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by Kennedy Kechula | in ATP US Open Predictions
Second seed Carlos Alcaraz will next take on the unseeded Reilly Opelka to begin his quest for another US Open title. This will mark the first time the two players face off. Read on to see our prediction for this match.
This is Reilly Opelka’s biggest match of the year thus far. The American has already achieved success against top-10 opposition this year and will be determined to add another feather to his cap.
Opelka was most recently competing in Cincinnati, where he suffered a third-round exit. A finalist in Brisbane earlier in the year, Opelka has compiled a 28-21 record and is ranked 59th in the live ranking.
Carlos Alcaraz is in red-hot form; he has been for the entire season. The Spaniard has compiled an incredible 54-6 record, which has led to six titles, including the French Open.
Of the 12 tournaments he has been a part of, Alcaraz has made the semi-finals in at least nine. As a former US Open champion, he will be expected to once again challenge for the title.
The world number two, who has lost just once since losing the Barcelona Open final back in May, is coming off a title run in Cincinnati.
The winner from this match will face Juncheng Shang or Mattia Bellucci next.
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The Best Betting Odds for Reilly Opelka v Carlos Alcaraz Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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11 | 1.05 |
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10 | 1.05 |
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10 | 1.05 |
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9 | 1.06 |
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10.5 | 1.05 |
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Who will win the Reilly Opelka vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Reilly Opelka vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Alcaraz to win in four sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Reilly Opelka vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 25/08/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:
- Reilly Opelka has a 22.49% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 11.
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 77.51% probability of winning facing Reilly Opelka ⭐ with odds of 1.07 at 22bet.
Reilly Opelka vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Reilly Opelka has a 22.49 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Reilly Opelka | 22.49 % |
Carlos Alcaraz | 77.51 % |
Reilly Opelka vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Reilly Opelka and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
12 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
8 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
27 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
18 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
16 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
15 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
13 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
12 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Reilly Opelka - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Opelka has suffered 21 defeats this season.
- Alcaraz has lost just once in his last 31 outings.
- Alcaraz has claimed 16 victories in 20 hard-court outings this season.
- In his last 10 fixtures, Alcaraz has surrendered at least one set five times.
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Our Reilly Opelka vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Our prediction for Reilly Opelka v Carlos Alcaraz is for Alcaraz to win in four sets. Alcaraz has been in exceptional form this year and has won over 50 matches. He has been the player to beat, and coming into this tie, has suffered just one loss since May.
As a former US Open champion, he is a big favourite to win it all at Flushing Meadows. Despite his dominance, Alcaraz has sometimes not been fluid in his victories. Giving up a set or two has been a common occurrence for the Spaniard, and we expect this to be the case once again here. Opelka is a strong hard-court performer and has had success this season against top-10 opposition.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Reilly Opelka vs. Carlos Alcaraz game!
When you place a bet on the match between Reilly Opelka and Carlos Alcaraz you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Reilly Opelka or Carlos Alcaraz , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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