Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Chinese Super League

China - Chinese Super League

Shandong Luneng Taishan
16/05/2026 07:35
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Prediction :

 

Shandong Luneng Taishan wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

The Chinese Super League goes into the 12th round, and Shandong Luneng Taishan will be hosting Chongqing Tonglianglong FC this Saturday. Newly promoted Chongqing have raced to second ahead of this game while Shandong start the round in fifth. It is Shandong who come into the match in better form and our prediction is for a home win.

 A six-point penalty from the federation has left Shandong on 14 points. They have managed six wins and two draws in their opening 11 matches.

The 2-1 win over Shenzhen marked a third unbeaten outing for the hosts. Here they will be seeking a fourth home win of the campaign.

Chongqing, freshly promoted, have enjoyed a solid start to their topflight campaign. They have, however, benefited from opposition sides being docked points.

Unlike their next opponents, Chongqing haven’t suffered any penalties. That is the major reason they are second in the standings despite having failed to win any of their last four games.

Chongqing suffered their only loss this season in that period, with the other three ending in draws. As they prepare for their first ever visit to Shandong, Chongqing will have revenge up their sleeves.

Their only previous meeting with their hosts was a cup game at home back in 2024. They lost the match 6-3.

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Shandong Luneng Taishan v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.45 4.6 6.6
Melbet
1.51 4.4 6.15
Betwinner
1.46 4.5 6.7
Bet365
1.46 4.33 6.25
Roobet
1.5 4.3 6
Check all Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Shandong Luneng Taishan and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC?

Our prediction for the Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC match is: Shandong Luneng Taishan wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/05/2026 between Shandong Luneng Taishan and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC in Chinese Super League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.38% for a win of Shandong Luneng Taishan against Chongqing Tonglianglong FC with odds of 1.51 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC is 27.54% with odds of 4.6 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Shandong Luneng Taishan with odds of 7.25 at LSbet.

Shandong Luneng Taishan - Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Prediction and Best Odds:

Shandong Luneng Taishan Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Prediction Probability Odds
Shandong Luneng Taishan wins 46.38% 1.51 at Melbet
Over 2.5 goals 56% 1.84 at Stake
Both Team To Score 66.67%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Shandong Luneng Taishan 17.35% 4.4 at LSbet

Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Form

Shandong Luneng Taishan and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC's standings in the Chinese Super League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
29 20 7 8 5 +1
6 Shandong Luneng Taishan
24 20 9 3 8 0

Shandong Luneng Taishan and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Last Matches

Shandong Luneng Taishan
Shandong Luneng Taishan Last matches
D W L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - Chinese Super League

Shenzhen Peng City
1 :  2
Shandong Luneng Taishan

5 May 2026 - Chinese Super League

Shandong Luneng Taishan
4 :  1
Shanghai Shenhua

1 May 2026 - Chinese Super League

Shandong Luneng Taishan
1 :  1
Qingdao West Coast FC

26 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Qingdao Hainiu FC
4 :  1
Shandong Luneng Taishan

21 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 :  2
Shandong Luneng Taishan

17 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Shandong Luneng Taishan
1 :  1
Shanghai Port F.C.
W W L D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 May 2026 - Chinese Super League

Shandong Luneng Taishan
4 :  1
Shanghai Shenhua

1 May 2026 - Chinese Super League

Shandong Luneng Taishan
1 :  1
Qingdao West Coast FC

17 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Shandong Luneng Taishan
1 :  1
Shanghai Port F.C.

4 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Shandong Luneng Taishan
1 :  2
Dalian Yingbo FC

14 Mar 2026 - Chinese Super League

Shandong Luneng Taishan
2 :  1
Beijing Guoan

7 Mar 2026 - Chinese Super League

Shandong Luneng Taishan
3 :  0
Shenyang City
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - Chinese Super League

Shenzhen Peng City
1 :  2
Shandong Luneng Taishan

26 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Qingdao Hainiu FC
4 :  1
Shandong Luneng Taishan

21 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 :  2
Shandong Luneng Taishan

11 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Henan FC
0 :  1
Shandong Luneng Taishan

21 Mar 2026 - Chinese Super League

Yunnan Yukun
4 :  0
Shandong Luneng Taishan

22 Nov 2025 - Chinese Super League

Wuhan Three Towns FC
1 :  5
Shandong Luneng Taishan
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Last matches
W W D L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 May 2026 - Chinese Super League

Shanghai Shenhua
2 :  2
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

5 May 2026 - Chinese Super League

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
1 :  1
Henan FC

1 May 2026 - Chinese Super League

Dalian Yingbo FC
1 :  0
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

26 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
1 :  1
Qingdao West Coast FC

21 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Shanghai Port F.C.
1 :  2
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

17 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
2 :  0
Shenzhen Peng City
W D W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 May 2026 - Chinese Super League

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
1 :  1
Henan FC

26 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
1 :  1
Qingdao West Coast FC

17 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
2 :  0
Shenzhen Peng City

11 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
2 :  1
Wuhan Three Towns FC

21 Mar 2026 - Chinese Super League

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
3 :  3
Chengdu Rongcheng

14 Mar 2026 - Chinese Super League

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
1 :  0
Shenyang City
W D W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 May 2026 - Chinese Super League

Shanghai Shenhua
2 :  2
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

1 May 2026 - Chinese Super League

Dalian Yingbo FC
1 :  0
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

21 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Shanghai Port F.C.
1 :  2
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

5 Apr 2026 - Chinese Super League

Hangzhou Greentown
0 :  1
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

7 Mar 2026 - Chinese Super League

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0 :  0
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

8 Nov 2025 - China League One

Ningbo Professional FC
0 :  2
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Shandong Luneng Taishan

100 %

Draw

0 %

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

9
Total goals
100%
BTTS
6
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

22 Jun 2024 - FA Cup

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
3 :  6
Shandong Luneng Taishan
Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Prediction

Shandong Luneng Taishan against Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Lineups: Starting 11

Shandong Luneng Taishan

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

14
W. Dalei
29
C. Pu
7
X. Wenneng
3
P. Xiao
33
G. Zhunyi
11
L. Yang
8
G. Madruga Gomes
10
V. Qazaishvili
38
M. Imran
19
Zeca
9
Cryzan
7
Y. Xiang
11
N. Dimata
9
G. Cimpanu
15
C. Chunxin
16
Z. Zhang
26
H. Xiaoqiang
3
Y. Zhang
33
L. Silva Afonso
6
J. Pengxiang
38
R. Qilong
1
Y. Haoyang

Formation : 5 - 2 - 3

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Substitutes

Shandong Luneng Taishan
Shandong Luneng Taishan
Goalkeeper

Y. Jinyong

Q. Liu

Defender

R. Yang

S. Songchen

P. Xiao 90'

W. Tong

Z. Zheng

Midfielder

Z. Chen

M. Imran 46'

R. Merkies

Zeca 72'

L. Binbin

H. Zhengyu

G. Madruga Gomes 72'

Forward

Y. Peng

D. Liuyu

C. Pu 90'

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Goalkeeper

W. Zitong

Y. Yerzat

Defender

H. Wang

S. Wei

X. Huang

Midfielder

M. Yujun

M. Liu

R. Qilong 46'

Y. Wu

Z. Zhang 68'

J. Liu

Forward

Y. Ng

J. Pengxiang 59'

Y. Bai

N. Dimata 81'

D. Yuezheng

Y. Xiang 59'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Shandong Luneng Taishan
CD Huachipato Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Cryzan (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Belgium N. Dimata (5 Goals)
Best assists
Georgia V. Qazaishvili (5 Assists)
Best assists
Romania G. Cimpanu (3 Assists)

Shandong Luneng Taishan - Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Key Points

  1. Chongqing are winless in five of their last 10 away outings, losing three.
  2. Shandong won four times in the last seven matches, losing once.
  3. Shandong won six times in their last 10 home matches.
  4. Chongqing lost in their only meeting with Shandong.
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Our Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Prediction

Shandong will go into their first ever league meeting with Chongqing as favorites. They won the only previous encounter between these two, in a cup game back in 2024. Ahead of this one, they are three match unbeaten with two straight wins as well as a good run at home.

On the other hand, Chongqing are winless in their last four games ahead of this and being newly promoted, they will have some struggles here and there. Our prediction for Shandong Luneng Taishan v Chongqing Tonglianglong is that Shandong Luneng Taishan wins.

Prediction :

 

Shandong Luneng Taishan wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Shandong Luneng Taishan Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Shandong Luneng Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Shandong Luneng Taishan wins 1.58 1.51 -4.4%
Draw 4.04 4.6 +13.9%
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC wins 5.8 7.25 +25.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Shandong Luneng Taishan is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 63.3% and is now 66.2% (2.9%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.