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Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Hamburg Open

ATP - ATP Hamburg Open

ATP 38 Argentina
Sebastian Baez
20/05/2025 09:15
ATP 56 Argentina
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Prediction :

 

Ugo Carabelli to win in three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Two Argentines are set for battle when Sebastian Baez and Camilo Ugo Carabelli face off at the Hamburg Open. They’ll meet in the first round, this marking a sixth match pitting the two, and below we have a prediction.

The winner from this clash will progress to another all-Argentine affair, as either Tomas Martin Etcheverry or Francisco Comesana awaits. Eighth seed Baez will arrive for this match looking to improve on his recent performances.

Baez has made three finals this year, winning one title. His form dipped afterwards, and he has suffered four straight defeats after his first-round win at Barcelona. His latest outing was at the Bordeaux Challenger, where he lost to Rinky Hijikata in the opening round.

Ugo Carabelli has endured five defeats in as many matches against Baez. However, in Baez’s current form, Ugo Carabelli has a window to not only add to his pressures but also slow the dominance in this matchup.

All of their last five meetings came on clay surfaces, and in three of them, Carabelli won a set. He will seek to go one better, and a run of four wins in his last six matches will breed some confidence.

Here he will seek to rise from a straight-set defeat to Bu Yunchaokete in the Turin Challenger semi-final. That set him on a 21-10 record on clay.

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The Best Betting Odds for Sebastian Baez v Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.57 2.38
William Hill
1.57 2.38
Betway
1.6 2.3
Ladbrokes
1.33 3.1
Unibet
1.57 2.38
Check all Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli odds
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Who will win the Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli match is: Ugo Carabelli to win in three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli game on 20/05/2025 of the current ATP Hamburg Open season:

  • Sebastian Baez has a 59.49% chance to win against Camilo Ugo Carabelli according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.67.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 40.51% probability of winning facing Sebastian Baez ⭐ with odds of 3.1 at Ladbrokes.

Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sebastian Baez has a 59.49 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Sebastian Baez59.49 %
Camilo Ugo Carabelli40.51 %

Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Form

Sebastian Baez and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last Matches

Sebastian Baez Last matches
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

15 May 2025 - Bordeaux, France

Rinky Hijikata
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez

9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Vit Kopriva
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez

26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Sebastian Baez
1 :  2
Damir Dzumhur

16 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Holger Rune
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez

15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Damir Dzumhur

8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Tomas Machac
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez
Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last matches
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

17 May 2025 - Turin, Italy

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Yunchaokete Bu

16 May 2025 - Turin, Italy

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  1
Chun Hsin Tseng

15 May 2025 - Turin, Italy

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  0
Luca Nardi

14 May 2025 - Turin, Italy

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  0
Otto Virtanen

9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

7 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  1
Pablo Carreño-Busta

Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sebastian Baez

100 %

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

0 %

1 Mar 2025 - ATP Santiago Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

22 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

11 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Compare Sebastian Baez and Camilo Ugo Carabelli with our comparison tool.

Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Points

  1. Baez has lost all his last four matches.
  2. Ugo Carabelli has four wins in the last six matches on clay.
  3. Ugo Carabelli has 21 wins in 31 matches on clay this season.
  4. Ugo Carabelli dropped at least a set in six of his last eight matches.
  5. Three of the five meetings between these two saw three sets played.
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Our Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

Camilo Ugo Carabelli will never find a better chance to post his first-ever win against Sebastian Baez. Coming from the Turin Challenger semi-finals, Ugo Carabelli has form on his side and should be able to see off his compatriot, who is carrying into this game a four-match losing streak.

Ugo Carabelli’s run hasn’t been smooth, as he has dropped sets here and there, but he should be able to take advantage of Baez’s struggles. Our prediction for Sebastian Baez v Camilo Ugo Carabelli is for Ugo Carabelli to win in three sets.

Prediction :

 

Ugo Carabelli to win in three sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction
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