Scarlets vs Section Paloise Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions Cup

Europe - Champions Cup

Scarlets
10/01/2026 15:00
Section Paloise

Prediction :

 

Section Paloise wins on a +8.5 handicap

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Champions Cup Predictions

A win and a bonus point will take Scarlets into the knockout stages of the European Rugby Champions Cup. The Welsh club are fourth in Pool 4 and this weekend are home to bottom-placed Section Paloise (aka Pau). Read our match prediction below.

Scarlets have only earned a single point from their two pool fixtures. That has put them in the final qualifying place, ahead of Bulls on points difference and a point ahead of this weekend's opponents.

After an opening 17-16 loss to Bristol, Scarlets suffered a 50-21 defeat at Bordeaux. They are bottom of the United Rugby Championship with just two league wins this season and six defeats. Four of their five home league and cup games have been lost.

Scarlets have only won two of their last 12 matches.

Section Paloise are second in Top 14 but have struggled so far in this season's European Rugby Champions Cup. They lost at home to Northampton Saints in their openiing fixture and were then hammered 61-12 at Bristol.

Ten of their 14 league games this season have been won with three away victories. They were beaten in their most recent game but only lost by three points at Lyon. This could be close and we tip Section Paloise on a +7.5 handicap.

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The Best Betting Odds for Scarlets v Section Paloise Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.29 26 3.75
Unibet
1.28 29 3.7
Betway
1.25 26 4.25
Ladbrokes
1.25 26 4
NetBet
1.19 26 3.8
Check all Scarlets vs Section Paloise odds

Scarlets vs Section Paloise Form

Scarlets and Section Paloise's standings in the Champions Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Scarlets
Scarlets
1 2 0 0 2 -30
6
Section Paloise
Section Paloise
0 1 0 0 1 -8

Scarlets and Section Paloise Last Matches

Scarlets
Scarlets Last matches
W L L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

1 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Dragons
28 :  5
Scarlets

26 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
19 :  26
Ospreys

19 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Cardiff Rugby
17 :  21
Scarlets

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Union Bordeaux Begles
50 :  21
Scarlets

6 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Scarlets
16 :  17
Bristol RC Bears

29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
23 :  0
Glasgow Warriors
W L L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

26 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
19 :  26
Ospreys

6 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Scarlets
16 :  17
Bristol RC Bears

29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
23 :  0
Glasgow Warriors

10 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
0 :  34
Stormers

27 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
21 :  34
Munster

26 Apr 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
35 :  22
Leinster
L L L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

1 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Dragons
28 :  5
Scarlets

19 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Cardiff Rugby
17 :  21
Scarlets

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Union Bordeaux Begles
50 :  21
Scarlets

25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Hollywoodbets Sharks
29 :  19
Scarlets

18 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Lions
29 :  18
Scarlets

31 May 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Leinster
33 :  21
Scarlets
Section Paloise
Section Paloise Last matches
W L L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
22 :  17
Section Paloise

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
35 :  33
Montpellier Herault Rugby

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
17 :  53
Section Paloise

14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Bristol RC Bears
61 :  12
Section Paloise

7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Section Paloise
27 :  35
Northampton Saints

30 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
53 :  33
Stade Rochelais
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
35 :  33
Montpellier Herault Rugby

7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Section Paloise
27 :  35
Northampton Saints

30 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
53 :  33
Stade Rochelais

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
27 :  23
USA Perpignan

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
30 :  26
Stade Toulousain

11 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
47 :  24
Aviron Bayonne
L L W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
22 :  17
Section Paloise

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
17 :  53
Section Paloise

14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Bristol RC Bears
61 :  12
Section Paloise

21 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
33 :  34
Section Paloise

25 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Racing 92
15 :  10
Section Paloise

4 Oct 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
33 :  17
Section Paloise

Scarlets - Section Paloise Key Points

  1. Scarlets have lost their last two home games.
  2. Scarlets have only won two of their last 12 matches.
  3. Section Paloise have scored 70 points in their last two away fixtures.
  4. Section Paloise have won three away league games this season.
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Our Scarlets vs Section Paloise Prediction

This penultimate pool fixture is so important for both clubs. Section Paloise are in a battle with Scarlets and Bulls for the final qualification position and face those teams in their final two pool fixtures.

Scarlets have been struggling of late and the pressure is on their coach. Making it out of this pool would be a big boost. Section Paloise will be tough to beat and they have had three away wins this season. Our Scarlets v Section Paloise prediction is Section Paloise wins on a +7.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Section Paloise wins on a +8.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Scarlets vs Section Paloise Prediction