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by Kennedy Kechula | in ATP US Open Predictions
Eighth seed Alex de Minaur will face the challenge of the qualifier Shintaro Mochizuki as he continues his US Open campaign. The two, facing off for the first time, will square off in the second round. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki, who is making his US Open debut, booked this slot after he defeated Hugo Gaston in straight sets in the first round. After winning his first-ever match at a major in his run to the second round at Wimbledon, Mochizuki seeks to make more personal history.
The Japanese athlete has shot up 10 places in the live ranking to 102nd in the world. Competing largely in the challenger circuit, Shintaro has only once won a second-round tie at a tour event. This was in his run to the semi-finals in Tokyo two years ago.
Alex de Minaur also won his first-round tie in straight sets. The world number eight, who is defending 400 points, defeated Chris O’Connell by the loss of 11 games.
He has now improved to 38-15 after securing his 12th win in his last 15 outings. De Minaur, who made the US Open quarter-finals last season, has made it to week two in each of his last two appearances here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Shintaro Mochizuki v Alex De Minaur Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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15 | 1.03 |
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12 | 1.03 |
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16 | 1.01 |
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11 | 1.04 |
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13 | 1.03 |
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Who will win the Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex De Minaur match is: de Minaur at -9.5 on the games spread.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex De Minaur game on 28/08/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:
- Shintaro Mochizuki has a 28.34% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 21.
- Alex De Minaur has a 71.66% probability of winning facing Shintaro Mochizuki ⭐ with odds of 1.04 at Ladbrokes.
Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Shintaro Mochizuki has a 28.34 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Shintaro Mochizuki | 28.34 % |
Alex De Minaur | 71.66 % |
Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex De Minaur Form
Shintaro Mochizuki and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
22 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
21 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
19 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
16 Aug 2025 - ATP Challenger Sumter, USA Men Singles
15 Aug 2025 - ATP Challenger Sumter, USA Men Singles
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
3 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
2 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- De Minaur has won nine times in his last 11 fixtures.
- This year, de Minaur has won 20 of 27 duels on hard courts.
- In his first round tie, de Minaur surrendered 11 games.
- De Minaur has progressed past the second round in the last three years at the US Open.
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Our Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Our prediction for Shintaro Mochizuki v Alex de Minaur isde Minaur at -9.5 on the games spread. De Minaur has been in terrific form this year. He has been even more impressive on hard courts, winning 20 of 27 duels.
The Australian is one of the ATP’s elite performers and is expected to make it into week two. Though Mochizuki has built up momentum with four straight wins, he lacks tour experience. The Japanese player has progressed past the second round of a tour event once in his career. Facing off with the world’s eighth-best player will, therefore, prove a far difficult hill to conquer.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Alex De Minaur game!
When you place a bet on the match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Alex De Minaur you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Shintaro Mochizuki or Alex De Minaur , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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