Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP National Bank Open
ATP - ATP National Bank Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Both Sebastian Baez and Mattia Bellucci are unseeded in the National Bank Open in Montreal. The winner will take on 31st seed Zizou Bergs in round two. Baez is the higher ranked player and has reached one outdoor hard court final this year, so our prediction is he will win.
Baez has struggled on this surface in the past with an 8-18 record in 2024 and 2025. He began this year well though with a win over Taylor Fritz in the United Cup and a run to the final of the outdoor hard court tournament played in Auckland and round three at Indian Wells.
He has had success on his preferred clay and was 53rd in the last ranking list, 28 places above Bellucci.
Baez has lost his last two matches on this surface.
Mattia Bellucci has a 12-9 record on outdoor hard courts this year, compared to his opponent's ten wins in 14 matches.
Bellucci has reached one Challenger Tour outdoor hard court final this year and was a quarter-finalist in Acapulco's ATP tournament.
This is his first tournament since June 23 and he has lost his last two matches played on this surface. His last outdoor hard court match saw him beaten in the qualifying rounds of the Miami Masters.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Sebastian Baez v Mattia Bellucci Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.8 | 2.02 |
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1.8 | 2.01 |
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1.8 | 2.01 |
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1.8 | 2.01 |
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1.8 | 2.01 |
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Who will win the Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci match is: Sebastian Baez wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci game on 03/08/2026 of the current ATP National Bank Open season:
- Sebastian Baez has a 56.46% chance to win against Mattia Bellucci according to Stake ⭐ with the odds of 1.8.
- Mattia Bellucci has a 43.54% probability of winning facing Sebastian Baez ⭐ with odds of 2.02 at Stake.
Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sebastian Baez has a 56.46 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | 56.46 % |
| Mattia Bellucci | 43.54 % |
Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Form
Sebastian Baez and Mattia Bellucci Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
23 Jul 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
22 Jul 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
21 Jul 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
17 Jul 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
16 Jul 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
14 Jul 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
23 Jun 2026 - ATP Eastbourne International
18 Jun 2026 - ATP Halle Open
16 Jun 2026 - ATP Halle Open
14 Jun 2026 - ATP Halle Open
13 Jun 2026 - ATP Halle Open
12 Jun 2026 - ATP Stuttgart Open
Sebastian Baez - Mattia Bellucci Key Points
- Baez has reached one ATP Tour outdoor hard court final this year.
- Baez was 28 places above his opponent in the last ranking list.
- Baez has a 10-4 record on this surface in 2026.
- Bellucci has had four first round losses this year and two defeats in qualifying in outdoor hard court tournaments this year.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci Prediction
Can Sebastian Baez recapture the form that he showed on this surface at the start of the year? He had some notable wins and was a finalist in Auckland. Recent tournaments on clay have seen him go deep in two of them.
Mattia Bellucci has reached one Challenger Tour final this year but struggled at this level. Four times in outdoor hard court tournaments he has lost in round one and was twice beaten in qualifiers. Our Sebastian Baez v Mattia Bellucci prediction is Sebastian Baez wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
