Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Francesco Maestrelli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Italian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
Roberto Bautista Agut looks to get off to a winning start in this year's Italian Open. The Spaniard takes on Italian wild card Francisco Maestrelli in round one of this outdoor clay court tournament. With Maestrelli struggling, our match prediction will point towards an Agut victory.
A match against 30th seed Brandon Nakashima is the prize for the winner.
Agut was ranked 98th in the latest list but has been as high as ninth in the past. The 38-year-old has struggled for consistency this year with only six of his 18 matches being won. On clay he has a 2-5 record. He's yet to get past round two of a tournament this year.
Francisco Maestrelli will have the support of the home crowd in Rome. He will most likely need it because this year has seen him lose all five of his clay court matches. The 23-year-old is yet to win a set on this surface and overall has lost his last seven matches played on clay.
Maestrelli was down at 112th in the last published ranking list and his career-high is only 108th. Recently, he lost in round one of a Challenger Tour event to a player ranked outside the world's top 250.
We tip Agut to get the win.
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Roberto Bautista-Agut v Francesco Maestrelli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.56 | 2.43 |
|
|
1.54 | 2.48 |
|
|
1.53 | 2.5 |
|
|
1.53 | 2.38 |
|
|
1.53 | 2.38 |
|
Who will win the Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Francesco Maestrelli Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Francesco Maestrelli match is: Roberto Bautista Agut wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Francesco Maestrelli game on 07/05/2026 of the current ATP Italian Open season:
- Roberto Bautista-Agut has a 61.47% chance to win against Francesco Maestrelli according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.56.
- Francesco Maestrelli has a 38.53% probability of winning facing Roberto Bautista-Agut ⭐ with odds of 2.6 at Tonybet.
Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Francesco Maestrelli Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Roberto Bautista-Agut has a 61.47 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Roberto Bautista-Agut | 61.47 % |
| Francesco Maestrelli | 38.53 % |
Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Francesco Maestrelli Form
Roberto Bautista-Agut and Francesco Maestrelli Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
22 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
5 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
4 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
31 Mar 2026 - ATP BCR Open Romania
20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
19 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
20 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
11 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
4 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
31 Mar 2026 - ATP BCR Open Romania
16 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
5 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Roberto Bautista-Agut - Francesco Maestrelli Key Points
- Agut is 28 places above Maestrelli in the live rankings.
- Maestrelli has lost all five of his clay court matches this year and is seven without a win overall.
- Maestrelli is yet to win a set on clay this year.
- Maestrelli is playing in the main draw of this tournament for the first time after previously losing twice in qualifying.
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Our Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Francesco Maestrelli Prediction
Without a wild card, it is unlikely that Francisco Maestrelli would be playing in this Italian Open first round. He has twice lost in qualifying in 2023 and 2024 and is yet to even win a set this year in five clay court matches.
Roberto Bautista Agut's best days are well behind him but he is still in the world's top 100. He can put his years of experience to good use here and reach round two. Our Roberto Bautista Agut v Francisco Maestrelli prediction is Roberto Bautista Agut wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
