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by Kennedy Kechula | in ATP US Open Predictions
Top seed Jannik Sinner is going strong in his US Open title defence and will next take on 27th seed Denis Shapovalov. They will battle in the third round to mark their second matchup at a major. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Jannik Sinner has looked incredibly sharp in his title defence and hasn’t lost more than seven games in his two duels. After dominating Vit Kopriva in the first set, Sinner had another dominating display against Alexei Popyrin to advance to this round.
He has now won nine consecutive matches at Flushing Meadows since last year and lost just two sets. The world number one has compiled a 33-4 record and won titles at the Australian Open and Wimbledon.
Denis Shapovalov has a head-to-head advantage over Sinner. He won their only other encounter in five sets at the Australian Open. This, however, was four seasons ago, when Shapovalov looked the most likely to become world number one between the two.
Now he is the underdog here. The Canadian, a former US Open quarter-finalist, defeated the wildcard Valentin Royer in four well-fought sets in the last round.
Advancing to this round has seen Shapovalov, this year’s Dallas and Los Cabos champion, jump to 26th in the live ranking.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jannik Sinner v Denis Shapovalov Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.02 | 21 |
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1.04 | 11 |
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1.01 | 16 |
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1.03 | 13 |
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1.02 | 14 |
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Who will win the Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov match is: under 3.5 sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov game on 30/08/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:
- Jannik Sinner has a 68.99% chance to win against Denis Shapovalov according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 1.04.
- Denis Shapovalov has a 31.01% probability of winning facing Jannik Sinner ⭐ with odds of 22 at 22bet.
Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jannik Sinner has a 68.99 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Jannik Sinner | 68.99 % |
Denis Shapovalov | 31.01 % |
Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov Form
Jannik Sinner and Denis Shapovalov Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
18 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
16 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
14 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
13 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
19 Jul 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open
18 Jul 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open
Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
8 Feb 2021 - ATP Australian Open
Jannik Sinner - Denis Shapovalov Key Points
- Shapovalov has lost twice in his last four outings.
- Sinner has won 14 of 15 hard-court duels this year.
- Sinner hasn’t lost a set in 11 consecutive hard-court matches.
- In his previous nine duels at the US Open, Sinner has won seven in straight sets.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction
Our prediction for Jannik Sinner v Denis Shapovalov is that this match will see under 3.5 sets. Sinner is the defending champion at the US Open and is the overwhelming favourite to be crowned champion again.
Since the start of last season’s tournament, he has been on a tear and has surrendered just two sets in nine contests. The Italian has become synonymous with his nononsense, ruthless displays. With Shapovalov inconsistent and looking shaky this week, we are likely to witness a quick end to this showdown.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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