Lorenzo Sonego vs Ignacio Buse Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Italian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
Italian Lorenzo Sonego has had a disappointing 2026 to date. He hopes to improve his season record when taking on Ignacio Buse in round one of the outdoor court Italian Open. Read more in our match prediction.
A match against 20th seed Frances Tiafoe awaits the winner of this match.
Sonego is playing only his ninth match of the year and he's only had three wins so far. On clay, Sonego has lost three out of four and has only reached the second round on clay in the Barcelona Open.
The Italian was a semi-finalist here in 2021 but has been beaten in round one in both of the last two years.
His most recent tournament saw him lose in round one in a Challenger Tour event. Last year didn't go well for him on clay either with just one of his six matches being won. He's 63rd in the live rankings but 174th in the ATP Race.
Ignacio Buse has enjoyed far more success on this surface. He was a semi-finalist in Rio and most recently made it to the last eight in the Aix En Provence Challenger Tour event. He's won eight matches on clay this year but lost the same number and is a career-high 55th in the live rankings.
We tip Buse to win through to round two.
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Lorenzo Sonego v Ignacio Buse Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.32 | 1.61 |
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2.36 | 1.59 |
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2.38 | 1.57 |
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2.3 | 1.56 |
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2.3 | 1.56 |
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Who will win the Lorenzo Sonego vs Ignacio Buse Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Lorenzo Sonego vs Ignacio Buse match is: Ignacio Buse wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Sonego vs Ignacio Buse game on 07/05/2026 of the current ATP Italian Open season:
- Lorenzo Sonego has a 45.14% chance to win against Ignacio Buse according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.38.
- Ignacio Buse has a 54.86% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Sonego ⭐ with odds of 1.65 at Betway.
Lorenzo Sonego vs Ignacio Buse Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Sonego has a 45.14 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Sonego | 45.14 % |
| Ignacio Buse | 54.86 % |
Lorenzo Sonego vs Ignacio Buse Form
Lorenzo Sonego and Ignacio Buse Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
22 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
16 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
14 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
8 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
24 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
22 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
13 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
4 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
2 Apr 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
31 Mar 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
Lorenzo Sonego - Ignacio Buse Key Points
- Sonego has lost his last three matches in this tournament.
- Sonego has only won one of this four clay court matches played this year.
- Buse has reached one ATP Tour clay court semi-final this year.
- Sonego lost five of his six clay court matches in 2025, compared to Buse who had 42 wins.
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Our Lorenzo Sonego vs Ignacio Buse Prediction
Lorenzo Sonego will hope playing in his home country will spark some life into his clay court season. He has had some success on this surface in the past but only two of his last ten clay court matches have been won.
Ignacio Buse had plenty of wins on clay last year with two Challenger Tour titles won. On the ATP Tour this year, his best performance has been a last four in Rio. Our Lorenzo Sonego v Ignacio Buse prediction is Ignacio Buse wins.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Lorenzo Sonego vs. Ignacio Buse game!
When you place a bet on the match between Lorenzo Sonego and Ignacio Buse you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Lorenzo Sonego or Ignacio Buse, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
