PAOK Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens Prediction & Betting Tips - Superleague
Greece - Superleague
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
The traveling AEK Athens may have already won the league, but the 2nd-placed PAOK will be desperately looking for a win to protect their Champions League spot from 3rd-placed Olympiacos. But considering that AEK are unbeaten in the championship round, we’re backing them to win or draw in this match prediction, despite being the underdogs.
Interestingly, AEK Athens opened the championship round with a resounding 3-0 win over PAOK late last month. They went on to draw with Panathiniakos (0-0) in the second game before their latest win over the same team. That run now marks a staggering 27 games undefeated in their last 30 games in all competitions.
And in those 30 games with only three defeats, not a single one came in the regular season or championship round. In fact, the Yellow and Blacks have only tasted defeat twice in 30 league games this season. The tricky thing is that one of those defeats actually came to PAOK in October last year.
Still, this is a much different Asprómavri (White-Blacks), who can only boast a single win in their last six games. The dynamics of this game obviously favour PAOK as the visitors have already won the league with nothing to play for. However, the White-Blacks’ poor form against an AEK side that refuses to lose in Greece leaves us backing the visitors.
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PAOK Thessaloniki v AEK Athens Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.82 | 3.35 | 4 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.34 | 4.19 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.38 | 4.38 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.5 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.4 | 4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PAOK Thessaloniki and AEK Athens?
Our prediction for the PAOK Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens match is: Draw or AEK Athens.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/05/2026 between PAOK Thessaloniki and AEK Athens in Superleague :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.11% for a win of PAOK Thessaloniki against AEK Athens with odds of 1.92 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PAOK Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens is 29.86% with odds of 3.6 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.03% chance ⭐ for a win of AEK Athens vs PAOK Thessaloniki with odds of 4.38 at Betwinner.
PAOK Thessaloniki - AEK Athens Prediction and Best Odds:
| PAOK Thessaloniki AEK Athens Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PAOK Thessaloniki wins | 35.11% | 1.92 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.11% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 57.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: PAOK Thessaloniki | 13.6% | 4.9 at LSbet |
PAOK Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens Form
PAOK Thessaloniki and AEK Athens's standings in the Superleague
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
72 | 32 | 21 | 9 | 2 | +37 |
|
3
|
64 | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | +34 |
PAOK Thessaloniki and AEK Athens Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Superleague
3 May 2026 - Superleague
25 Apr 2026 - Greece Cup
19 Apr 2026 - Superleague
5 Apr 2026 - Superleague
22 Mar 2026 - Superleague
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Superleague
25 Apr 2026 - Greece Cup
5 Apr 2026 - Superleague
15 Mar 2026 - Superleague
1 Mar 2026 - Superleague
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Superleague
19 Apr 2026 - Superleague
22 Mar 2026 - Superleague
8 Mar 2026 - Superleague
4 Mar 2026 - Superleague
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Superleague
3 May 2026 - Superleague
19 Apr 2026 - Superleague
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
5 Apr 2026 - Superleague
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Superleague
19 Apr 2026 - Superleague
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
22 Mar 2026 - Superleague
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
7 Mar 2026 - Superleague
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Superleague
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
5 Apr 2026 - Superleague
15 Mar 2026 - Superleague
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
1 Mar 2026 - Superleague
PAOK Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Apr 2026 - Superleague
15 Feb 2026 - Superleague
19 Oct 2025 - Superleague
11 May 2025 - Superleague
30 Mar 2025 - Superleague
2 Feb 2025 - Superleague
PAOK Thessaloniki against AEK Athens Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
A. Tsiftsis
D. Monastirlis
DefenderA. Vogliacco
J. Sanchez
G. Taylor
MidfielderD. Tsopouroglou
D. Pelkas
A. Bianco
D. Chatsidis
L. Ivanusec
A. Mythou
G. Giakoumakis
A. Angelopoulos
DefenderH. Moukoudi
S. Pilios
M. Georgiev
MidfielderD. Kutesa
R. Ljubicic
N. Eliasson
M. Grujic
R. Pereyra
P. Mantalos
H. Sahabo
L. Jovic
Most goals and assists
PAOK Thessaloniki
AEK Athens
A. Jeremejeff
(8 Goals)
, 
G. Konstantelias
(8 Goals)
L. Jovic
(17 Goals)
A. Zivkovic
(10 Assists)
R. Marin
(6 Assists)
PAOK Thessaloniki - AEK Athens Key Points
- AEK Athens are unbeaten in two of their three games against PAOK, even winning the latest encounter by 3-0.
- AEK have only lost one of its last 15 away games.
- Additionally, AEK have only lost three of its last 30 games in all competitions.
- AEK have been exceptional on the road, losing the fewest away games this season (just one of 15).
- AEK have conceded the 2nd-fewest away goals this season (12).
- AEK have conceded the 2nd-fewest goals (18) and kept the 2nd-most clean sheets (18) this season.
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Our PAOK Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens Prediction
Despite being the heavy underdogs, it’s AEK that looks like the true favourites in this game. The Yellow and Blacks have edged PAOK in every metric we’ve checked. What’s more, AEK have practically been an away specialist all season, losing just one of 15 away games on the road in the league.
And as if almost poetically, AEK have also lost just one of their last 15 away games in all competitions, while losing just three of 30 both home and away. Hence, our PAOK Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens prediction is Draw or AEK Athens.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PAOK Thessaloniki AEK Athens
| PAOK Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK Thessaloniki wins | 2.35 | 1.92 | -18.3% |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.6 | +14.3% |
| AEK Athens wins | 2.8 | 4.38 | +56.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PAOK Thessaloniki is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 18.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.6% and is now 52.1% (9.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
