Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
The most solid defence in Serie A will be put to the test by the best attack when AS Roma and Inter Milan face off this weekend. In one of the big games lined up in the Italian topflight, second-placed Roma will welcome fourth-placed Inter Milan in a clash at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Read on to find our prediction of the match.
Roma haven't beaten Inter Milan at home since 2016! The Giallorossi will feel there isn’t a better time to end that unwanted run than now. For the hosts so far, it has been a season anchored on defensive solidity, and they could take that to Inter, albeit with big risks, given Inter Milan’s scoring form.
The visitors will be keen to maintain their unbeaten away run in this fixture. They will, however, be cognizant of the fact that this is a different Roma side they are meeting.
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The Best Betting Odds for Roma v Inter Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.1 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.2 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Inter Milan?
Our prediction for the Roma vs Inter Milan match is: both teams to score—NO.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2025 between Roma and Inter Milan in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.7% for a win of Roma against Inter Milan with odds of 3.78 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Inter Milan is 21.09% with odds of 3.34 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Inter Milan vs Roma with odds of 2.47 at Melbet.
Roma - Inter Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Roma Inter Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 46.21% | 2.47 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 54.27% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 42.08% | 1.83 at Betway |
| Half-time : Roma / Full-time : Inter Milan | 17.14% | 26 at Bet365 |
Roma vs Inter Milan Form
Roma and Inter Milan's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
15 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 |
|
4
|
15 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
Roma and Inter Milan Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sep 2025 - Serie A
24 Sep 2025 - Europa League
21 Sep 2025 - Serie A
14 Sep 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sep 2025 - Serie A
14 Sep 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
24 Sep 2025 - Europa League
21 Sep 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - Serie A
21 Sep 2025 - Serie A
17 Sep 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
21 Sep 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
25 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Sep 2025 - Serie A
17 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Serie A
12 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Roma vs Inter Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
10 Feb 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2023 - Serie A
6 May 2023 - Serie A
1 Oct 2022 - Serie A
Roma - Inter Milan: Form Analysis
If a team were to be described by how efficient it can be, Roma would be a perfect example. They have scored just seven goals in their opening six matches but conceded only twice.
Three of their first six league matches of the season were won with 1-0 margins. The hosts have packed five wins in their six league matches and lost once. This run has them tied on 15 points alongside the champions Napoli at the league summit.
A 2-1 win over Fiorentina in the last outing before the international break marked a third straight win for Roma. Two of their last three home games ended in defeats, though.
Roma are the best defensively, and Inter are the sharpest in attack in Serie A.
While Roma will be parading their defensive attributes, Inter Milan come into this match as the best in attack. They have so far netted 17 goals; that is an average of 2.8 goals per game.
In this shape, they will be very ready to test the Roma backline that has conceded 0.3 goals per match. These two sides aren’t far apart in average possession either, with Inter at 61.9% and Roma at 59.3%.
This is clearly going to be a serious tactical battle. Four straight wins away to Roma will build Inter’s confidence here. In three of the last four, they won with clean sheets.
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Roma against Inter Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
Angelino
R. Di Gennaro
DefenderM. Darmian
ForwardM. Thuram
Roma & Inter Milan Squad Analysis
Mile Svilar has settled well in the Roma goal, and his four clean sheets so far are the most by any keeper.
He comes into this match well aware of the kind of attack he’s facing, but with 88.2% saves, he has the home team’s trust. Roma are not all about defence; Matias Soule has been a leading light in attack.
The Argentine is one of the highest-rated forwards and has had five goal contributions: three goals and two assists in six matches.
Inter’s Marcus Thuram is second on big chances missed (6) so far this season.
Much of the attention at Inter Milan may be hogged by Inter Milan skipper Lautaro Martinez, but Federico Dimarco looks like their most potent player.
The Italian has five goal contributions in the opening six rounds. In the whole league, he’s only beaten on that front by the superb Cristian Pulisic and Como’s Nico Paz.
With a passing range of 86.1% accuracy and 26 touches in the opposition box, it is little wonder why Inter are great in attack. While he helps greatly in defence too, we’ll be interested to see how he handles the Roma back line.
Most goals and assists
Roma
Inter Milan
M. Soule
(3 Goals)
L. Martinez
(5 Goals)
, 
M. Thuram
(5 Goals)
M. Soule
(2 Assists)
A. Bastoni
(3 Assists)
,
A. Bonny
(3 Assists)
,
F. Dimarco
(3 Assists)
Roma - Inter Milan Key Points
- Inter Milan kept two clean sheets in the last four matches.
- In each of Roma’s last four home matches there was a clean sheet.
- Inter didn’t concede in their last two away matches.
- At least one side failed to score in Roma’s last five matches.
- Only one of the last five meetings between these teams has both sides score.
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Our Roma vs Inter Milan Prediction
The last four meetings in Rome, pitting these two sides, have really gone against the grain, producing three clean sheets, all in Inter’s favor. Each of the earlier six such matches had both teams scoring.
Going by the recent numbers, we can’t bank on the same in the Saturday game. With Roma strong defensively and Inter doing well in attack, it will be interesting to see which side prevails. In the end though, we don’t expect a lot of goals. Our prediction for Roma v Inter Milan is both teams to score—NO.
Roma vs Inter Milan - Other Interesting Predictions
Inter Milan to win
Inter Milan have dominated this encounter when visiting Roma, and they have the capacity to shock their hosts again. Roma’s only loss of the season was inflicted at home by Torino. The visitors are in good shape away from home and come here having won the last two matches on the road. Our second prediction for this match is for Inter Milan to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Roma Inter Milan
| Roma vs Inter Milan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 2.6 | 3.5 | +34.6% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.25 | -9.7% |
| Inter Milan wins | 2.5 | 2.15 | -14.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Inter Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 46.5% (6.5%)
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Roma vs Inter Milan match : Frequently asked questions
The Roma v Inter Milan match will be played on Saturday, 18th October.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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