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Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda Prediction & Betting Tips - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP 45 Italy
Lorenzo Sonego
27/10/2025 11:10
ATP 56 USA
Sebastian Korda

Prediction :

 

Sebastian Korda wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Rolex Paris Masters Predictions

Lorenzo Sonego will hope to set up an all-Italian clash in round two of the Paris Masters. He faces qualifier Sebastian Korda in round one of the indoor hard court Paris Masters. Here's our match prediction.

The winner of this match will take on seventh-seed Lorenzo Musetti in round two.

Sonego comes into this tournament having lost his last two matches. The first of those saw the 30-year-old beaten by Ugo Humbert in the Stockholm Open quarter-final. Last week saw him defeated by Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina 7-6 6-4 in Basel.

The Italian is 45th in the live rankings and has a 14-17 record on hard courts this year with three hard court quarter-finals. This is his sixth match against Korda and he leads 3-2. It's 3-1 on hard courts but Korda won the most recent with a win in Adelaide last year.

Sebastian Korda had to win two qualifying matches to reach this main draw and is 54th in the live list.  Korda had lost his last couple of matches before his two weekend wins.

The American has been in good form on this surface in recent months. He made it to two quarter-finals in Tokyo and Stockholm. Korda has reached one hard court final this year. We tip him to defeat Sonego.

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The Best Betting Odds for Lorenzo Sonego v Sebastian Korda Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.5 1.53
William Hill
2.5 1.53
Betway
2.38 1.55
Ladbrokes
2.62 1.44
Unibet
2.63 1.5
Check all Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda odds

Who will win the Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda match is: Sebastian Korda wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda game on 27/10/2025 of the current Rolex Paris Masters season:

  • Lorenzo Sonego has a 38.41% chance to win against Sebastian Korda according to LSbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.68.
  • Sebastian Korda has a 61.59% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Sonego ⭐ with odds of 1.55 at Betway.

Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Sonego has a 38.41 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Lorenzo Sonego38.41 %
Sebastian Korda61.59 %

Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda Form

Lorenzo Sonego and Sebastian Korda Last Matches

Lorenzo Sonego Last matches
L L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

20 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

17 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Ugo Humbert
2 :  1
Lorenzo Sonego

16 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Lorenzo Sonego
2 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic

15 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Arthur Fery
0 :  2
Lorenzo Sonego

1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Lorenzo Sonego
1 :  2
Yannick Hanfmann

26 Sept 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev
Sebastian Korda Last matches
W L L W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

26 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Sebastian Korda
2 :  1
Valentin Royer

25 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Sebastian Korda
2 :  0
Vit Kopriva

22 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Sebastian Korda
0 :  2
Ugo Humbert

17 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Sebastian Korda
1 :  2
Casper Ruud

15 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Sebastian Korda
2 :  1
Kamil Majchrzak

13 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Alexei Popyrin
1 :  2
Sebastian Korda

Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lorenzo Sonego

50 %

Sebastian Korda

50 %

9 Jan 2024 - Adelaide International

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Sebastian Korda

23 Sept 2022 - Moselle Open

Lorenzo Sonego
2 :  0
Sebastian Korda

30 Sept 2021 - San Diego, USA, Qualifying

Lorenzo Sonego
2 :  0
Sebastian Korda

26 May 2021 - Parma, Italy, Qualifying

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Sebastian Korda
Compare Lorenzo Sonego and Sebastian Korda with our comparison tool.

Lorenzo Sonego - Sebastian Korda Key Points

  1. Korda won his most recent match against Sonego.
  2. Korda has made it to at least the last eight in five ATP Tour hard court tournaments this year, most recently in Stockholm.
  3. Sonego has only won 14 of his 31 hard court matches this year.
  4. Sonego has lost his last two matches.
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Our Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda Prediction

This could well be a close match and a side bet on it going to three sets might be profitable. Lorenzo Sonego is the higher of the two in the live rankings but Korda has a better record on hard courts this year despite missing two months due to injury.

Korda has reached at least the quarter-finals in five ATP Tour hard court tournaments this year. We believe he can edge a win in Paris. Our Lorenzo Sonego v Sebastian Korda prediction is Sebastian Korda wins.

Prediction :

 

Sebastian Korda wins

 
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When you place a bet on the match between Lorenzo Sonego and Sebastian Korda you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.

It does not matter whether you bet on Lorenzo Sonego or Sebastian Korda, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda Prediction

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