Sebastian Baez vs Sumit Nagal Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Rio Open

ATP - ATP Rio Open

ATP 56 Argentina
Sebastian Baez
18/02/2025 14:30
ATP 278 India
Sumit Nagal

Prediction :

 

Sebastian Baez wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Fifth seed Sebastian Baez will take on the unseeded Sumit Nagal to begin his Rio Open title defence. They will battle in the first round with the winner squaring off with Mariano Navone or Roberto Carballes Baena next. Below is our prediction for this match.

Sebastian Baez is defending the title plus the 500 points he won in this event last season. He arrives having had a shaky start to the season.

The Argentine has compiled a 4-4 record with all four of his wins coming on clay. Baez, who is coming off a second-round exit in Buenos Aires, will start a new week ranked 31st in the ATP.

The 24-year-old defeated Nagal in straight sets on clay in Geneva last season. 

Sumit Nagal is having a slow start to the season. He has lost six times in 10 outings with half of those losses coming on clay. The 27-year-old, who is coming off a first-round exit in Buenos Aires, has lost his last two matches. 

Yet to win a main draw tie at a tour event this season, Nagal has dropped to 130th in the live ranking. Nagal is a strong clay player and has registered close to 230 victories on clay in his career.

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Sebastian Baez v Sumit Nagal Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
1.23 4.22
Melbet
1.22 4.3
Betwinner
1.22 4.3
Bet365
1.2 4.5
Tonybet
1.19 4.3

Who will win the Sebastian Baez vs Sumit Nagal Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Sebastian Baez vs Sumit Nagal match is: Sebastian Baez wins the match.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sebastian Baez vs Sumit Nagal game on 18/02/2025 of the current ATP Rio Open season:

  • Sebastian Baez has a 69.6% chance to win against Sumit Nagal according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.23.
  • Sumit Nagal has a 30.4% probability of winning facing Sebastian Baez ⭐ with odds of 4.78 at Betobet.

Sebastian Baez vs Sumit Nagal Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sebastian Baez has a 69.6 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Sebastian Baez69.6 %
Sumit Nagal30.4 %

Sebastian Baez vs Sumit Nagal Form

Sebastian Baez and Sumit Nagal Last Matches

Sebastian Baez Last matches
L L L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

12 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Thiago Seyboth Wild

11 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

13 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  3
Arthur Cazaux

7 Jan 2025 - ASB Classic

Facundo Diaz Acosta
2 :  0
Sebastian Baez

23 Oct 2024 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Felix Auger Aliassime
2 :  0
Sebastian Baez

17 Oct 2024 - ATP European Open

Zizou Bergs
2 :  0
Sebastian Baez
Sumit Nagal Last matches
W W L L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

12 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires

Corentin Moutet
2 :  0
Sumit Nagal

8 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires

Sumit Nagal
2 :  1
Juan Pablo Ficovich

12 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Sumit Nagal
0 :  3
Tomas Machac

6 Jan 2025 - ASB Classic

Alex Michelsen
2 :  1
Sumit Nagal

4 Jan 2025 - ASB Classic

Adrian Mannarino
0 :  2
Sumit Nagal

3 Jan 2025 - ASB Classic

Alexander Klintcharov
1 :  2
Sumit Nagal

Sebastian Baez vs Sumit Nagal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sebastian Baez

100 %

Sumit Nagal

0 %

19 May 2024 - ATP Geneva Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Sumit Nagal

Sebastian Baez - Sumit Nagal Key Points

  1. Baez defeated Nagal in their only other previous encounter.
  2. All four of Baez’s victories this season have been on clay.
  3. Nagal has lost six times in 10 outings this season.
  4. Nagal has lost three times in five clay outings.
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Our Sebastian Baez vs Sumit Nagal Prediction

Our prediction for Sebastian Baez vs Sumit Nagal is that Sebastian Baez wins the match. Baez is the Rio defending champion and is on a five-match winning streak in this competition. The Argentine has won nine of the total 11 fixtures he has contested in this event.

As a clay specialist, we have him making a winning start to his title defence. Baez has also defeated Nagal on a clay surface the only other time they have been paired up against one another.

Prediction :

 

Sebastian Baez wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sebastian Baez vs Sumit Nagal Prediction