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Sebastian Korda vs Taylor Fritz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Japan Open

ATP - ATP Japan Open

ATP 74 USA
Sebastian Korda
27/09/2025 21:00
ATP 5 USA
Taylor Fritz

Prediction :

 

Fritz to win in three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Second seed Taylor Fritz will face off with countryman Sebastian Korda as he continues his quest for another title in Tokyo. They will battle in the quarter-finals to mark their fourth career meeting. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Sebastian Korda is having quite the debut at the Japan Open and is now just three wins away from his first title of the year. The American, who earned a runner-up finish in Adelaide at the start of the year, defeated the qualifier Sho Shimabukuro in the last round.

Earning his 17th win of the campaign, Korda defeated the Japanese player in straight sets. With injuries disrupting his season, Korda will be seeking a strong end to the year. He has shot up 12 places to 62nd in the live ranking.

Taylor Fritz lost to Korda the last time they met. This was at last year’s campaign in Montreal, and he will be wary of the threat his countryman poses.

The world number five, a former Tokyo champion, has won his last four fixtures. He has continued with his strong Laver Cup form. Fritz defeated Nuno Borges in straight sets to move past the second round here for the first time since his title-winning campaign.

Now with 47 wins, the 27-year-old, who has won two titles this year, is on course to record 50-plus wins for a third straight season.

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The Best Betting Odds for Sebastian Korda v Taylor Fritz Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.2 1.36
William Hill
3.1 1.36
Betway
3 1.38
Ladbrokes
3 1.35
Unibet
3 1.38
Check all Sebastian Korda vs Taylor Fritz odds
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Who will win the Sebastian Korda vs Taylor Fritz Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Sebastian Korda vs Taylor Fritz match is: Fritz to win in three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sebastian Korda vs Taylor Fritz game on 27/09/2025 of the current ATP Japan Open season:

  • Sebastian Korda has a 37.31% chance to win against Taylor Fritz according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 3.2.
  • Taylor Fritz has a 62.69% probability of winning facing Sebastian Korda ⭐ with odds of 1.39 at Betwinner.

Sebastian Korda vs Taylor Fritz Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sebastian Korda has a 37.31 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Sebastian Korda37.31 %
Taylor Fritz62.69 %

Sebastian Korda vs Taylor Fritz Form

Sebastian Korda and Taylor Fritz Last Matches

Sebastian Korda Last matches
L L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

25 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Sho Shimabukuro
0 :  2
Sebastian Korda

24 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Marcos Giron
1 :  2
Sebastian Korda

20 Sep 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open

Yibing Wu
2 :  1
Sebastian Korda

19 Sep 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open

Adam Walton
0 :  2
Sebastian Korda

25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Cameron Norrie
abort
Sebastian Korda

22 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Sebastian Korda
withdraw
Marton Fucsovics
Taylor Fritz Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

26 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Nuno Borges
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz

24 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Gabriel Diallo
1 :  2
Taylor Fritz

21 Sep 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches

Alexander Zverev
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz

20 Sep 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches

Carlos Alcaraz
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz

12 Sep 2025 - Davis Cup

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Jakub Mensik

2 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  1
Taylor Fritz

Sebastian Korda vs Taylor Fritz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sebastian Korda

33 %

Taylor Fritz

67 %

10 Aug 2024 - ATP National Bank Open

Sebastian Korda
2 :  0
Taylor Fritz

12 May 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Sebastian Korda

14 Apr 2022 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Sebastian Korda
Compare Sebastian Korda and Taylor Fritz with our comparison tool.

Sebastian Korda - Taylor Fritz Key Points

  1. Korda has lost 19 of 28 duels with top 10 players in his career.
  2. Fritz has won his last four fixtures.
  3. Fritz is a one-time Tokyo champion.
  4. Two of the three previous meetings between Fritz and Korda were won by the latter.
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Our Sebastian Korda vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

Our prediction for Sebastian Korda v Taylor Fritz is for Fritz to win in three sets. Fritz is in magnificent form at the moment and recently defeated two fellow top 10 players. The American has been one of the form players in 2025 and has won almost 50 fixtures.

Coupling this with his head-to-head advantage over Korda, he should be able to advance to the next round. Fritz is also a former Tokyo champion. Korda will be no pushover, though, and even if he has a poor record against top 10 players, he is a strong, hard-court player. He should therefore be able to make things tough for his compatriot.

Prediction :

 

Fritz to win in three sets

 
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Sebastian Korda vs Taylor Fritz Prediction
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