Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Chinese Super League
China - Chinese Super League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
The Chinese Super League goes into the 12th round, and Shandong Luneng Taishan will be hosting Chongqing Tonglianglong FC this Saturday. Newly promoted Chongqing have raced to second ahead of this game while Shandong start the round in fifth. It is Shandong who come into the match in better form and our prediction is for a home win.
A six-point penalty from the federation has left Shandong on 14 points. They have managed six wins and two draws in their opening 11 matches.
The 2-1 win over Shenzhen marked a third unbeaten outing for the hosts. Here they will be seeking a fourth home win of the campaign.
Chongqing, freshly promoted, have enjoyed a solid start to their topflight campaign. They have, however, benefited from opposition sides being docked points.
Unlike their next opponents, Chongqing haven’t suffered any penalties. That is the major reason they are second in the standings despite having failed to win any of their last four games.
Chongqing suffered their only loss this season in that period, with the other three ending in draws. As they prepare for their first ever visit to Shandong, Chongqing will have revenge up their sleeves.
Their only previous meeting with their hosts was a cup game at home back in 2024. They lost the match 6-3.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Shandong Luneng Taishan v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.45 | 4.6 | 6.6 |
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1.51 | 4.4 | 6.15 |
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1.46 | 4.5 | 6.7 |
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1.46 | 4.33 | 6.25 |
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1.5 | 4.3 | 6 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Shandong Luneng Taishan and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC?
Our prediction for the Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC match is: Shandong Luneng Taishan wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/05/2026 between Shandong Luneng Taishan and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC in Chinese Super League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.38% for a win of Shandong Luneng Taishan against Chongqing Tonglianglong FC with odds of 1.51 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC is 27.54% with odds of 4.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Shandong Luneng Taishan with odds of 7.25 at LSbet.
Shandong Luneng Taishan - Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Shandong Luneng Taishan Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Shandong Luneng Taishan wins | 46.38% | 1.51 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.84 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Shandong Luneng Taishan | 17.35% | 4.4 at LSbet |
Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Form
Shandong Luneng Taishan and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC's standings in the Chinese Super League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
29 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
|
6
|
24 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Shandong Luneng Taishan and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Chinese Super League
5 May 2026 - Chinese Super League
1 May 2026 - Chinese Super League
26 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
21 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
17 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2026 - Chinese Super League
1 May 2026 - Chinese Super League
17 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
4 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
14 Mar 2026 - Chinese Super League
7 Mar 2026 - Chinese Super League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Chinese Super League
26 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
21 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
11 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
21 Mar 2026 - Chinese Super League
22 Nov 2025 - Chinese Super League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Chinese Super League
5 May 2026 - Chinese Super League
1 May 2026 - Chinese Super League
26 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
21 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
17 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2026 - Chinese Super League
26 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
17 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
11 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
21 Mar 2026 - Chinese Super League
14 Mar 2026 - Chinese Super League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Chinese Super League
1 May 2026 - Chinese Super League
21 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
5 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League
7 Mar 2026 - Chinese Super League
8 Nov 2025 - China League One
Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Jun 2024 - FA Cup
Shandong Luneng Taishan against Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 5 - 2 - 3
Substitutes
Y. Jinyong
Q. Liu
DefenderR. Yang
S. Songchen
W. Tong
Z. Zheng
MidfielderZ. Chen
R. Merkies
L. Binbin
H. Zhengyu
Y. Peng
D. Liuyu
W. Zitong
Y. Yerzat
DefenderH. Wang
S. Wei
X. Huang
MidfielderM. Yujun
M. Liu
Y. Wu
J. Liu
ForwardY. Ng
Y. Bai
D. Yuezheng
Most goals and assists
Shandong Luneng Taishan - Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Key Points
- Chongqing are winless in five of their last 10 away outings, losing three.
- Shandong won four times in the last seven matches, losing once.
- Shandong won six times in their last 10 home matches.
- Chongqing lost in their only meeting with Shandong.
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Our Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Prediction
Shandong will go into their first ever league meeting with Chongqing as favorites. They won the only previous encounter between these two, in a cup game back in 2024. Ahead of this one, they are three match unbeaten with two straight wins as well as a good run at home.
On the other hand, Chongqing are winless in their last four games ahead of this and being newly promoted, they will have some struggles here and there. Our prediction for Shandong Luneng Taishan v Chongqing Tonglianglong is that Shandong Luneng Taishan wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Shandong Luneng Taishan Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
| Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Luneng Taishan wins | 1.58 | 1.51 | -4.4% |
| Draw | 4.04 | 4.6 | +13.9% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC wins | 5.8 | 7.25 | +25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Shandong Luneng Taishan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.3% and is now 66.2% (2.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.