Perth Glory vs Melbourne City Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Matchday 22 in the A-League will draw to a close with Perth Glory taking on Melbourne City at HBF Park on Sunday. The Glory are 11th in the league standings, while the City Boys are in seventh place. Let’s get into the match prediction.
It has been another tough season for Perth Glory. While they have surpassed their 17 points from last term - now on 22 - they are still second-bottom in the league standings with five games to go.
The Glory suffered their 11th defeat of the season last week, losing 2-0 to Wellington Phoenix. They are now winless in their last six league matches and have conceded two or more goals in five of those games.
The hosts have the worst home record in the A-League this term, with 10 points earned in as many games, and they were beaten by this opponent 5-0 at this venue last season.
Meanwhile, Melbourne moved up to seventh place last week thanks to an against-the-odds 1-0 victory over Sydney FC. They now trail the Mariners in sixth place by just two points.
That victory over the Sky Blues brought an end to the City Boys’ five-game winless run in the top flight and marked the first time they kept a clean sheet since January 6 against Brisbane Roar.
The visitors have taken 14 points from their 11 away league matches this season (W3 D5 L3) and have scored the second-fewest away goals in the A-League to date.
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Perth Glory v Melbourne City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 3.65 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.48 | 1.98 |
|
|
4.34 | 3.62 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.6 | 1.86 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.4 | 1.95 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Perth Glory and Melbourne City?
Our prediction for the Perth Glory vs Melbourne City match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/03/2026 between Perth Glory and Melbourne City in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.56% for a win of Perth Glory against Melbourne City with odds of 4.34 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Perth Glory vs Melbourne City is 27.23% with odds of 3.75 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne City vs Perth Glory with odds of 1.98 at Melbet.
Perth Glory - Melbourne City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Perth Glory Melbourne City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City wins | 47.21% | 1.98 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.51% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 50.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne City | 18.29% | 5 at Bet365 |
Perth Glory vs Melbourne City Form
Perth Glory and Melbourne City's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
38 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
|
10
|
31 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -7 |
Perth Glory and Melbourne City Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2026 - A-League
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
13 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - A-League
31 Jan 2026 - A-League
16 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2026 - A-League
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
25 Jan 2026 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2026 - A-League
10 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
3 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
18 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
18 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - A-League
11 Jan 2026 - A-League
6 Jan 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2026 - A-League
10 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
11 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
7 Feb 2026 - A-League
30 Jan 2026 - A-League
Perth Glory vs Melbourne City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Dec 2025 - A-League
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
15 Feb 2025 - A-League
10 Nov 2024 - A-League
3 Aug 2024 - FFA Cup
14 Apr 2024 - A-League
Perth Glory against Melbourne City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
R. Warner
DefenderA. Lebib
Z. Lisolajski
J. Kucharski
C. Timmins
A. Didulica
L. Tevere
J. Nieuwenhuizen
DefenderH. Delbridge
H. Shillington
E. Durakovic
Z. Schreiber
L. Wong
A. Nabbout
Most goals and assists
Perth Glory
Melbourne City
A. Taggart
(5 Goals)
, 
T. Lawrence
(5 Goals)
,
N. Pennington
(5 Goals)
M. Caputo
(8 Goals)
J. Kucharski
(3 Assists)
A. Kuen
(4 Assists)
Perth Glory - Melbourne City Key Points
- Five of Perth Glory’s last seven league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Perth Glory have only kept one clean sheet in their last six home league matches.
- Four of Melbourne City’s last seven league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Three of Melbourne City’s last four away league games against this opponent ended with both teams scoring.
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Our Perth Glory vs Melbourne City Prediction
While Perth Glory have been slightly better this season compared to last, they are now limping to the finish line, winless in their last six league games, while having conceded two or more goals in all but one of those matches.
To their credit, the Glory have been scoring goals fairly regularly, which is something Melbourne will need to be aware of. Despite winning their last match, we need to see a few more positive results before we can back the City Boys with any real confidence. Our Perth Glory vs Melbourne City prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Perth Glory Melbourne City
| Perth Glory vs Melbourne City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory wins | 3.5 | 4.34 | +24.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.75 | +10.3% |
| Melbourne City wins | 2.11 | 1.98 | -6.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.4% and is now 50.5% (3.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Perth Glory vs. Melbourne City game!
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Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
