Porto vs Gil Vicente Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Portuguese League leaders Porto continue their title charge in Round 19 with a home game against Gil Vicente. Dragões (Dragons) already beat Galos (Roosters) 2-0 in the first meeting, and will be looking for a similar or better result in front of fans. But would Vicente lose in over two months? Let's get into this match prediction!
Sporting CP’s win over Arouca on Saturday has only increased the pressure on Porto, with only four points now separating the two teams. For Porto, doing the double over Vicente at this crucial stage is non-negotiable. In truth, the Dragons have been in impeccable form since the start of the season.
Porto did just draw Viktoria Plzen on the road in the Europa League, but were on a nine-game winning run with six clean sheets and only three goals conceded. In the league, Porto has won a staggering 17 of its 18 games, only drawing the other against Mourinho’s Benfica. However, that doesn't make the next challenge any easier.
The Roosters enter with their own unbeaten record, now boasting no defeats in their last six games. Still, Vicente’s only win in that run came in the latest game, featuring a 2-1 win over Nacional. Interestingly, Gil Vicente has racked up seven draws (the second-most) and has also lost the second-fewest number of games (3).
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Porto v Gil Vicente Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.37 | 4.6 | 9 |
|
|
1.37 | 4.54 | 9.6 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.94 | 9.2 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.5 | 8.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Gil Vicente?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Gil Vicente match is: Both Teams To Score - No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/01/2026 between Porto and Gil Vicente in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.24% for a win of Porto against Gil Vicente with odds of 1.38 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Gil Vicente is 31.07% with odds of 4.94 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Gil Vicente vs Porto with odds of 10 at LSbet.
Porto - Gil Vicente Prediction and Best Odds:
| Porto Gil Vicente Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 53.24% | 1.38 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.82% | 2.06 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 65.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Porto/Porto | 24.2% | 2 at Bet365 |
Porto vs Gil Vicente Form
Porto and Gil Vicente's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
88 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | +48 |
|
6
|
50 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +9 |
Porto and Gil Vicente Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
29 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
4 Dec 2025 - Portugal League Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
Porto vs Gil Vicente Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
25 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Sept 2023 - Liga Portugal
26 Feb 2023 - Liga Portugal
Porto against Gil Vicente Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
C. Ramos
DefenderF. Moura
A. Costa
MidfielderA. Varela
S. Eustaquio
O. Pietuszewski
R. Mora
D. Gul
W. Gomes
Lucao
DefenderHevertton
A. Espigares
MidfielderM. Bamba
S. Bermejo
J. Fernandes
M. Fernandez
C. Eduardo
A. Moreira
Missing players
L. De Jong
F. Caseres
Most goals and assists
Porto
Gil Vicente
S. Aghehowa
(13 Goals)
Murilo
(11 Goals)
G. Veiga
(8 Assists)
L. Esteves
(8 Assists)
Porto - Gil Vicente Key Points
- Porto has conceded only four goals in 18 games (the fewest). And that's just 0.22 per game!
- Gil Vicente has also been a defensive powerhouse, conceding only 13 goals in 18 (the fourth-fewest).
- Porto has kept a whopping 14 clean sheets this season (the most), only failing to do so in four games.
- Vicente has also been exceptional, keeping nine clean sheets (fourth-most), which is half of its games so far.
- Porto has kept a clean sheet in six of its eight away games so far.
- Porto has kept a clean sheet in seven of its last eight league games.
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Our Porto vs Gil Vicente Prediction
Looking at the stats from both teams, it's just hard to justify goals from both ends. Defensively, Porto is unmatched in the Portuguese league and across Europe, conceding just four goals in 18 games.
And while Vicente’s record pales in comparison, they're still the fourth-best defensive team in the league, with the fourth-most clean sheets and fourth-fewest goals conceded. If anything, you can expect this game to end just like last time, with the Dragons coming out on top unscathed. Hence, our Porto vs Gil Vicente prediction is Both Teams To Score - No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Porto Gil Vicente
| Porto vs Gil Vicente | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 1.42 | 1.38 | -2.8% |
| Draw | 4.3 | 4.94 | +14.9% |
| Gil Vicente wins | 7.4 | 10 | +35.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 70.4% and is now 72.5% (2.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
