Europe - Champions League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Champions League Predictions
The beauty of the UEFA Champions League comes on show in matchday two action as minnows Pafos play host to German giants Bayern Munich at the Alphamega Stadium in Kolossi, Cyprus. Both teams had unbeaten starts to the league phase and will have targets to keep that going in this match. Are we about to witness one of the biggest Champions League shocks? Read on for our prediction.
Pafos, billed as heavy underdogs, did well on their Champions League debut, drawing Greek giants Olympiacos. With an xG of 0.29, the Cypriots only got one shot on target and had less than 35% average ball possession. They have to plan out an even better defensive performance against Bayern.
The Germans are coming off a strong run to start their season, breaking records along the way. The Bavarians will definitely be in no mood to entertain a possible upset, especially after thrashing world champions Chelsea on matchday one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Pafos FC v Bayern Munich Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
23 | 9.5 | 1.11 |
|
|
21 | 10 | 1.13 |
|
|
17 | 8.5 | 1.12 |
|
|
19 | 9 | 1.11 |
|
|
25 | 10.5 | 1.09 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Pafos FC and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the Pafos FC vs Bayern Munich match is: Bayern Munich to win and over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/09/2025 between Pafos FC and Bayern Munich in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.75% for a win of Pafos FC against Bayern Munich with odds of 25 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Pafos FC vs Bayern Munich is 15.09% with odds of 10.5 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Pafos FC with odds of 1.13 at Betfred.
Pafos FC - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Pafos FC Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 58.15% | 1.13 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.02% | 1.28 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 59.52% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 27.94% | 1.5 at Ladbrokes |
Pafos FC vs Bayern Munich Form
Pafos FC and Bayern Munich's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
|
20
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3 |
Pafos FC and Bayern Munich Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Cypriot First Division
24 Sept 2025 - Cypriot First Division
21 Sept 2025 - Cypriot First Division
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Cypriot First Division
31 Aug 2025 - Cypriot First Division
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Cypriot First Division
24 Sept 2025 - Cypriot First Division
13 Sept 2025 - Cypriot First Division
26 Aug 2025 - Champions League
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Cypriot First Division
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
31 Aug 2025 - Cypriot First Division
19 Aug 2025 - Champions League
5 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2025 - Telekom Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
16 Aug 2025 - German Super Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
Pafos FC - Bayern Munich: Form Analysis
In only their second match in their Champions League main draw career, Pafos are set to meet six-time champions. Tests don’t come sterner than this.
The Cypriots will have to look back to the top-drawer upsets we had in the competition before and seek some inspiration, but a home win here seems impossible.
Away from home in the first round, Pafos held their own in the 0-0 draw with Olympiacos. This will be more than double that test, but at least they can count on home support. After their draw on matchday one, Pafos have gone on three straight wins to warm up for this game.
In eight matches this season, Bayern have as many wins and has scored 30 goals.
Bayern Munich will leave for Cyprus off the back of eight wins in as many matches this season. They have scored 30 times in those eight outings, and they will be looking to rise above their struggles on the road last season.
Their campaign in Europe started with a 3-1 thrashing of Chelsea at home. At the moment they seem unstoppable, and they just claimed their first clean sheet in three matches in a 4-0 win against Werder Bremen.
It was just their third clean sheet in eight matches, but the Bavarians in their current shape are unplayable.
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Pafos FC against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Pafos FC & Bayern Munich Squad Analysis
Pafos paid a heavy price for their defensive approach in the first round. In the opening half hour, Bruno had already seen two yellow cards for rough play. His sending-off rules him out of this game.
Given Pafos were going to line up defensively, Bruno would have been needed more in his half anyway. Replacing him shouldn’t be a problem, therefore. Jaja is the other Brazilian to look out for here.
Performing defensive duties, he was outstanding in Greece, winning nine of his 20 duels in clean tackles.
Former Brazil international David Luiz was injured on matchday one and the ex-Arsenal man could miss this.
Harry Kane will undoubtedly be the star attraction in this game. The Englishman has now scored 100 goals for Bayern since leaving Tottenham Hotspur.
This record is even more incredible considering he’s played 104 games for Bayern Munich. The Englishman has already scored 15 goals this season, playing seven games, and added to them three assists.
This definitely looks like those matches the striker grabs more than a goal. Also in attack, Michael Olise has been doing well. The Frenchman has seven goal involvements and will once again be a player to watch.
Most goals and assists
Pafos FC
Bayern Munich
V. Dragomir
(4 Goals)
, 
D. Quina
(4 Goals)
H. Kane
(22 Goals)
K. Sema
(1 Assists)
M. Olise
(6 Assists)
Pafos FC - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Bayern Munich are on eight straight wins this season.
- Bayern Munich have averaged 3.75 goals per game this season.
- Pafos are winless in the last two Champions League matches.
- Bayern lost just twice in their last 10 Champions League matches.
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Our Pafos FC vs Bayern Munich Prediction
There aren’t many reasons to want to rule out a heavy win for Bayern Munich here. They are coming off a high win, beating Werder Bremen 4-0 and taking their tally of goals to 30 in just eight matches.
In such form, not even playing away from home will be an impediment. The fact that they are facing debutants at this stage makes it much easier for the German giants. Our prediction for Pafos v Bayern Munich is for Bayern Munich to win and over 3.5 goals.
Pafos FC vs Bayern Munich - Other Interesting Predictions
Harry Kane to score
Harry Kane has been on fire this season and come here off the back of netting his 100th goal for Bayern Munich. The Germans will want to make the most of his current form, so we expect Vincent Kompany to start the English forward. Kane already has an xG of 5.64, and in our second prediction we say Harry Kane to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Pafos FC Bayern Munich
| Pafos FC vs Bayern Munich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos FC wins | 19 | 23 | +21.1% |
| Draw | 9 | 9.5 | +5.6% |
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.11 | 1.11 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 90.1% and is now 90.1% (0.0%)
Win free tickets to Pafos FC vs. Bayern Munich at Bet365!
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To be in with a chance of winning tickets to any of the UEFA Champions League matchdays throughout the 2025/26 season, all fans must do is enter into the free-to-enter weekly ticket draws on the bet365 website or app*.
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Pafos FC vs Bayern Munich match : Frequently asked questions
The Pafos v Bayern Munich match will be played on Tuesday, 30 September.
The Pafos v Bayern Munich match will be played at the Alphamega Stadium in Limassol.
The Pafos v Bayern Munich match will be aired live on CYTA in Cyprus, while German fans can get it on DAZN and Amazon Prime. On the Sportytrader UEFA Champions League portal we will have the match updates.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
