ATP - ATP Bastad Open


New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Fourth seed Sebastian Baez and sixth seed Luciano Darderi face off in a mouthwatering quarter-final at the Nordea Open. This will mark the sixth meeting between the two, with the winner setting up a match against Francisco Cerundolo or Damir Dzumhur. Follow on for our prediction below.
Baez has had an easy ride to this stage, getting a first-round bye and facing a qualifier in the second. Even against world No. 298 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, he struggled, needing to come from behind to win 2-1.
Now 43rd in the live rankings, the Argentine has suffered 10 losses in his last 13 matches. Though clay is his preferred surface, having won the Rio title, he has just two wins in his last 10 clay court games.
Darderi, who trails 4-1 in the head-to-head records between these players, has a much better run coming here. In just over one hour, he overcame Elias Ymer in straight sets to book his place here.
That was his fifth win in six matches, and in this shape, the Italian will feel like the favorite in this encounter. Sitting 55th in the live rankings, Darderi will be playing in his fourth quarter-final at tour level this season. He lost two and went on to win the Marrakech title after the third.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Sebastian Baez v Luciano Darderi Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|
![]() |
2.2 | 1.67 |
|
![]() |
2.1 | 1.73 |
|
![]() |
2.1 | 1.73 |
|
![]() |
2.15 | 1.65 |
|
![]() |
2.16 | 1.7 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Who will win the Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi match is: Luciano Darderi wins the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi game on 18/07/2025 of the current ATP Bastad Open season:
- Sebastian Baez has a 49.14% chance to win against Luciano Darderi according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.21.
- Luciano Darderi has a 50.86% probability of winning facing Sebastian Baez ⭐ with odds of 1.73 at William Hill.
Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sebastian Baez has a 49.14 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Sebastian Baez | 49.14 % |
Luciano Darderi | 50.86 % |
Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi Form
Sebastian Baez and Luciano Darderi Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
26 May 2025 - ATP French Open
20 May 2025 - ATP Hamburg Open
15 May 2025 - Bordeaux, France
9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
14 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
4 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
2 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
24 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International
Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
80 %
20 %
26 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open
19 Jul 2024 - ATP Hamburg Open
15 Feb 2024 - ATP Buenos Aires
10 Feb 2024 - ATP Cordoba
8 Feb 2023 - ATP Cordoba
Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi Key Points
- Baez lost 10 of his last 13 matches.
- In his last six matches, Darderi bagged five wins.
- Darderi won five times in his last nine matches on clay.
- Baez has two wins only in the last 10 matches on clay.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi Prediction
Darderi has a good chance to cut Baez’s dominance in this matchup, as he has the better run of the two. He heads into this fixture with five wins in six and has done much better than Baez on clay in recent outings.
Both have won titles on clay this season, but on the strength of recent form, we expect the Italian to carry the day. Our prediction for Sebastian Baez v Luciano Darderi is that Luciano Darderi wins the match.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Sebastian Baez vs. Luciano Darderi game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Sebastian Baez and Luciano Darderi when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on ATP Bastad Open!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake