Section Paloise vs Stade Toulousain Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

Section Paloise
01/11/2026 15:05
Stade Toulousain

Prediction :

 

Section Paloise wins on a -6.5 handicap

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Rugby Predictions

At the start of this set of matches in Top 14 Section Paloise (aka Pau) are third in the table, six points behind the leaders Stade Toulousain. Sunday sees them host the table toppers and Section Paloise have won all three of their home league games this season. Our prediction here is they will win on a -6.5 handicap.

Section Paloise have won five of their seven league games this season with the other two both being lost. Their last match saw them beaten away at RC Toulon who were winning their third straight home game in Top 14. Now they return to home soil and will be confident of beating the defending champions. 

All three of their home games in Top 14 this season have been won and each by more than seven points. 144 points have been scored with 71 conceded.

Section Paloise have won four of their last five home games against Stade Toulousain.

The visitors top the table after the first seven games of the new Top 14 season.  

Six of their seven league games have been won. The other was a loss away at Stade Rochelais. Their other two away league fixtures have been won at Vannes and Castres Olympique, but  narrowly by a combined points margin of seven points.

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Section Paloise v Stade Toulousain Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
1xbet
1.45 15.00 2.86
Melbet
1.45 15.00 2.86
Betwinner
1.45 15.00 2.86
22bet
1.45 15.00 2.93
Bet365
1.42 21.00 3.00
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Section Paloise vs Stade Toulousain Form

Section Paloise and Stade Toulousain's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Stade Toulousain
28 7 6 0 1 +78
3 Section Paloise
22 7 5 0 2 +37

Section Paloise and Stade Toulousain Last Matches

Section Paloise
Section Paloise Last matches
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

24 Oct 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
41 :  20
Section Paloise

18 Oct 2026 - Champions Cup

Section Paloise
41 :  17
Leicester Tigers

10 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Section Paloise
35 :  26
Castres Olympique

3 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Rugby Club Vannes
40 :  43
Section Paloise

26 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Section Paloise
39 :  17
Stade Rochelais

19 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
51 :  25
Section Paloise
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

18 Oct 2026 - Champions Cup

Section Paloise
41 :  17
Leicester Tigers

10 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Section Paloise
35 :  26
Castres Olympique

26 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Section Paloise
39 :  17
Stade Rochelais

12 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Section Paloise
70 :  28
Aviron Bayonne

13 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Section Paloise
31 :  33
Racing 92

6 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Section Paloise
71 :  35
US Montalbanaise
L L W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

24 Oct 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
41 :  20
Section Paloise

3 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Rugby Club Vannes
40 :  43
Section Paloise

19 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
51 :  25
Section Paloise

5 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
19 :  27
Section Paloise

30 May 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
26 :  18
Section Paloise

25 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
34 :  32
Section Paloise
Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

24 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
38 :  33
USA Perpignan

18 Oct 2026 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
43 :  40
Exeter RC Chiefs

11 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
45 :  34
Aviron Bayonne

3 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
7 :  8
Stade Toulousain

27 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
40 :  18
Montpellier Herault Rugby

19 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Rugby Club Vannes
23 :  29
Stade Toulousain
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

24 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
38 :  33
USA Perpignan

18 Oct 2026 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
43 :  40
Exeter RC Chiefs

11 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
45 :  34
Aviron Bayonne

27 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
40 :  18
Montpellier Herault Rugby

13 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
48 :  12
Union Bordeaux Begles

27 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
28 :  20
Montpellier Herault Rugby
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

3 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
7 :  8
Stade Toulousain

19 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Rugby Club Vannes
23 :  29
Stade Toulousain

6 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
30 :  27
Stade Toulousain

6 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Racing 92
31 :  20
Stade Toulousain

17 May 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
38 :  10
Stade Toulousain

9 May 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
27 :  51
Stade Toulousain

Section Paloise vs Stade Toulousain Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Section Paloise

33 %

Draw

0 %

Stade Toulousain

67 %

24 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
59 :  22
Section Paloise

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
30 :  26
Stade Toulousain

29 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
55 :  10
Section Paloise

19 Oct 2024 - Top 14

Section Paloise
14 :  22
Stade Toulousain

30 Mar 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
31 :  29
Section Paloise

5 Nov 2023 - Top 14

Section Paloise
13 :  9
Stade Toulousain
Section Paloise vs Stade Toulousain Prediction

Players list

Section Paloise
Section Paloise
S. Zegueur S. Grondona G. Garcia T. Laclayat B. Pesenti J. Montoya B. Gorgadze L. Kaulashvili R. Marta E. Gailleton A. Grandidier Nkanang A. Desperes F. Brau Boire H. Auradou T. Attissogbé
Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
M. Lebel P. Mauvaka B. Kinghorn A. Jelonch D. Aldegheri F. Cros C. Baille A. Capuozzo J. Brennan P. Graou K. Gourgues M. Remue E. Elías T. N'tamack T. Thomas

Substitutes

Section Paloise
Section Paloise
H. Parrou S. Tokolahi Y. Delhommel T. Souverbie C. Mondinat L. Credoz J. Maximin F. Isa
Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
M. Kouassi R. N'tamack A. Dupont T. Rapetti R. Martin Bonnard B. Bertrand T. lacombre M. Castro-Ferreira

Section Paloise - Stade Toulousain Key Points

  1. Section Paloise have won all three of their home league games this season.
  2. In all competitions, Section Paloise have won nine of their last ten home fixtures.
  3. Of those nine wins, eight were by at least a seven point margin.
  4. Stade Toulousain have lost four of their last five away games against Section Paloise.
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Our Section Paloise vs Stade Toulousain Prediction

Section Paloise began this weekend six points adrift of their opponents. They have won five of their seven league games this season with both of their losses coming on their travels. Home form has produced three impressive league wins and a victory in Europe.

Stade Toulousain are the defending champions and again top the table. They have had a few problems on their travels this season with two narrow wins and a loss at Stade Rochelais. Their record at Section Paloise is not good. Our Section Paloise v Stade Toulousain prediction is Section Paloise wins on a -6.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Section Paloise wins on a -6.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.