Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Joseph King | in Football Predictions
Free-falling Santos host Fluminense at the Estadio Urbano Caldeira for matchday 22 of the Brasileiro Serie A on Sunday. Peixe are sitting in 15th place with 21 points while the Tricolor find themselves in ninth on 27 points. Check out our match prediction below!
Following their humiliating 6-0 loss at home, Santos responded by immediately replacing manager Cleber Xavier with Juan Pablo Vojvoda. Unfortunately for the Argentine, his first match in charge didn’t see much of an improvement.
Santos failed to create any type of meaningful offense, managing just 0.37 expected goals en route to a 2-0 away loss to Bahia. The hosts have now lost their last two on the bounce and now return to the Urbano Caldeira with the fans demanding a better showing.
Santos now find themselves involved in a relegation scrap where they are currently maintaining just a two-point lead over the bottom four.
Fluminense suffered defeat in the Copa do Brasil quarter-final first leg in their last outing, falling 1-0 away from home to Bahia. They’ve now lost their last two in a row after also being beaten 4-2 on the road to RB Bragantino last weekend.
That result put an end to an encouraging run of two wins and a draw in three league matches. Flu find themselves five points off a spot in the top six and Copa Libertadores qualification.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Santos v Fluminense Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.45 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
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|
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2.4 | 3 | 3 |
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|
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2.45 | 3 | 2.9 |
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|
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2.4 | 3.1 | 3 |
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2.35 | 3.2 | 3.1 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Santos and Fluminense?
Our prediction for the Santos vs Fluminense match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/08/2025 between Santos and Fluminense in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.59% for a win of Santos against Fluminense with odds of 2.54 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Santos vs Fluminense is 19.2% with odds of 3.25 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Fluminense vs Santos with odds of 3.1 at Bet365.
Santos - Fluminense Prediction and Best Odds:
| Santos Fluminense Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fluminense wins | 45.21% | 3.1 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.29% | 2.38 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 60.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Fluminense/Fluminense | 18.1% | 5.5 at Betfair |
Santos vs Fluminense Form
Santos and Fluminense's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
44 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
|
16
|
31 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | -12 |
Santos and Fluminense Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
23 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
16 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
16 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
2 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
23 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Jul 2025 - Copa do Brasil
27 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
Santos vs Fluminense Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Nov 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Jul 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Aug 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Apr 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Oct 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
Players list
G. Brazao
DefenderI. Vinicius
Luan Peres
Ze Ivaldo
G. Escobar
MidfielderJ. Schmidt
Ze Rafael
ForwardD. Washington
Neymar
A. Barreal
T. Soares
Fabio
DefenderGuga
T. Silva
J. Freytes
Rene
MidfielderT. Santos
Otavio
Ganso
Y. Soteldo
ForwardK. Serna
I. Rabello
Substitutes
Diogenes
DefenderSouza
I. Vinicius
Luisao
J. Ananias Bento
MidfielderA. Barreal
Hyan
R. Junior
J. Schmidt
G. Morais Silva Bontempo
ForwardT. Soares
D. Washington
M. Pitaluga
DefenderJ. Fidelis
I. Rabello
Otavio
Y. Soteldo
T. Santos
V. Lima
R. Felipe
Ganso
J. Kennedy
Everaldo
Keno
Missing players
W. Arao
J. Basso
Ignacio
S. Xavier
Most goals and assists
Santos - Fluminense Key Points
- Fluminense have found the net at least once in five of their last six away matches across all competitions.
- There have been over 2.5 goals scored in six of Santos’ last seven games.
- Fluminense have seen over 2.5 goals scored in five of their last six league matches.
- The visitors see an average of 3.20 total goals scored in their away league fixtures this season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Santos vs Fluminense Prediction
While Fluminense did lose their last two in a row, there will be a sense of optimism around the club after advancing to the Copa Sudamericana quarter-final. Manager Renato Gaucho has a solid record at the helm of Fluminense and the fans will be confident of their team’s chances here.
Santos, meanwhile, really need a positive performance. There will undoubtedly be pressure on the players as they face the home crowd for the first time since the heavy defeat. If the hosts can find their attacking feet, this one could fly over the total. Our Santos vs Fluminense prediction: over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Santos Fluminense
| Santos vs Fluminense | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos wins | 2.35 | 2.45 | +4.3% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.1 | 0% |
| Fluminense wins | 3.1 | 3.1 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fluminense is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 32.3% (0.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Santos vs. Fluminense game

You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Santos and Fluminense when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Brasileirão Serie A!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.