Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Porto will look to open a five-point gap at the Primeira Liga summit when they host Nacional on Saturday. After four rounds, these teams are already six points apart, Nacional arriving for this game in 10th place. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Porto have had a flying start to the season and come here seeking a fifth straight win in the league. They had a dismal performance at the Club World Cup, but that just fueled their desire to do even better.
The hosts scored a massive win and morale boost ahead of the international break by beating champions Sporting 2-1. The fact that this match was played away from home made the victory even sweeter.
Nacional also went into the break on a high, after registering their first win of the season. In an away match at Casa Pia, Jesus Ramirez and Paulinho Boia scored first-half goals to deliver a 2-0 win.
Now they head into another even tougher away match, and the odds will be stacked heavily against the visitors. In their opening three matches they picked up just a point, and among their losses was a 4-1 outcome against Sporting.
While Nacional haven't had great times against FC Porto, they did win the corresponding fixture last season, beating the league giants 2-0.
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The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Nacional Madeira Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.15 | 6.5 | 17 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.18 | 6 | 15 |
|
|
1.18 | 6 | 15 |
|
|
1.18 | 6.5 | 14 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Nacional Madeira?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Nacional Madeira match is: Porto to win without conceding.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/09/2025 between Porto and Nacional Madeira in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.46% for a win of Porto against Nacional Madeira with odds of 1.2 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Nacional Madeira is 17.81% with odds of 7.2 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Nacional Madeira vs Porto with odds of 17 at Bet365.
Porto vs Nacional Madeira Form
Porto and Nacional Madeira's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
|
9
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
Porto and Nacional Madeira Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
31 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
Porto vs Nacional Madeira Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2021 - Liga Portugal
12 Jan 2021 - Taca de Portugal
20 Dec 2020 - Liga Portugal
12 May 2019 - Liga Portugal
Porto vs Nacional Madeira last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
M. Fernandes
ForwardW. Gomes
L. De Jong
I. Fernandes
MidfielderM. Baeza
Deivison
Most goals and assists
Porto
Nacional Madeira
S. Aghehowa
(2 Goals)
, 
Pepe
(2 Goals)
,
B. Sainz
(2 Goals)
,
W. Gomes
(2 Goals)
J. Ramirez
(2 Goals)
A. Costa
(3 Assists)
J. Mendes Gomes
(2 Assists)
Porto - Nacional Madeira Key Points
- Porto won 3-0 in their last meeting with Nacional.
- Nacional lost six times in their last 10 away league games.
- Nacional won just one of their first four matches of the season.
- Porto have conceded once in their opening four league outings.
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Our Porto vs Nacional Madeira Prediction
There is no question about Porto coming into this game as the favorites. The home team has the momentum and is coming from a tough outing against Sporting, winning that to maintain a perfect record. They have dominated this match, and the last time these two sides met, Porto won without conceding.
Nacional are only coming off their first win of the season, and they are not only facing the best scoring side but also one of the toughest defensively. Our prediction for FC Porto v Nacional is for Porto to win without conceding.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Porto vs. Nacional Madeira game!
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Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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