Senegal vs Sudan Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Joseph King in AFCON Predictions
The round of 16 in the 2025 African Cup of Nations officially gets underway on Saturday with Senegal taking on Sudan. The Falcons of Jediane have their work cut out for them against one of the tournament favourites in the Lions of Taranga. Check out our match prediction!
Sudan have a rich history in this competition. They were crowned champions in 1970 and prior to that, had racked up two runners-up finishes along with a third place medal. Since their title win, however, Sudan had only progressed from the group stage once (2012) prior to this year’s edition. They qualified for the knockout stages after finishing third in Group E on three points.
Senegal, on the other hand, have been one of the top performing teams in AFCON over the last decade. They won the title in 2021, finished as runners-up in 2019 and made the quarter-finals in 2017. Senegal cruised through Group D, finishing top of the standings with seven points and a +6 goal differential.
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The Best Betting Odds for Senegal v Sudan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.17 | 7 | 19 |
|
|
1.17 | 6.5 | 23 |
|
|
1.14 | 7 | 23 |
|
|
1.17 | 6.25 | 21 |
|
|
1.17 | 6.5 | 17 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Senegal and Sudan?
Our prediction for the Senegal vs Sudan match is: Senegal to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/01/2026 between Senegal and Sudan in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.02% for a win of Senegal against Sudan with odds of 1.18 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Senegal vs Sudan is 26.64% with odds of 8.1 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Sudan vs Senegal with odds of 30 at Melbet.
Senegal - Sudan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Senegal Sudan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Senegal wins | 61.02% | 1.18 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 61.72% | 2 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 28.13% | 3.6 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Senegal | 27.67% | 3.8 at Ladbrokes |
Senegal vs Sudan Form
Senegal and Sudan Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
5 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
29 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Dec 2025 - AFCON
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Dec 2025 - AFCON
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
29 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
26 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
Senegal vs Sudan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
29 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Senegal - Sudan: Form Analysis
Senegal come into their round of 16 fixture in good form. They claimed a 3-0 win over Botswana in the opener, followed that up with a 1-1 draw with DR Congo and closed out the group with a 3-0 victory over Benin.
They’ve successfully been able to carry over the good performances that they showed in the lead up to this year’s AFCON.
In their last nine matches, the only defeat that Senegal suffered was a 2-0 loss to Brazil. In that same time, the Teranga Lions were victorious on seven occasions, including an 8-0 thrashing of Kenya just before the start of AFCON.
Senegal rank first in both expected goals (7.6) and big chances created (16) in AFCON 2025.
Sudan advanced as one of the four best third-placed teams. They kicked off their AFCON campaign with a convincing 3-0 loss to Algeria before scraping a 1-0 win over Equatorial Guinea.
Sudan got that win via an own-goal, despite not creating a single clear cut scoring chance and having just two shots on goal. They closed out the group with a 2-0 defeat to Burkina Faso.
The underdogs have managed just a single victory in their last eight games in AFCON, international friendly and World Cup qualifying fixtures.
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Senegal vs Sudan last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Senegal & Sudan Squad Analysis
Senegal manager Pape Thiaw comes into this knockout round fixture with a clean bill of health. They will, however, be without the services of captain Kalidou Koulibaly, who was shown a straight red card against Benin after 71 minutes.
Strasbourg’s Mamadou Sarr and Lyon’s Moussa Niakhate are the most likely candidates to replace Koulibaly at the back. Elsewhere, Nicolas Jackson should return to the starting 11 after being rested in the team’s final group stage match.
Nicolas Jackson scored a brace in Senegal’s 3-0 win over Botswana.
Jackson spearheads what is one of the most fear-inducing front threes in the tournament. Sadio Mane, Nicolas Jackson and Iliman Ndiaye compliment each other well with a dangerous combination of speed, technique and guile.
Sudan don’t have any injury concerns to worry about, either. Special praise should go to goalkeeper Monged El Neel, who was instrumental in ensuring that his side kept a clean sheet against Equatorial Guinea and walked away with all three points.
El Neel was rested against Burkina Faso, but we expect him to be back between the posts for this huge match against Senegal.
Most goals and assists
Senegal
Sudan
C. Ndiaye
(2 Goals)
,
N. Jackson
(2 Goals)
K. Diatta
(1 Assists)
,
S. Mane
(1 Assists)
,
C. Sabaly
(1 Assists)
,
I. Jakobs
(1 Assists)
,
I. Sarr
(1 Assists)
Senegal and Sudan Stats in AFCON
Senegal - Sudan Key Points
- Sudan rank 19th in xG conceded (5.4) while Senegal rank fourth best (1.9).
- Sudan scored only one goal in the group stage, being shutout in two of their three games.
- Senegal won to nil in two of their three group stage games.
- Senegal kept a clean sheet against Sudan in both of their senior squad meetings in 2025.
- Senegal scored 29 and conceded just 5 in their last nine matches.
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Our Senegal vs Sudan Prediction
While the absence of experienced defender Koulibaly does make this a slightly trickier task for the Senegalese defense, they should have more than enough quality to successfully shut down a side that scored only once in the group stages.
Senegal were one of the top defensive teams in the group stage, and we already know what they can do on the attacking end with the likes of Mane, Ndiaye and Jackson. Sudan look to be in for a tough night. Our Senegal vs Sudan prediction: Senegal to win to nil.Senegal vs Sudan - Other Interesting Predictions
Nicolas Jackson anytime goalscorer
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
