Raphael Collignon vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Raphael Collignon is unbeaten on clay this year but on the Challenger Tour. Now he moves up to the ATP Tour and faces fellow unseeded player Matteo Berrettini in round one of the Madrid Open. Time for our match prediction.
2026 has been following the same path for Collignon as last year. In 2025, he won the Challenger Tour titles in Pau (hard court) and Monza (clay) and has repeated that feat this year. He won both of those titles without losing a set.
He also played two matches on clay for Belgum in the Davis Cup, winning both in straight sets.
Whoever wins this match will be up against the fourth seed Ben Shelton in round two.
Matteo Berrettini was the runner-up in Madrid five years ago. The Italian has had so many injuries in his career and had to retire from his first round match in Madrid in 2025. He didn't start playing on tour until February this year and is 5-5 on clay.
A quarter-final was reached in Rio and he made it to round three in Monte Carlo in his last tournament. In the live rankings, he is 100th, 35 places adrift of his Belgian opponent. We tip Collignon to win this.
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Raphael Collignon v Matteo Berrettini Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 1.98 |
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|
1.83 | 1.98 |
|
|
1.8 | 2 |
|
|
1.77 | 1.95 |
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|
1.77 | 1.95 |
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Who will win the Raphael Collignon vs Matteo Berrettini Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Raphael Collignon vs Matteo Berrettini match is: Raphael Collignon wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Raphael Collignon vs Matteo Berrettini game on 22/04/2026 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Raphael Collignon has a 51.46% chance to win against Matteo Berrettini according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.83.
- Matteo Berrettini has a 48.54% probability of winning facing Raphael Collignon ⭐ with odds of 2 at Bet365.
Raphael Collignon vs Matteo Berrettini Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Raphael Collignon has a 51.46 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | 51.46 % |
| Matteo Berrettini | 48.54 % |
Raphael Collignon vs Matteo Berrettini Form
Raphael Collignon and Matteo Berrettini Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
22 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
19 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
4 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
8 Feb 2026 - Davis Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Davis Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
31 Mar 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
22 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
19 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
Raphael Collignon vs Matteo Berrettini Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
21 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
Raphael Collignon - Matteo Berrettini Key Points
- Collignon won the recent Monza Challenger Tour event for the second successive year.
- Collignon has played seven matches on clay this year, winning them all in straight sets.
- Berrettini is 35 places below Collingnon in the live rankings.
- Berrettini also trails Collignon in the ATP Live Race.
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Our Raphael Collignon vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction
Raphael Collignon is yet to lose a match or even a set on clay this year. He's won all seven of his matches on this surface and also had a quarter-final on hard courts. His recent Monza Challenger Tour title win saw him beat three players ranked between 94 and 106 at the time.
Matteo Berrettini is 100th in the live rankings and has reached one ATP Tour clay court quarter-final this year. He still lacks a bit of consistency with three first/second round exits on clay this year. Our Raphael Collignon v Matteo Berrettini prediction is Raphael Collignon wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
