Spain - LaLiga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Sridhar Bhamidi | in LaLiga Predictions
Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano will look to kickstart their season and move up from the lower half of the 2025-26 La Liga table as the teams meet on matchday eight on Sunday. This match at the Reale Arena between the 18th-placed La Real and the 16th-placed Los Franjirrojos comes with our prediction of the away team avoiding defeat.
Both teams have an identical record in this campaign (W1, D2, L4), with only goal difference keeping Sociedad in the relegation zone and Vallecano in the safety zone.
Sociedad lost 2-1 away at Barcelona last matchday for their fourth defeat in five league games (W1, L4). Their lone win in this sequence came at home, when they won 1-0 against Mallorca on matchday six.
That win meant Sociedad have won four points from their three home league games this season (W1, D1, L1).
Vallecano are also coming off a narrow defeat, a 1-0 home loss against Sevilla last matchday. That was their third loss in the last four league games, with only a draw against Celta Vigo bucking the trend.
They would need this confidence to lift their performances, as Vallecano have lost three away league games in a row. Intriguingly, Vallecano’s only win in this league campaign came on the road.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.25 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.35 | 3.55 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano?
Our prediction for the Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano match is: draw or Rayo Vallecano wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2025 between Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.75% for a win of Real Sociedad against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 2.2 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano is 23.26% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad with odds of 3.55 at Unibet.
Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Sociedad Rayo Vallecano Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 42.75% | 2.2 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.03% | 2.08 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Sociedad | 19.8% | 5.5 at Betfair |
Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
15 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 |
|
14
|
13 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3 |
Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
24 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
19 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
19 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
24 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
14 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
14 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
15 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
18 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
27 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
Real Sociedad against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Elustondo
J. Martin
MidfielderY. Herrera
ForwardO. Oskarsson
A. Mumin
L. Felipe
ForwardS. Camello
Most goals and assists
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
M. Oyarzabal
(5 Goals)
J. De Frutos
(5 Goals)
,
A. Garcia
(5 Goals)
A. Barrenetxea
(3 Assists)
A. Ratiu
(2 Assists)
,
U. Lopez
(2 Assists)
,
A. Garcia
(2 Assists)
,
I. Palazon
(2 Assists)
,
P. Chavarria
(2 Assists)
Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Sociedad lost four of their last five league matches, winning only once.
- Vallecano’s only win in this league campaign came away from home.
- In five of their seven league games, Sociedad saw both teams score goals.
- Vallecano avoided defeat in their last four league matches against Sociedad.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
There’s very little to separate these sides, and that’s a testimony to their struggles. Sociedad haven’t quite got into rhythm and need a lift up from four defeats in the last five matchdays. Vallecano have an equally poor record but will lean on their recent historical record against Sociedad to lift their spirits. Vallecano will also look to channel the heroics of matchday one, away from home, that landed their only win of the league season.
The visitors are likely to push for a positive result, and our Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano prediction is draw or Rayo Vallecano wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Sociedad Rayo Vallecano
| Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 3.3 | 3.5 | +6.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Sociedad is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 47.6% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
