Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Prediction & Betting Tips - Major League Soccer
USA - Major League Soccer
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Major League Soccer Predictions
The first round of the MLS postseason playoffs will have Philadelphia Union facing off with Chicago Fire. Philadelphia will host the first leg this Monday, and the aggregate winner will meet Charlotte or New York City. Read on to find our prediction.
Eastern Conference top seeds Philadelphia will go into this match in a confident mood, having bagged three wins in the last four matches. They also dominated this fixture in the regular season, winning by an aggregate of 5-0.
An 18-game unbeaten run at home in all competitions backs up Philadelphia’s rating as favorite here. They won each of their last four home matches, keeping three clean sheets.
Chicago Fire had to get past Orlando City for this slot. They did so in convincing fashion, winning 3-1, and now they have a chance to avenge their two defeats in the regular season.
Their win over City marked a sixth unbeaten outing and a fourth win this run. It was more of a stroll as Hugo Cuypers grabbed a brace to add to Bryan Gutierrez’s opener.
By the time Orlando got their goal, it was a mere consolation. Their away form is checkered, but they posted five wins in their last 10 on the road. The last team to beat them on their travels was Philadelphia Union.
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The Best Betting Odds for Philadelphia Union v Chicago Fire Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.81 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.95 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.75 | 3.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire?
Our prediction for the Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire match is: Philadelphia Union wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2025 between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.93% for a win of Philadelphia Union against Chicago Fire with odds of 1.93 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire is 28.54% with odds of 3.95 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union with odds of 4.36 at 22bet.
Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire Prediction and Best Odds:
| Philadelphia Union Chicago Fire Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union wins | 42.93% | 1.93 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.8% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 48.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Philadelphia Union/Philadelphia Union | 18.12% | 3 at Bet365 |
Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Form
Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
4 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
27 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
20 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
16 Sept 2025 - US Open Cup
13 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
20 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
23 Aug 2025 - Major League Soccer
13 Aug 2025 - US Open Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Major League Soccer
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
27 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
16 Sept 2025 - US Open Cup
13 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
30 Aug 2025 - Major League Soccer
16 Aug 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
18 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
4 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
30 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
27 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
20 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
4 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
27 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
13 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
6 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
16 Aug 2025 - Major League Soccer
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
30 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
20 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
23 Aug 2025 - Major League Soccer
19 Jul 2025 - Major League Soccer
16 Jul 2025 - Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Aug 2025 - Major League Soccer
25 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
3 Jul 2024 - Major League Soccer
24 Feb 2024 - Major League Soccer
11 Mar 2023 - Major League Soccer
29 Jun 2022 - Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union against Chicago Fire Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
J. Rafanello
L. Barroso
V. Radojevic
MidfielderA. Franco
ForwardC. Mueller
Most goals and assists
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
T. Baribo
(18 Goals)
H. Cuypers
(19 Goals)
K. Wagner
(11 Assists)
P. Zinckernagel
(15 Assists)
Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire Key Points
- Chicago Fire lost their last two matches against Philadelphia.
- Chicago Fire failed to win in five of the last eight away games.
- Philadelphia was the last team to beat Fire away from home.
- Philadelphia are on four straight wins in their home matches.
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Our Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Prediction
When hosting this clash, Philadelphia Union have had an impressive run, avoiding defeat in 10 matches. This meets up with their current one of 18 home matches without defeat. Philadelphia also dominated their matches against Fire in the regular season, and with the confidence they carry into this game, this is only likely to go their way.
Fire failed to score in the last two meetings with Philadelphia, who, understandably, have been solid. This time they might be breached, though. Our prediction for Philadelphia Union v Chicago Fire is that Philadelphia Union wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Philadelphia Union Chicago Fire
| Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union wins | 1.68 | 1.81 | +7.7% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.6 | -7.7% |
| Chicago Fire wins | 4.5 | 4 | -11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Philadelphia Union is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 55.2% (-4.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire game!
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Try your luck on this year's Major League Soccer! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
