Southampton vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Championship Predictions
An interesting matchday 19 battle in the Championship puts the top-six hopes of Southampton and Birmingham on the line as the teams meet on Saturday. This match at the St. Mary’s Stadium between the 14th-placed Saints and the eighth-placed Blues comes with our prediction of BTTS.
With 24 points (W6, D6, L6), the hosts are five points adrift of the playoff spots in what is proving to be a tight battle. The visitors have 28 points (W8, D4, L6) and are only one point away from the top six places.
Southampton lost 3-2 away at Millwall last weekend in a result that ended their four-game winning streak. They are still well-placed to keep pushing for playoff spots but need to get back to winning ways.
The Saints have won their last two home league games but will be wary that they hadn’t won any of the five home matches in the league prior to that run.
Birmingham won 2-1 at home against Watford last matchday to make it four wins out of their last six league matches. The only reverse in that sequence came in a 2-1 defeat to Middlesbrough.
That loss came on the road, where the Blues have been below par this season. Birmingham lost five of their last eight league trips, winning only once.
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Southampton v Birmingham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.36 | 3.45 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.34 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.64 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.6 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.45 | 2.86 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Birmingham?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Birmingham match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/12/2025 between Southampton and Birmingham in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.47% for a win of Southampton against Birmingham with odds of 2.42 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Birmingham is 30.54% with odds of 3.64 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Southampton with odds of 3.2 at Betwinner.
Southampton - Birmingham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Southampton Birmingham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 46.47% | 2.42 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.3% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Southampton/Southampton | 22.31% | 3.75 at LSbet |
Southampton vs Birmingham Form
Southampton and Birmingham's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 |
|
10
|
64 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
Southampton and Birmingham Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
14 Sept 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
3 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
Southampton vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Mar 2024 - Championship
28 Oct 2023 - Championship
Southampton against Birmingham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. McCarthy
DefenderR. Edwards
J. Quarshie
MidfielderJ. Aribo
C. Bragg
O. Romeu
C. Archer
J. Robinson
R. Fraser
R. Allsop
DefenderE. Cashin
J. Robinson
M. Leonard
L. Koumas
K. Anderson
B. Osayi-Samuel
ForwardL. Dykes
K. Furuhashi
Missing players
M. Roerslev
L. Buchanan
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Birmingham
F. Azaz
(11 Goals)
, 
A. Armstrong
(11 Goals)
J. Stansfield
(10 Goals)
, 
M. Ducksch
(10 Goals)
L. Scienza
(9 Assists)
J. Stansfield
(7 Assists)
Southampton - Birmingham Key Points
- Four of Southampton’s last five league matches have returned BTTS.
- Birmingham scored exactly once in four of their last five trips.
- Birmingham’s last four league games saw both teams score goals.
- The last two games between these sides produced BTTS.
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Our Southampton vs Birmingham Prediction
Southampton saw their four-game winning momentum snapped last week in a defeat to Millwall. They will hope to get back to winning ways and move closer towards the playoff spots, while Birmingham are much closer to the top six than their hosts. The Blues have seen an uptick in their recent form, losing only once since the start of November. This surge hasn’t seen their away fortunes improve, though, as Birmingham are still struggling for impact on the road.
This fixture could be full of goals, and our Southampton vs Birmingham prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Birmingham
| Southampton vs Birmingham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 2.22 | 2.42 | +9.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.64 | +7.1% |
| Birmingham wins | 3.05 | 3.2 | +4.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Southampton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.0% and is now 41.3% (-3.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
