Reilly Opelka vs Dane Sweeny Prediction & Betting Tips - Brisbane International

ATP - Brisbane International

ATP 86 USA
Reilly Opelka
05/01/2026 01:30
ATP 132 Australia
Dane Sweeny

Prediction :

 

Dane Sweeny wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

The qualifier, Dane Sweeny, will be looking to continue with his winning start to the season when he faces off with Riley Opelka in Brisbane. This will be the first-ever match between these two. Read on for our prediction for this first-round showdown.

Reilly Opelka had a superb Brisbane campaign last year and finished as runners-up. The American was returning to the competition after a six-year hiatus. He fought against the odds and even had a famous victory against Novak Djokovic.

In his return, he will hope to go one better and end a four-year wait for a tour crown. Opelka ended 2025 ranked 52nd in the ATP. He won 33 matches but finished with three straight losses.

Dane Sweeny is in the main draw in Brisbane for the first time. He won both of his qualifiers with one set dropped. After defeating Jacon Fearnley in the first match, the Australian would need a decider in his next outing.

Facing off with compatriot Chris O’Connell, Sweeny won in two hours and 30 minutes after battling from a set down. The 24-year-old had a dominant 2025 campaign, and it is no surprise that he has started the season strongly.

Though largely competing outside the tour, Sweeny won an incredible 78 matches, with 71 of those being on hard courts.

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Reilly Opelka v Dane Sweeny Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.55 2.45
Betwinner
1.55 2.45
Bet365
1.62 2.3
Roobet
1.54 2.34
BC Game
1.51 2.42
Check all Reilly Opelka vs Dane Sweeny odds

Who will win the Reilly Opelka vs Dane Sweeny Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Reilly Opelka vs Dane Sweeny match is: Dane Sweeny wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Reilly Opelka vs Dane Sweeny game on 05/01/2026 of the current Brisbane International season:

  • Reilly Opelka has a 51.62% chance to win against Dane Sweeny according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.62.
  • Dane Sweeny has a 48.38% probability of winning facing Reilly Opelka ⭐ with odds of 2.45 at Melbet.

Reilly Opelka vs Dane Sweeny Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Reilly Opelka has a 51.62 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Reilly Opelka51.62 %
Dane Sweeny48.38 %

Reilly Opelka vs Dane Sweeny Form

Reilly Opelka and Dane Sweeny Last Matches

Reilly Opelka Last matches
W W L W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

3 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Reilly Opelka
0 :  2
Vit Kopriva

28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Corentin Moutet
2 :  1
Reilly Opelka

25 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Reilly Opelka
2 :  0
Mattia Bellucci

24 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Reilly Opelka

23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Reilly Opelka
2 :  1
Botic Van De Zandschulp

21 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Reilly Opelka
Dane Sweeny Last matches
L W L W W
Wins

3/5 (60%)

Losses

2/5 (40%)

3 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International

Dane Sweeny
2 :  1
Christopher O'Connell

2 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International

Jacob Fearnley
0 :  2
Dane Sweeny

7 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Dane Sweeny
0 :  2
Jaime Faria

6 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
0 :  2
Dane Sweeny

6 Oct 2023 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Dane Sweeny
0 :  2
Sebastian Baez

Reilly Opelka - Dane Sweeny Key Points

  1. Sweeny has won two matches in 2026.
  2. Opelka has lost 100 hard-court duels in his career.
  3. Sweeny has won over 200 matches on hard courts.
  4. Opelka has lost 100 hard-court duels in his career.
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Our Reilly Opelka vs Dane Sweeny Prediction

Our prediction for Reilly Opelka v Dane Sweeny is that Dane Sweeny wins. Opelka may have reached the Brisbane final last year, but he isn’t our bet to win this fixture. This is because he lacks match fitness, having not played in two months.

The American also finished last season in poor form and is on a three-match skid. Sweeny, on the other hand, has won twice already this season, excelling against players ranked higher. He is also a hardcourt specialist. Playing on home soil is also an added advantage for the Australian. 

Prediction :

 

Dane Sweeny wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Reilly Opelka vs Dane Sweeny Prediction