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SAO Paulo vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
27/07/2025 15:00
Fluminense

Prediction :

 

SAO Paulo wins the match

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions

Hernan Crespo’s second spell at Brazilian giants Sao Paulo is slowly being felt as the team picks up. Sitting 12th, they will next play host to eighth-placed Fluminense in the Brazilian Serie A. Read on for our prediction of the match.

For the better part of the season, Sao Paulo have struggled and it was the reason the club handed Crespo the reins for a second stint. The team is coming from a second straight win, beating Juventude 1-0, and with that, rose into the Copa Sudamericana positions.

The home team has collected seven points from the last three matches, opening up a five-point gap from the relegation region.

Fluminense are going through tough times, and it seems taking part in the Club World Cup only kicked off their woes. The visitors are yet to win a game since their return from the USA, and they go into this one having lost each of the last four matches, three being after the World Cup.

Quite notably, the visitors had lost only two of the 10 matches right before heading to the global competition. They’ve now dropped from the Copa Libertadores positions, and another defeat could see them finish the week outside the Copa Sudamericana places.

Fluminense’s mission is made tougher by the fact they lost their last two away matches against Sao Paulo.

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The Best Betting Odds for SAO Paulo v Fluminense Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.25 3.1 3.5
Betfred
2.2 2.8 3.4
William Hill
2.3 2.9 3.4
Betway
2.2 3.1 3.4
Unibet
2.2 3 3.55
Check all SAO Paulo vs Fluminense odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between SAO Paulo and Fluminense?

Our prediction for the SAO Paulo vs Fluminense match is: Sao Paulo wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/07/2025 between SAO Paulo and Fluminense in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.62% for a win of SAO Paulo against Fluminense with odds of 2.4 at Bwin.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between SAO Paulo vs Fluminense is 24.47% with odds of 3.25 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Fluminense vs SAO Paulo with odds of 3.55 at Unibet.

SAO Paulo vs Fluminense Form

SAO Paulo and Fluminense's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Fluminense
Fluminense
20 14 6 2 6 -1
12
SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
19 16 4 7 5 -3

SAO Paulo and Fluminense Last Matches

SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo Last matches
L L L D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Juventude
0 :  1
SAO Paulo

19 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Corinthians

16 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
2 :  2
SAO Paulo

12 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  0
SAO Paulo

12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  3
Vasco Da Gama

31 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  1
SAO Paulo
D W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Corinthians

12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  3
Vasco Da Gama

27 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Talleres

24 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
0 :  2
Mirassol

17 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Gremio

14 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

SAO Paulo
1 :  1
Club Libertad
L W L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Juventude
0 :  1
SAO Paulo

16 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
2 :  2
SAO Paulo

12 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  0
SAO Paulo

31 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  1
SAO Paulo

20 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Nautico
1 :  2
SAO Paulo

11 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
SAO Paulo
Fluminense
Fluminense Last matches
W W L L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  2
Palmeiras

20 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
1 :  0
Fluminense

17 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
0 :  2
Cruzeiro

8 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
0 :  2
Chelsea

4 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
2 :  1
Al Hilal

30 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Inter Milan
0 :  2
Fluminense
D W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  2
Palmeiras

17 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
0 :  2
Cruzeiro

8 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
0 :  2
Chelsea

4 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
2 :  1
Al Hilal

21 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
4 :  2
Ulsan HD FC

17 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
0 :  0
Borussia Dortmund
D W W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

20 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
1 :  0
Fluminense

30 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Inter Milan
0 :  2
Fluminense

25 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Mamelodi Sundowns
0 :  0
Fluminense

1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
0 :  2
Fluminense

21 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil

AA Aparecidense GO
1 :  4
Fluminense

18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Juventude
1 :  1
Fluminense

SAO Paulo vs Fluminense Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

SAO Paulo

33 %

Draw

17 %

Fluminense

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

1 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  0
SAO Paulo

13 May 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Fluminense

22 Nov 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  0
SAO Paulo

1 Jul 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  0
Fluminense

5 Nov 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
3 :  1
SAO Paulo

17 Jul 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Fluminense
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SAO Paulo vs Fluminense last Lineups

SAO Paulo

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

23
Rafael
32
N. Ferraresi
5
R. Arboleda
35
Sabino
6
Cedric
20
Marcos Antonio
21
D. Bobadilla
25
Alisson
18
Wendell
10
Luciano
17
A. Silva
7
Y. Soteldo
14
G. Cano
90
K. Serna
8
M. Martinelli
35
Hercules
16
Nonato
12
G. Fuentes
22
J. Freytes
4
Ignacio
2
S. Xavier
1
Fabio

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Fluminense

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato SAO Paulo
CD Huachipato Fluminense
Top Goalscorer
Brazil A. Silva (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina G. Cano (6 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil A. Silva (4 Assists)
Best assists
Colombia J. Arias (6 Assists)

SAO Paulo and Fluminense Stats in Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
Fluminense
Fluminense
20%
Victories
50%
60%
Draw
20%
20%
Defeats
30%
1.7
Total goals per match
2.5
0.8
Goals scored per match
1.3
0.9
Goals conceded per match
1.2
30%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
Under 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
30%
No goals conceded
20%

SAO Paulo - Fluminense Key Points

  1. Fluminense have suffered four straight defeats.
  2. Sao Paulo are unbeaten in their last three league matches.
  3. Sao Paulo won their last two home matches against Fluminense.
  4. Fluminense suffered three defeats in the last five away league matches.
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Our SAO Paulo vs Fluminense Prediction

Fluminense were beaten in their last two visits to Sao Paulo, making it five straight matches at Sao Paulo without a win. They lost three times. It will make their work even harder that they haven't managed a win in the last four matches, losing all.

While Fluminense are going through that rough patch, Sao Paulo have been picking up. Well under Hernan Crespo and will come here with confidence high. Our prediction for Sao Paulo v Fluminense is that Sao Paulo wins the match.

Prediction :

 

SAO Paulo wins the match

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

SAO Paulo vs Fluminense Prediction
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