Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions
Sao Paulo’s round 27 assignment in the Brazilian Serie A is a home match against Palmeiras. Both sides are coming off wins in their latest league games, with Palmeiras rising to second while Sao Paulo are seventh. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Hosts Sao Paulo have come from a tough run, with three of their last five league matches ending in defeat. A win over relegation-threatened Fortaleza last time out was expected, and they did well to register a 2-0 victory.
Doing back-to-back wins will be the tougher job, especially as they face a much stronger opponent. This is a fixture Sao Paulo haven't won in the last eight meetings.
Palmeiras are challenging for the league title, and with a game in hand, they are in a really strong position.
Taking advantage of the Flamengo v Cruzeiro draw, Palmeiras beat Vasco da Gama 3-0 to leap to second place, at the expense of Cruzeiro.
Now they trail Flamengo by three points, though, with an inferior goal difference. This match finds the visitors on a run of seven wins in the last 10 matches across all competitions. They have only lost once in the process, at the hands of Bahia.
That also stands out as their only away loss in the last six matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for SAO Paulo v Palmeiras Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.4 | 2.75 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.88 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.88 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.55 | 2.95 | 2.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between SAO Paulo and Palmeiras?
Our prediction for the SAO Paulo vs Palmeiras match is: Palmeiras wins and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2025 between SAO Paulo and Palmeiras in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.14% for a win of SAO Paulo against Palmeiras with odds of 3.7 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between SAO Paulo vs Palmeiras is 25.41% with odds of 3 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Palmeiras vs SAO Paulo with odds of 2.38 at Betfred.
SAO Paulo - Palmeiras Prediction and Best Odds:
| SAO Paulo Palmeiras Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras wins | 47.45% | 2.38 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 69.76% | 1.32 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 31.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Palmeiras | 17.01% | 5.2 at Unibet |
SAO Paulo vs Palmeiras Form
SAO Paulo and Palmeiras's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
68 | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 29 |
|
9
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 1 |
SAO Paulo and Palmeiras Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
21 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
14 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
14 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
9 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
30 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
20 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
13 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
20 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
3 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
SAO Paulo vs Palmeiras Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Mar 2025 - Paulista Serie A1
16 Feb 2025 - Paulista Serie A1
18 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Apr 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 Mar 2024 - Paulista Serie A1
SAO Paulo against Palmeiras Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
R. Toloi
MidfielderL. Santos
ForwardJ. Calleri
R. Francisco
A. Silva
Khellven
MidfielderL. Evangelista
ForwardPaulinho
Most goals and assists
SAO Paulo
Palmeiras
Luciano
(9 Goals)
,
A. Silva
(9 Goals)
V. Roque
(20 Goals)
Luciano
(5 Assists)
, 
E. Diaz
(5 Assists)
Mauricio
(9 Assists)
SAO Paulo - Palmeiras Key Points
- Palmeiras won seven of their last 10 matches.
- Four of Palmeiras’ last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Sao Paulo lost four of their last five matches.
- Sao Paulo are winless in eight matches against Palmeiras.
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Our SAO Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction
Palmeiras will head into this match in a very strong position even though they recently lost to Bahia, a match that seemed winnable. It was an away-day stumble, which Palmeiras are expected to avoid here. The visitors have not lost to Sao Paulo in the last eight matches.
Sao Paulo, on their part, rose from four straight defeats last time out to beat struggling Fortaleza, but we don’t see them posting back-to-back wins here. That’s why our prediction for Sao Paulo v Palmeiras is that Palmeiras wins and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis SAO Paulo Palmeiras
| SAO Paulo vs Palmeiras | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAO Paulo wins | 2.88 | 3.5 | +21.5% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3 | -3.2% |
| Palmeiras wins | 2.5 | 2.25 | -10.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Palmeiras is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 44.4% (4.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the SAO Paulo vs. Palmeiras game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between SAO Paulo and Palmeiras? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Brasileirão Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
