Roma vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Roma return to the Serie A after European heartache in midweek and will host relegation-threatened Lecce. Sitting sixth after 29 rounds of play, Roma have won 24 points more than Lecce, who are in 17th. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Roma were dumped out of the Europa League in midweek by Serie A rivals Bologna. They had drawn the first leg of their round of 16 tie on the road and needed to win on home turf to progress.
They couldn't manage that and were defeated 4-3 in a grueling battle that needed extra time. The capital club has not won in five games and lost to Como last time out in the league.
I Lupi occupy the final spot into Europe for next season and sit three points off the top four.
Lecce’s last win against Roma was achieved 14 years ago. Though a huge chunk of the period since their last win saw them play outside the top flight, the visitors have struggled in the games they have played against Roma.
I Giallorossi have avoided defeat just twice in their last 10 matches against Roma. With this record, they could be destined for another setback in the capital.
Lecce were defeated 2-1 at Napoli last weekend. It was their third loss in the last four games and their 16th overall in the league, leaving them just three points above the relegation zone.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Roma v Lecce Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.47 | 4.6 | 7.6 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.18 | 7.6 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.18 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.9 | 8 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.1 | 7.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Lecce?
Our prediction for the Roma vs Lecce match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/03/2026 between Roma and Lecce in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.87% for a win of Roma against Lecce with odds of 1.51 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Lecce is 18.05% with odds of 4.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs Roma with odds of 8.15 at 888Starz.
Roma - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:
| Roma Lecce Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 62.87% | 1.51 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 53.42% | 2.5 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 53.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Roma | 30.11% | 4.2 at LSbet |
Roma vs Lecce Form
Roma and Lecce's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
73 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 |
|
17
|
38 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -22 |
Roma and Lecce Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2 Feb 2026 - Serie A
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
16 Feb 2026 - Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Jan 2026 - Serie A
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
6 Jan 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
16 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
Roma vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Jan 2026 - Serie A
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1 Apr 2024 - Serie A
5 Nov 2023 - Serie A
11 Feb 2023 - Serie A
Roma against Lecce Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
P. Gollini
G. De Marzi
DefenderD. Ghilardi
J. Ziolkowski
Angelino
B. Zaragoza
ForwardS. El Shaarawy
R. Vaz
L. Venturino
A. Arena
J. Samooja
C. Fruchtl
DefenderS. Fofana
G. Jean
C. Ndaba
M. Ignacio
MidfielderT. Helgason
F. Marchwinski
A. Sala
K. N’Dri
W. Cheddira
Missing players
M. Kone
ForwardE. Ferguson
M. Berisha
F. Camarda
Most goals and assists
Roma
Lecce
D. Malen
(14 Goals)
L. Banda
(5 Goals)
P. Dybala
(7 Assists)
A. Gallo
(4 Assists)
,
L. Banda
(4 Assists)
Roma - Lecce Key Points
- Lecce have scored in all but one of their last six games.
- Only one of Roma’s last 16 matches has seen them fail to score.
- Lecce have conceded 39 goals in 29 league games.
- Nine of Roma’s last 11 opponents have been able to find the net.
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Our Roma vs Lecce Prediction
Roma are looking to bounce back to winning ways. They will not want to pass up the chance to do so against one of the league’s struggling sides. The hosts are a strong attacking side and have kept their opponents under pressure even in their current winless run.
Lecce have also improved on the offensive side of their game as they seek to strengthen their survival chances. Facing a team coming off a grueling fixture in midweek, Lecce will fancy their chances and will be more than a handful for their hosts. Our prediction for Roma v Lecce is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Roma Lecce
| Roma vs Lecce | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 1.4 | 1.51 | +7.9% |
| Draw | 4.91 | 4.6 | -6.3% |
| Lecce wins | 10.1 | 8.15 | -19.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Roma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 66.2% (-5.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
