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Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 112 Japan
Shintaro Mochizuki
28/08/2025 14:00
ATP 8 Australia
Alex De Minaur

Prediction :

 

De Minaur at -9.5 on the games spread

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in ATP US Open Predictions

Eighth seed Alex de Minaur will face the challenge of the qualifier Shintaro Mochizuki as he continues his US Open campaign. The two, facing off for the first time, will square off in the second round. Read on to find our prediction for this match. 

Shintaro Mochizuki, who is making his US Open debut, booked this slot after he defeated Hugo Gaston in straight sets in the first round. After winning his first-ever match at a major in his run to the second round at Wimbledon, Mochizuki seeks to make more personal history. 

The Japanese athlete has shot up 10 places in the live ranking to 102nd in the world. Competing largely in the challenger circuit, Shintaro has only once won a second-round tie at a tour event. This was in his run to the semi-finals in Tokyo two years ago.

Alex de Minaur also won his first-round tie in straight sets. The world number eight, who is defending 400 points, defeated Chris O’Connell by the loss of 11 games.

He has now improved to 38-15 after securing his 12th win in his last 15 outings. De Minaur, who made the US Open quarter-finals last season, has made it to week two in each of his last two appearances here.


 

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The Best Betting Odds for Shintaro Mochizuki v Alex De Minaur Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
15 1.03
William Hill
12 1.03
Betway
16 1.01
Ladbrokes
11 1.04
Unibet
13 1.03
Check all Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex De Minaur odds
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Who will win the Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex De Minaur match is: de Minaur at -9.5 on the games spread.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex De Minaur game on 28/08/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:

  • Shintaro Mochizuki has a 28.34% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 21.
  • Alex De Minaur has a 71.66% probability of winning facing Shintaro Mochizuki ⭐ with odds of 1.04 at Ladbrokes.

Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Shintaro Mochizuki has a 28.34 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Shintaro Mochizuki28.34 %
Alex De Minaur71.66 %

Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex De Minaur Form

Shintaro Mochizuki and Alex De Minaur Last Matches

Shintaro Mochizuki Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Hugo Gaston
0 :  3
Shintaro Mochizuki

22 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Shintaro Mochizuki
2 :  0
Daniel Elahi Galan

21 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Shintaro Mochizuki
2 :  1
Roman Andres Burruchaga

19 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Shintaro Mochizuki
2 :  1
Jurij Rodionov

16 Aug 2025 - ATP Challenger Sumter, USA Men Singles

Shintaro Mochizuki
1 :  2
Alexander Shevchenko

15 Aug 2025 - ATP Challenger Sumter, USA Men Singles

Shintaro Mochizuki
2 :  1
Filip Misolic
Alex De Minaur Last matches
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Christopher O'Connell
0 :  3
Alex De Minaur

10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Reilly Opelka

5 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Ben Shelton

3 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto

Frances Tiafoe
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur

2 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto

Christopher O'Connell
withdraw
Alex De Minaur

30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto

Francisco Comesana
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur
Compare Shintaro Mochizuki and Alex De Minaur with our comparison tool.

Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex De Minaur Key Points

  1. De Minaur has won nine times in his last 11 fixtures.
  2. This year, de Minaur has won 20 of 27 duels on hard courts.
  3. In his first round tie, de Minaur surrendered 11 games.
  4. De Minaur has progressed past the second round in the last three years at the US Open.
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Our Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

Our prediction for Shintaro Mochizuki v Alex de Minaur isde Minaur at -9.5 on the games spread. De Minaur has been in terrific form this year. He has been even more impressive on hard courts, winning 20 of 27 duels.

The Australian is one of the ATP’s elite performers and is expected to make it into week two. Though Mochizuki has built up momentum with four straight wins, he lacks tour experience. The Japanese player has progressed past the second round of a tour event once in his career. Facing off with the world’s eighth-best player will, therefore, prove a far difficult hill to conquer.

Prediction :

 

De Minaur at -9.5 on the games spread

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
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