win of Southampton against Oxford United with odds of 1.67 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Oxford United is 22.89% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.39% chance ⭐ for a win of Oxford United vs Southampton with odds of 6.25 at Bet365.

Southampton - Oxford United Prediction and Best Odds:

Southampton Oxford United Prediction Probability Odds
Southampton wins 50.72% 1.67 at Betway
Under 2.5 51.19% 2.8 at Stake
Both Team To Score 52.08%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Southampton 26.86% 4.5 at LSbet

Southampton vs Oxford United Form

Southampton and Oxford United's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Southampton
80 46 22 14 10 +26
22 Oxford United
47 46 11 14 21 -14

Southampton and Oxford United Last Matches

Southampton
Southampton Last matches
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Mar 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  0
Norwich

14 Mar 2026 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  2
Southampton

11 Mar 2026 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
Southampton

8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup

Fulham
0 :  1
Southampton

28 Feb 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  3
Southampton

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Southampton
5 :  0
QPR
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Mar 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  0
Norwich

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Southampton
5 :  0
QPR

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Southampton
2 :  1
Leicester

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  0
Watford

21 Jan 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  0
Sheffield United
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Mar 2026 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  2
Southampton

11 Mar 2026 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
Southampton

8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup

Fulham
0 :  1
Southampton

28 Feb 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  3
Southampton

10 Feb 2026 - Championship

Leicester
3 :  4
Southampton

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Southampton
Oxford United
Oxford United Last matches
D L W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Mar 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

11 Mar 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Blackburn

6 Mar 2026 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  3
Oxford United

28 Feb 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  1
West Brom

25 Feb 2026 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Oxford United

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Oxford United
L L L W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Mar 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

11 Mar 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Blackburn

28 Feb 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  1
West Brom

15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Oxford United
0 :  1
Sunderland

10 Feb 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  3
Norwich

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  2
Birmingham
W L D D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Mar 2026 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  3
Oxford United

25 Feb 2026 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Oxford United

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Oxford United

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Coventry City
0 :  0
Oxford United

3 Feb 2026 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  1
Oxford United

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Leicester
1 :  2
Oxford United

Southampton vs Oxford United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

0 %

Draw

0 %

Oxford United

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  1
Southampton

31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Oxford United
2 :  0
Southampton
Southampton vs Oxford United Prediction

Southampton against Oxford United Lineups: Starting 11

Southampton

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

41
D. Peretz
14
J. Bree
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
5
J. Stephens
3
R. Manning
4
F. Downes
18
T. Fellows
10
F. Azaz
24
S. Charles
19
C. Archer
9
C. Larin
27
W. Lankshear
17
S. Mills
44
M. Peart-Harris
15
B. Spencer
8
C. Brannagan
5
Y. Konak
26
J. Currie
3
C. Brown
6
M. Helik
2
S. Long
1
J. Cumming

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Oxford United

Substitutes

Southampton
Southampton
Goalkeeper

G. Long

Defender

J. Quarshie

R. Manning 90'

N. Wood

Midfielder

K. Matsuki

T. Fellows 76'

C. Jander

C. Bragg

Forward

N. Oyekunle

F. Azaz 90'

R. Stewart

C. Larin 59'

S. Edozie

C. Archer 59'

Oxford United
Oxford United
Goalkeeper

M. Ingram

Defender

C. Makosso

Midfielder

J. McDonnell

Y. Konak 70'

W. Vaulks

Forward

J. Jeon

M. Peart-Harris 77'

N. Prelec

M. Harris

W. Lankshear 77'

A. Emakhu

S. Mills 88'

J. Donley

J. Currie 70'

Missing players

Southampton
Southampton
Defender

M. Roerslev

Oxford United
Oxford United
Midfielder

B. De Keersmaecker

T. Goodrham

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Southampton
CD Huachipato Oxford United
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland F. Azaz (11 Goals)
England A. Armstrong (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England W. Lankshear (11 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil L. Scienza (9 Assists)
Best assists
Poland M. Helik (4 Assists)
England S. Mills (4 Assists)

Southampton - Oxford United Key Points

  1. Southampton are unbeaten in six home matches, winning four.
  2. Away from home, Oxford lost half of their last 10 league games.
  3. In their last 10 home league games, Southampton won six times.
  4. Across all competitions, Southampton are unbeaten in 13 games.
  5. Oxford are winless in eight of their latest 11 outings, losing five.
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Our Southampton vs Oxford United Prediction

Oxford United will get a stern test to their survival credentials as they face a promotion contender. In the reverse match they claimed a win, but the task looks harder here, as Southampton have also picked up lately.

The Saints haven't tasted defeat in their last 13 matches, and here they face an Oxford side winless in eight of their last 11 games. The visitors lost five of those 11 games and will come here as underdogs despite their recent surge. Our prediction for Southampton v Oxford United is that Southampton wins.

Prediction :

 

Southampton wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Oxford United

Southampton vs Oxford United Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Southampton wins 1.45 1.67 +15.2%
Draw 4.33 4.2 -3.0%
Oxford United wins 6 6.25 +4.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Southampton is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 15.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 69.0% and is now 59.9% (-9.1%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.