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Palmeiras vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Club World Cup

World - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
04/07/2025 21:00
Chelsea

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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 by Sridhar in Club World Cup Predictions

Chelsea will hope to carry the English Premier League’s remaining hopes in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup as they play Brazilian side Palmeiras in the quarter-finals on Saturday. This match to be played at the Lincoln Financial Field between Verdao and the Blues comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals. The winner goes on to play the semi-final against the winner of Fluminense vs Al Hilal. Read further to find more about our analysis, team news, and match predictions.

Brazilian sides have been surprisingly impressive in this tournament, perhaps due to familiar weather conditions. Palmeiras have been no different and have already kept three clean sheets in four matches here. Chelsea also have two clean sheets from their four games in the tournament, so this could be a tight battle for supremacy.

Can Chelsea carry the flag of English teams further in the tournament? Or will Palmeiras bring a swift end to their stay?

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The Best Betting Odds for Palmeiras v Chelsea Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.75 3.3 2.05
Betfred
4 3.4 2.05
William Hill
3.7 3.2 2.05
Betway
3.75 3.2 2.05
Unibet
3.85 3.3 2.04
Check all Palmeiras vs Chelsea odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Palmeiras and Chelsea?

Our prediction for the Palmeiras vs Chelsea match is: under

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/07/2025 between Palmeiras and Chelsea in Club World Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.59% for a win of Palmeiras against Chelsea with odds of 4 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Palmeiras vs Chelsea is 12.46% with odds of 3.4 at Betfred.
  • Our prediction model gives a 50.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Palmeiras with odds of 2.12 at 22bet.

Palmeiras vs Chelsea Form

Palmeiras and Chelsea Last Matches

Palmeiras
Palmeiras Last matches
W L D W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Botafogo

23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Inter Miami CF
2 :  2
Palmeiras

19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
2 :  0
AL Ahly SC

15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
0 :  0
Porto

1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
2 :  1
Palmeiras

28 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
6 :  0
Sporting Cristal
W L W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
0% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Botafogo

19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
2 :  0
AL Ahly SC

15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
0 :  0
Porto

28 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
6 :  0
Sporting Cristal

25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
0 :  2
Flamengo

22 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras
3 :  0
Ceara
W W W W L D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Inter Miami CF
2 :  2
Palmeiras

1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
2 :  1
Palmeiras

18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
1 :  2
Palmeiras

7 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno
0 :  2
Palmeiras

4 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
0 :  1
Palmeiras

30 Apr 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Ceara
0 :  1
Palmeiras
Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
W W W L W D
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  4
Chelsea

24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Esperance Sportive De Tunis
0 :  3
Chelsea

20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Flamengo
3 :  1
Chelsea

16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
2 :  0
Los Angeles FC

28 May 2025 - Conference League

Betis
1 :  4
Chelsea

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Chelsea
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
2 :  0
Los Angeles FC

16 May 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Manchester United

8 May 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Djurgardens IF

4 May 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Liverpool

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Everton

17 Apr 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Legia Warszawa
L W W L W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  4
Chelsea

24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Esperance Sportive De Tunis
0 :  3
Chelsea

20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Flamengo
3 :  1
Chelsea

28 May 2025 - Conference League

Betis
1 :  4
Chelsea

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Chelsea

11 May 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

Palmeiras vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

12 Feb 2022 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
2 :  1
Palmeiras
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Palmeiras - Chelsea: Form Analysis

Palmeiras defeated fellow Brazilian side Botafogo 1-0 via extra time in the round of 16 to book their spot in the quarter-finals. That made it three draws and a win during regular time in this competition.

The Brazilians topped Group A ahead of Inter Miami despite finishing on the same points (W1, D2). Three clean sheets in this tournament suggest they are going to be a tough nut to crack. Indeed, they have 10 clean sheets in their last 14 matches.

Palmeiras lost the 2021 Club World Cup final to Chelsea!

That gives a chance for the Brazilians to take revenge, but the Blues have a story of their own in this edition. They needed extra time to defeat Benfica 4-1 in the round of 16 for a third win in their four matches of this competition.

Their lone loss came against Flamengo, a 3-1 defeat in the group stage. That loss ultimately saw Chelsea finish second in Group D with two wins and a defeat. With Inter Milan and Manchester City out of the tournament, their path to the finals looks easier than anticipated.

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Palmeiras vs Chelsea last Lineups

Palmeiras

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

21
Weverton
4
A. Giay
15
G. Gomez
3
B. Fuchs
22
J. Piquerez
32
E. Martinez
40
A. Elias
41
Estevao
8
R. Rios
18
Mauricio
9
V. Roque
10
C. Palmer
9
L. Delap
7
P. Neto
8
E. Fernandez
45
R. Lavia
25
M. Caicedo
3
M. Cucurella
5
B. Badiashile
6
L. Colwill
24
R. James
1
R. Sanchez

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Chelsea

Palmeiras & Chelsea Squad Analysis

Defender Murilo has a thigh injury and is set to miss the rest of the tournament for Palmeiras. The Brazilians also have Bruno Rodrigues and Figueiredo out of contention with injuries.

To make matters worse, captain Gustavo Gomez and Joaquin Piquerez are unavailable for this match due to suspension. They could continue to feature in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with former Barcelona man Vitor Roque likely to play as the lone striker.

Estevao will line up against his future employers, as he joins Chelsea after the tournament.

Chelsea’s signing spree continued with the addition of Joao Pedro from Brighton, and the forward is likely to be available for selection. Missing out on selection would be Nicolas Jackson, who received a red card in the defeat against Flamengo.

Moises Caicedo is also suspended, which means Enzo Fernandez and Romeo Lavia are set man the double pivot in the 4-2-3-1 formation. Liam Delap could start up front, while Pedro Neto on the right wing and Cole Palmer in the hole behind the striker could lead Chelsea’s push for goals.

Neto has particularly been impressive in this tournament and leads all Chelsea players with three goals to his name. This has him tied for second in the top goalscorer race, trailing only Benfica's Angel Di Maria who sits top with four. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Palmeiras
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
Argentina F. Lopez (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal P. Neto (3 Goals)
Best assists
Colombia R. Rios (4 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina E. Fernandez (2 Assists)

Palmeiras - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Palmeiras saw three of their four matches in this competition end with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Palmeiras kept three clean sheets in their four Club World Cup matches in this tournament.
  3. Chelsea conceded one or fewer goals in three of their four matches in this competition.
  4. Six of Chelsea’s last nine matches in all competitions returned fewer than three goals during regular time.
  5. The only previous encounter between these sides ended 1-1 during regular time.
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Our Palmeiras vs Chelsea Prediction

Chelsea remain the only English Premier League side in the Club World Cup after Manchester City’s elimination. The Blues have already lost to a Brazilian side earlier in the competition (3-1 loss vs Flamengo). That could give Palmeiras a ray of hope, as they have a strong motive to do well, having lost to Chelsea in the 2021 edition final.

Three clean sheets in the four matches here underline their credentials as Palmeiras look to maintain the strong record of Brazilian sides against European teams here. Our Palmeiras vs Chelsea prediction is under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Palmeiras vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions

Pedro Neto to score anytime

Odds 3.75

Pedro Neto continues to impress in the Club World Cup with three goals in his last three matches. The last of those came in extra time against Benfica, but he could look to find the net during regular time here.

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Palmeiras vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions

The Palmeiras vs Chelsea FIFA Club World Cup quarter-finals match is scheduled for a 2 am UK Time kick-off on Saturday, July 5.
The Palmeiras vs Chelsea FIFA Club World Cup fixture will be played at the neutral venue of Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. It is the home stadium of the Philadelphia Eagles of the National Football League (NFL) and the Temple Owls football team of Temple University. It is part of the South Philadelphia Sports Complex and has a seating capacity of 67,594.

The British-based entertainment platform DAZN has got exclusive international broadcasting rights for the tournament. They are set to air all 63 fixtures for free via their internal streaming platform and TV channels.

You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our FIFA Club World Cup Livescore page!

The 2025 edition is set to be played in the United States from June 14 to July 13, 2025. This is the first time that the tournament is being played under an expanded format with 32 teams. That includes the winners of the four previous continental championships.
Apart from extending their stay in this tournament and be in contention for silverware, there’s a lot of prize money on offer. Reaching the quarter-finals has increased the earnings for the clubs by US $13.125 million, but if they move to the last four, it will get a further boost by US $21 million.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Palmeiras vs Chelsea Prediction
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