France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
PSG not being on top of the French Ligue 1 isn’t a sight many are used to. Les Parisiens will be at home to Auxerre in their next match, looking to rise from a rare loss. We have a prediction below.
The league and European champions’ last outing in Marseille didn’t go to plan as PSG suffered a 1-0 loss, their first defeat this season, which saw them fall from top spot, overtaken by Monaco.
Despite their failings at the Velodrome, PSG are expected to mark their home return with a win, this being the first game after the big wins at the Ballon d’Or awards.
Auxerre will be motivated to add to PSG’s woes when they visit the Parc des Princes. The visitors had the perfect liftoff for this game, after beating Toulouse 1-0 in the last match.
They will be gunning for an even bigger scalp as they go for a third win of the season. The last time Auxerre won three times in the opening six league matches was over two decades ago.
However, they come into this game with a poor run of results away from home. Auxerre lost four times in their last five away matches in Ligue 1; among the teams to have beaten them was PSG.
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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Auxerre Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 7 | 13 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.18 | 7 | 13 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.21 | 7 | 12 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Auxerre?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Auxerre match is: PSG to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2025 between PSG and Auxerre in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 69.07% for a win of PSG against Auxerre with odds of 1.24 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Auxerre is 14.83% with odds of 8.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Auxerre vs PSG with odds of 15.5 at Shangrila.
PSG - Auxerre Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Auxerre Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 69.07% | 1.24 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.9% | 1.46 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 35.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 31.7% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
PSG vs Auxerre Form
PSG and Auxerre's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 13 |
|
18
|
7 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -12 |
PSG and Auxerre Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Aug 2025 - UEFA Super Cup
9 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
PSG vs Auxerre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
21 May 2023 - Ligue 1
13 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1
PSG against Auxerre Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Missing players
Marquinhos
MidfielderJ. Neves
ForwardO. Dembele
D. Doue
F. Oppegard
S. Diomande
MidfielderO. El Azzouzi
Most goals and assists
PSG
Auxerre
J. Neves
(5 Goals)
L. Sinayoko
(3 Goals)
Vitinha
(7 Assists)
I. Osman
(2 Assists)
PSG - Auxerre Key Points
- PSG failed to score once in their last five matches.
- Auxerre scored in four of their last five league matches.
- PSG are unbeaten in their last three home matches against Auxerre.
- Both sides scored in three of Auxerre’s last five away league matches.
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Our PSG vs Auxerre Prediction
PSG find themselves in unfamiliar territory after their loss to Marseille last week. However, that was just a blip, and the champions are expected to bounce back, especially when they play at home. They have done well against Auxerre over the years, and this will not be a game to cause them jitters.
Auxerre will look to take advantage of this period to shock the champions. They may not achieve it, but we can’t rule out a goal for them. Our prediction for PSG v Auxerre is for PSG to win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Auxerre
| PSG vs Auxerre | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.11 | 1.2 | +8.1% |
| Draw | 8.5 | 7 | -17.6% |
| Auxerre wins | 21 | 13 | -38.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 90.1% and is now 83.3% (-6.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
