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Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Bastad Open

ATP - ATP Bastad Open

ATP 37 Argentina
Sebastian Baez
18/07/2025 09:50
ATP 55 Italy
Luciano Darderi

Prediction :

 

Luciano Darderi wins the match

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Fourth seed Sebastian Baez and sixth seed Luciano Darderi face off in a mouthwatering quarter-final at the Nordea Open. This will mark the sixth meeting between the two, with the winner setting up a match against Francisco Cerundolo or Damir Dzumhur. Follow on for our prediction below.

Baez has had an easy ride to this stage, getting a first-round bye and facing a qualifier in the second. Even against world No. 298 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, he struggled, needing to come from behind to win 2-1.

Now 43rd in the live rankings, the Argentine has suffered 10 losses in his last 13 matches. Though clay is his preferred surface, having won the Rio title, he has just two wins in his last 10 clay court games.

Darderi, who trails 4-1 in the head-to-head records between these players, has a much better run coming here. In just over one hour, he overcame Elias Ymer in straight sets to book his place here.

That was his fifth win in six matches, and in this shape, the Italian will feel like the favorite in this encounter. Sitting 55th in the live rankings, Darderi will be playing in his fourth quarter-final at tour level this season. He lost two and went on to win the Marrakech title after the third.

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The Best Betting Odds for Sebastian Baez v Luciano Darderi Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.2 1.67
William Hill
2.1 1.73
Betway
2.1 1.73
Ladbrokes
2.15 1.65
Unibet
2.16 1.7
Check all Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi odds
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Who will win the Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi match is: Luciano Darderi wins the match.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi game on 18/07/2025 of the current ATP Bastad Open season:

  • Sebastian Baez has a 49.14% chance to win against Luciano Darderi according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.21.
  • Luciano Darderi has a 50.86% probability of winning facing Sebastian Baez ⭐ with odds of 1.73 at William Hill.

Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sebastian Baez has a 49.14 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Sebastian Baez49.14 %
Luciano Darderi50.86 %

Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi Form

Sebastian Baez and Luciano Darderi Last Matches

Sebastian Baez Last matches
L L L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  1
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jack Draper
abort
Sebastian Baez

26 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
3 :  2
Sebastian Baez

20 May 2025 - ATP Hamburg Open

Sebastian Baez
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

15 May 2025 - Bordeaux, France

Rinky Hijikata
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez

9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Vit Kopriva
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez
Luciano Darderi Last matches
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Elias Ymer
0 :  2
Luciano Darderi

14 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Raphael Collignon
1 :  2
Luciano Darderi

4 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Luciano Darderi
1 :  3
Jordan Thompson

2 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Arthur Fery
0 :  3
Luciano Darderi

30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Luciano Darderi
3 :  2
Roman Safiullin

24 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International

Luciano Darderi
0 :  2
Marcos Giron

Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sebastian Baez

80 %

Luciano Darderi

20 %

26 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Sebastian Baez
3 :  1
Luciano Darderi

19 Jul 2024 - ATP Hamburg Open

Luciano Darderi
1 :  2
Sebastian Baez

15 Feb 2024 - ATP Buenos Aires

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Luciano Darderi

10 Feb 2024 - ATP Cordoba

Luciano Darderi
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez

8 Feb 2023 - ATP Cordoba

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Luciano Darderi
Compare Sebastian Baez and Luciano Darderi with our comparison tool.

Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi Key Points

  1. Baez lost 10 of his last 13 matches.
  2. In his last six matches, Darderi bagged five wins.
  3. Darderi won five times in his last nine matches on clay.
  4. Baez has two wins only in the last 10 matches on clay.
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Our Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi Prediction

Darderi has a good chance to cut Baez’s dominance in this matchup, as he has the better run of the two. He heads into this fixture with five wins in six and has done much better than Baez on clay in recent outings.

Both have won titles on clay this season, but on the strength of recent form, we expect the Italian to carry the day. Our prediction for Sebastian Baez v Luciano Darderi is that Luciano Darderi wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Luciano Darderi wins the match

 
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Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi Prediction
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