Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Winston-Salem Open

ATP - ATP Winston-Salem Open

ATP 64 Argentina
Sebastian Baez
19/08/2025 18:00
ATP 89 Spain
Pablo Carreño-Busta

Prediction :

 

Pablo Carreño-Busta win

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Tennis Predictions

Sebastian Baez will face off against Pablo Carreño-Busta in this ATP Winston-Salem round 32 fixture on Wednesday. The Argentine No. 2 will aim to edge out the 2016 US Open finalist to qualify for the next round. Follow our prediction for the match below.

Sebastian Baez will look to return to winning ways heading into this match after a disappointing outing in the Cincinnati Open early this month. The seven-time ATP singles champion lost 7-5, 6-4, against World No. 33 Gabriel Diallo to crash out of the tournament in the opening round. 

This result marked his third defeat in four matches. He has also lost 10 of his 11 matches on hard courts, including four of his last five meetings with lower-ranked players on the surface. The 24-year-old has also suffered defeats in his last two meetings with Pablo Carreño-Busta.

Pablo Carreño-Busta won his last match, easing past World No. 149 Yoshihito Nishioka in straight sets to book his ATP Winston-Salem round 32 slot. The Spanish star won 6-0, 6-3 in against the Japanese player to rack up his second victory in four matches. 

Notably, the World No.113 has been a nightmare for opponents on hard courts. He has won 13 of his last 16 matches played on the surface, including his two encounters with the 40th-ranked Sebastian Baez.

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Sebastian Baez v Pablo Carreño-Busta Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
2.78 1.46
Melbet
2.85 1.43
Betwinner
2.71 1.38
Bet365
2.75 1.44
BC Game
2.76 1.4
Check all Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreño-Busta odds

Who will win the Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreño-Busta match is: Pablo Carreño-Busta win.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreño-Busta game on 19/08/2025 of the current ATP Winston-Salem Open season:

  • Sebastian Baez has a 34.8% chance to win against Pablo Carreño-Busta according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.85.
  • Pablo Carreño-Busta has a 65.2% probability of winning facing Sebastian Baez ⭐ with odds of 1.46 at 1xbet.

Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sebastian Baez has a 34.8 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Sebastian Baez34.8 %
Pablo Carreño-Busta65.2 %

Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Form

Sebastian Baez and Pablo Carreño-Busta Last Matches

Sebastian Baez Last matches
L W L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Gabriel Diallo

7 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
David Goffin

23 Jul 2025 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Yannick Hanfmann
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez

18 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Luciano Darderi

16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  1
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

26 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
3 :  2
Sebastian Baez
Pablo Carreño-Busta Last matches
W L W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

17 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Yoshihito Nishioka
0 :  2
Pablo Carreño-Busta

5 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Pablo Carreño-Busta
0 :  2
Leandro Riedi

30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto

Arthur Fils
2 :  0
Pablo Carreño-Busta

28 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto

Liam Draxl
1 :  2
Pablo Carreño-Busta

28 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Frances Tiafoe
3 :  0
Pablo Carreño-Busta

25 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Pablo Carreño-Busta
3 :  0
Francisco Comesana

Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreño-Busta Key Points

  1. Sebastian Baez has lost three of his last four matches.
  2. Sebastian Baez has lost 10 of his last 11 matches on hard courts.
  3. Sebastian Baez has lost four of his last five matches against lower-ranked players on hard courts.
  4. Pablo Carreño-Busta has won 13 of his last 16 matches played on hard courts, excluding the walkover victory over Antoine Escoffier.
  5. Pablo Carreño-Busta has won his two encounters with Sebastian Baez.
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Our Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction

Despite sitting 73 places above Pablo Carreño-Busta, Sebastian Baez is not likely to get a result in this match. He has struggled lately, losing three of his last four matches. The situation has been dire for the Argentine on hard courts. He has lost 10 of his last 11 fixtures on the surface, including four of his last five against lower-ranked players. 

Pablo Carreño-Busta has been formidable on hard courts, winning 13 of his last 16 matches played. He has also won his last two meetings with Sebastian Baez. Our Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreño-Busta prediction is Pablo Carreño-Busta win.

Prediction :

 

Pablo Carreño-Busta win

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction