Portugal - Taca de Portugal
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by Kennedy Kechula in Football Predictions
Sporting Lisbon have one foot in the Portuguese Cup final after beating Rio Ave 2-0 in the first leg. The return leg of this tie will be hosted by Rio Ave on Tuesday. A one-off final with either Benfica or Tirsense awaits the winner here. We have the prediction for this match below.
By virtue of their first-leg loss, Rio Ave have all to play for here. They are winless in 11 straight matches against Sporting, and overturning this will definitely call for a big effort.
The last time Rio Ave beat Sporting was in a cup game six years ago. They warmed up for this match with a 1-1 draw at home to Santa Clara.
Sporting are chasing a double. They are involved in a two-way league battle with Benfica, who are also potential opponents in the final. Sporting will head into this match on a strong footing after first-leg goals from Geny Catamo and Viktor Gyokeres.
That marked the third straight win against Rio Ave. With the league race a tight one, Sporting will hope to finish the business early enough here and rest players.
Coming off eight wins in their last 10 matches, any result other than a win will be considered an upset for Sporting. They geared up for this game with a 3-1 league win against Moreirense.
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The Best Betting Odds for Rio Ave v Sporting Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12 | 5.25 | 1.25 |
|
|
9 | 5.5 | 1.29 |
|
|
9 | 5.5 | 1.22 |
|
|
9.25 | 5.2 | 1.18 |
|
|
11.1 | 5.3 | 1.29 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Sporting to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/04/2025 between Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon in Taca de Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 14.03% for a win of Rio Ave against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 12 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon is 27.66% with odds of 5.85 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave with odds of 1.38 at BC Game.
Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rio Ave Sporting Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 58.31% | 1.38 at BC Game |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.08% | 1.65 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon | 29.04% | 2 at Bet365 |
Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
25 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
25 Sep 2023 - Liga Portugal
6 Feb 2023 - Liga Portugal
Players list
C. Miszta
DefenderA. Ntoi
J. Tome
J. Panzo
MidfielderB. Aguilera
M. Vroussay
D. Tiknaz
J. Graca
J. Novais
ForwardC. Silva
Andre
R. Silva
DefenderI. Fresneda
Goncalo Inacio
J. St. Juste
Z. Debast
O. Diomande
M. Reis
MidfielderP. Goncalves
F. Trincao
M. Hjulmand
ForwardV. Gyokeres
Substitutes
M. Texeira
DefenderK. Kostoulas
Joao Pedro
MidfielderV. Gomes
O. Pohlmann
T. Bakoulas
M. Neto
ForwardK. Zoabi
T. Morais
F. Israel
DefenderQuaresma
R. Esgaio
MidfielderE. Freitas Monteiro Ferreira Felicissimo
ForwardG. Quenda
C. Harder
Biel
G. Catamo
M. Araujo
Most goals and assists
Rio Ave
Sporting Lisbon
C. Silva
(13 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(46 Goals)
M. Vroussay
(3 Assists)
,
C. Silva
(3 Assists)
F. Trincao
(15 Assists)
Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Both teams scored in three of Sporting's last four away matches in this competition.
- In four of Rio Ave’s last five home matches, both teams scored.
- Sporting won 10 of their last 12 games in this competition.
- Rio Ave lost twice in the last three home matches.
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Our Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
Sporting have a dominant run not just over Rio Ave but generally in this competition. This will be another opportunity to extend their run. The pressure in this game is with Rio Ave, who need a win to overturn their first-leg deficit.
Playing at home should come with some hope, and facing a Sporting side with other worries does too. While they may give Sporting some uncomfortable moments, we don’t see Rio Ave winning this. Our prediction for Rio Ave v Sporting Lisbon is for Sporting to win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rio Ave Sporting Lisbon
| Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave wins | 10 | 12 | +20.0% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 5.25 | +10.5% |
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.33 | 1.25 | -6.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 80.0% (4.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Rio Ave vs. Sporting Lisbon game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Taca de Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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