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Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 1 Italy
Jannik Sinner
30/08/2025 10:00
ATP 29 Canada
Denis Shapovalov

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 sets

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in ATP US Open Predictions

Top seed Jannik Sinner is going strong in his US Open title defence and will next take on 27th seed Denis Shapovalov. They will battle in the third round to mark their second matchup at a major. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Jannik Sinner has looked incredibly sharp in his title defence and hasn’t lost more than seven games in his two duels. After dominating Vit Kopriva in the first set, Sinner had another dominating display against Alexei Popyrin to advance to this round.

He has now won nine consecutive matches at Flushing Meadows since last year and lost just two sets. The world number one has compiled a 33-4 record and won titles at the Australian Open and Wimbledon.

Denis Shapovalov has a head-to-head advantage over Sinner. He won their only other encounter in five sets at the Australian Open. This, however, was four seasons ago, when Shapovalov looked the most likely to become world number one between the two.

Now he is the underdog here. The Canadian, a former US Open quarter-finalist, defeated the wildcard Valentin Royer in four well-fought sets in the last round.

Advancing to this round has seen Shapovalov, this year’s Dallas and Los Cabos champion, jump to 26th in the live ranking.

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The Best Betting Odds for Jannik Sinner v Denis Shapovalov Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.02 21
William Hill
1.04 11
Betway
1.01 16
Ladbrokes
1.03 13
Unibet
1.02 14
Check all Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov odds
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Who will win the Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov match is: under 3.5 sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov game on 30/08/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:

  • Jannik Sinner has a 68.99% chance to win against Denis Shapovalov according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 1.04.
  • Denis Shapovalov has a 31.01% probability of winning facing Jannik Sinner ⭐ with odds of 22 at 22bet.

Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jannik Sinner has a 68.99 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Jannik Sinner68.99 %
Denis Shapovalov31.01 %

Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov Form

Jannik Sinner and Denis Shapovalov Last Matches

Jannik Sinner Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Alexei Popyrin

26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Vit Kopriva

18 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jannik Sinner
abort
Carlos Alcaraz

16 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Terence Atmane

14 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Felix Auger Aliassime

13 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino
Denis Shapovalov Last matches
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Valentin Royer
1 :  3
Denis Shapovalov

26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Marton Fucsovics
0 :  3
Denis Shapovalov

10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Luca Nardi
2 :  1
Denis Shapovalov

29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto

Denis Shapovalov
0 :  2
Learner Tien

19 Jul 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
0 :  2
Denis Shapovalov

18 Jul 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  0
Adam Walton

Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

8 Feb 2021 - ATP Australian Open

Denis Shapovalov
3 :  2
Jannik Sinner
Compare Jannik Sinner and Denis Shapovalov with our comparison tool.

Jannik Sinner - Denis Shapovalov Key Points

  1. Shapovalov has lost twice in his last four outings.
  2. Sinner has won 14 of 15 hard-court duels this year.
  3. Sinner hasn’t lost a set in 11 consecutive hard-court matches.
  4. In his previous nine duels at the US Open, Sinner has won seven in straight sets.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction

Our prediction for Jannik Sinner v Denis Shapovalov is that this match will see under 3.5 sets. Sinner is the defending champion at the US Open and is the overwhelming favourite to be crowned champion again.

Since the start of last season’s tournament, he has been on a tear and has surrendered just two sets in nine contests. The Italian has become synonymous with his nononsense, ruthless displays. With Shapovalov inconsistent and looking shaky this week, we are likely to witness a quick end to this showdown.

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 sets

 
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Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction
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