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SL Benfica Lisbon vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's Champions League

Europe - Women's Champions League

SL Benfica Lisbon
16/10/2025 15:00
Arsenal

Prediction :

 

Less than 3.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Women's Champions League Predictions

After suffering defeats in their opening matches of the UEFA Women's Champions League, Benfica and Arsenal enter matchday two searching for their first win. The match will take place at Estadio da Lu. Benfica are 12th in the league standings, while Arsenal are behind in 13th place. Here's our match prediction. 

Benfica have made a promising start to the 2025-26 Campeonato Nacional Feminino season. Three wins in their last four games (D1) currently sees them perched at the top of the league standings and are level on points with arch-rivals Sporting Lisbon in second place.

Benfica recorded their third consecutive league win with a 4-1 away victory over Valadares Gaia on Sunday.

The Eagles' focus now shifts to the UEFA Women's Champions League. In their opening match, they squandered a one-goal lead to suffer a narrow 2-1 away defeat against Juventus. That result marked their second consecutive defeat in the competition.

Arsenal, the defending champions, who clinched their second UEFA Women's Champions League title in the previous edition, have made a poor start to the 2025-26 season. 

The Gunners have won just three of their last seven matches across all competitions (D2, L2). Included in those defeats was a 2-1 home setback against OL Lyonnes in the UEFA Women's Champions League opener.

Following that result, Renee Slegers' charges defeated Brighton & Hove Albion in an unconvincing 1-0 home victory in the Women's Super League.

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The Best Betting Odds for SL Benfica Lisbon v Arsenal Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
9.5 7.5 1.2
Betfred
13 7 1.17
William Hill
12 6 1.18
Betway
10 6.5 1.18
Unibet
13 7 1.16
Check all SL Benfica Lisbon vs Arsenal odds

What is the prediction for the football match between SL Benfica Lisbon and Arsenal?

Our prediction for the SL Benfica Lisbon vs Arsenal match is: under 3.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/10/2025 between SL Benfica Lisbon and Arsenal in Women's Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.99% for a win of SL Benfica Lisbon against Arsenal with odds of 13 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between SL Benfica Lisbon vs Arsenal is 15.74% with odds of 7.8 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 38.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs SL Benfica Lisbon with odds of 1.21 at 22bet.

SL Benfica Lisbon - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:

SL Benfica Lisbon Arsenal Prediction Probability Odds
SL Benfica Lisbon wins 45.99% 13 at Betfred
Over 2.5 goals 77.47% 1.49 at Stake
Both Team To Score 61.9%
Half-time / Full-time : SL Benfica Lisbon/SL Benfica Lisbon 20.57% 21 at Bet365

SL Benfica Lisbon vs Arsenal Form

SL Benfica Lisbon and Arsenal's standings in the Women's Champions League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10
Arsenal
Arsenal
6 4 2 0 2 1
15
SL Benfica Lisbon
SL Benfica Lisbon
1 4 0 1 3 -5

SL Benfica Lisbon and Arsenal Last Matches

SL Benfica Lisbon
SL Benfica Lisbon Last matches
L D W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Oct 2025 - Liga BPI

Valadares Gaia FC
1 :  4
SL Benfica Lisbon

7 Oct 2025 - Women's Champions League

Juventus Turin
2 :  1
SL Benfica Lisbon

27 Sept 2025 - Liga BPI

SL Benfica Lisbon
8 :  0
SF Damaiense

21 Sept 2025 - Liga BPI

Vitoria SC
1 :  5
SL Benfica Lisbon

14 Sept 2025 - Liga BPI

SL Benfica Lisbon
0 :  0
Rp FC

7 Sept 2025 - Super Cup, Women

SL Benfica Lisbon
1 :  2
SCU Torreense
W W W L D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
4 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

27 Sept 2025 - Liga BPI

SL Benfica Lisbon
8 :  0
SF Damaiense

14 Sept 2025 - Liga BPI

SL Benfica Lisbon
0 :  0
Rp FC

7 Sept 2025 - Super Cup, Women

SL Benfica Lisbon
1 :  2
SCU Torreense

3 May 2025 - Liga BPI

SL Benfica Lisbon
5 :  0
Clube de Albergaria

29 Mar 2025 - Liga BPI

SL Benfica Lisbon
4 :  1
Rp FC

2 Mar 2025 - Liga BPI

SL Benfica Lisbon
6 :  0
Lank FC Vilaverdense
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Oct 2025 - Liga BPI

Valadares Gaia FC
1 :  4
SL Benfica Lisbon

7 Oct 2025 - Women's Champions League

Juventus Turin
2 :  1
SL Benfica Lisbon

21 Sept 2025 - Liga BPI

Vitoria SC
1 :  5
SL Benfica Lisbon

11 May 2025 - Liga BPI

SC Braga
1 :  2
SL Benfica Lisbon

12 Apr 2025 - Liga BPI

Valadares Gaia FC
0 :  3
SL Benfica Lisbon

16 Mar 2025 - Liga BPI

SF Damaiense
0 :  2
SL Benfica Lisbon
Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
W D D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Oct 2025 - Women's Super League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Brighton And Hove Albion WFC

7 Oct 2025 - Women's Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Olympique Lyon

4 Oct 2025 - Women's Super League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Arsenal

27 Sept 2025 - Women's Super League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Aston Villa WFC

21 Sept 2025 - Women's Super League

Manchester United WFC
0 :  0
Arsenal

12 Sept 2025 - Women's Super League

West Ham United FC
1 :  5
Arsenal
W W W D L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Oct 2025 - Women's Super League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Brighton And Hove Albion WFC

7 Oct 2025 - Women's Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Olympique Lyon

27 Sept 2025 - Women's Super League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Aston Villa WFC

6 Sept 2025 - Women's Super League

Arsenal
4 :  1
London City Lionesses

24 May 2025 - Women's Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
FC Barcelona

10 May 2025 - Women's Super League

Arsenal
4 :  3
Manchester United WFC
W L L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 Oct 2025 - Women's Super League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Arsenal

21 Sept 2025 - Women's Super League

Manchester United WFC
0 :  0
Arsenal

12 Sept 2025 - Women's Super League

West Ham United FC
1 :  5
Arsenal

5 May 2025 - Women's Super League

Brighton And Hove Albion WFC
4 :  2
Arsenal

30 Apr 2025 - Women's Super League

Aston Villa WFC
5 :  2
Arsenal

27 Apr 2025 - Women's Champions League

Olympique Lyon
1 :  4
Arsenal

Players list

SL Benfica Lisbon
SL Benfica Lisbon
Goalkeeper

L. Pauels

Defender

D. Gomes

C. Amado

L. Alves

C. Martin-Prieto

Midfielder

A. Gasper

C. Nicole Davidson

C. Ucheibe

L. Almeida

Forward

L. Martins

C. Boeckmann

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

D. Van Domselaar

Defender

L. Wubben-Moy

L. Codina

T. Hinds

K. McCabe

Midfielder

K. Little

S. Blackstenius

Forward

C. Kelly

M. Caldentey

C. Foord

A. Russo

Substitutes

SL Benfica Lisbon
SL Benfica Lisbon
Goalkeeper

A. Campos Costa

Defender

C. Costa

J. Silva

S. Prat

Midfielder

C. Boeckmann

C. Moller

R. Engesvik

P. Dominguez Encinas

L. Almeida

B. Cameirao

Forward

C. Martin-Prieto

M. Lund

L. Martins

D. Silva

N. Chaves Guedes

C. Nicole Davidson

C. Tristao

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

A. Liddiard

Defender

J. Nighswonger

L. Codina

S. Catley

Midfielder

V. Pelova

K. McCabe

E. Fox

F. Maanum

S. Harwood

Forward

S. Blackstenius

K. Cooney-Cross

C. Kelly

B. Mead

C. Foord

O. Smith

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato SL Benfica Lisbon
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
Spain C. Martin-Prieto (1 Goals)
Portugal L. Alves (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England A. Russo (4 Goals)

SL Benfica Lisbon - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Benfica have seen each of their last three matches in the UEFA Women's Champions League end with under 3.5 goals.
  2. Arsenal have seen each of their last two matches across all competitions end with under 3.5 goals.
  3. Arsenal have seen four of their last five matches across all competitions end with under 3.5 goals.
  4. Arsenal have seen five of their last six UEFA Women's Champions League matches end with under 3.5 goals.
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Our SL Benfica Lisbon vs Arsenal Prediction

Benfica have won three of their last four matches across all competitions and will be confident of securing a favorable outcome against Arsenal, who are struggling for consistency this season. However, their performance against English opposition has not been convincing, losing two straight matches.

Arsenal are not doing that well on the road. They've won just one of their last five competitive matches. This could easily turn out to be a closely contested affair with fewer goals, as has been the case in their previous two matches, where the total went under 3.5. Our Benfica vs Arsenal prediction: under 3.5.

Prediction :

 

Less than 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis SL Benfica Lisbon Arsenal

SL Benfica Lisbon vs Arsenal Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
SL Benfica Lisbon wins 19 9.5 -50.0%
Draw 7 7.5 +7.1%
Arsenal wins 1.17 1.2 +2.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • SL Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 50.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 5.3% and is now 10.5% (5.3%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the SL Benfica Lisbon vs. Arsenal game!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

SL Benfica Lisbon vs Arsenal Prediction

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