USA - Major League Soccer
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Major League Soccer Predictions
Philadelphia Union will look to stay in touch with the leaders, FC Cincinnati, in the MLS Eastern Conference when they host New York Red Bulls. This match on Sunday at Subaru Park between the second-placed Union and the eighth-placed Red Bulls comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Union’s 40 points put them two points behind leaders Cincinnati after 21 matches. New York’s 30 points put them one point outside the top seven, a requirement to qualify for the Final Series.
A 1-0 away loss at Nashville last weekend meant Philadelphia lost charge of their top-place push. It was the second defeat in a row in the league with the same margin.
Those two losses ended a run of 11 games without loss (W8, D3) for the Union, who are still the best defensive unit of the division. Playing at home gives an extra push, as Union haven’t lost in their last ten competitive home matches (W7, D3).
The Red Bulls come here in search of a win that will end a four-game winless streak in the league (D3, L1). All three draws have come in a row, including a 1-1 away stalemate last weekend at San Jose Earthquakes.
New York have concerns on the road, winning just one away league game this season (W1, D3, L6).
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The Best Betting Odds for Philadelphia Union v New York Red Bulls Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 3.6 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.6 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.65 | 3.95 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls?
Our prediction for the Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/07/2025 between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls in Major League Soccer :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.33% for a win of Philadelphia Union against New York Red Bulls with odds of 1.94 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls is 35.67% with odds of 3.94 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 16% chance ⭐ for a win of New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union with odds of 4.8 at Melbet.
Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls Prediction and Best Odds:
| Philadelphia Union New York Red Bulls Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union wins | 48.33% | 1.94 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.9% | 1.92 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 71.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Philadelphia Union/Philadelphia Union | 24.38% | 3 at Bet365 |
Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls Form
Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls's standings in the Major League Soccer
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
57 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 23 |
|
9
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - Major League Soccer
29 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
25 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
14 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
31 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
24 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
21 May 2025 - US Open Cup
14 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
10 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
7 May 2025 - US Open Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - Major League Soccer
29 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
25 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
31 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
17 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
25 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
14 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
31 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
31 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
21 May 2025 - US Open Cup
10 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
26 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - Major League Soccer
25 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
14 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
24 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
17 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
14 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Aug 2024 - Major League Soccer
6 Jul 2024 - Major League Soccer
3 Sep 2023 - Major League Soccer
8 Aug 2023 - Leagues Cup
6 May 2023 - Major League Soccer
20 Nov 2021 - Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union against New York Red Bulls Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
I. Glavinovich
MidfielderJ. Bueno
ForwardM. Uhre
M. Morales
MidfielderL. Morgan
ForwardC. Harper
S. Ngoma
Most goals and assists
Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls
T. Baribo
(16 Goals)
E. Choupo-Moting
(15 Goals)
K. Wagner
(10 Assists)
E. Forsberg
(6 Assists)
Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls Key Points
- Four of Philadelphia Union’s last five league fixtures saw one or fewer goals.
- In five of their last eight MLS fixtures, the Red Bulls have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Likewise, in four of their last five away league fixtures, New York Red Bulls have seen exactly two goals scored.
- Philadelphia’s tally of 21 goals is the lowest conceded by any side in the Eastern Conference.
- Nine of the last ten MLS fixtures between the Union and the Red Bulls have seen fewer than three goals.
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Our Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls Prediction
This is a clash of two sides that have proud defensive records in this MLS season. Philadelphia Union have conceded just 21 goals, which is the lowest in the Eastern Conference, while the Red Bulls’ tally of 25 goals conceded is bettered by only three Eastern sides. That makes goals in this contest a premium, which was also the case in the matches between these sides recently.
The low-scoring trend could continue in this fixture, and our Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Philadelphia Union New York Red Bulls
| Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union wins | 2.1 | 1.91 | -9.0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.6 | +2.9% |
| New York Red Bulls wins | 3.3 | 3.9 | +18.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Philadelphia Union is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 52.4% (4.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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