ATP - ATP Umag Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Qualifier Pablo Llamas Ruiz bids to reach the semi-final of the outdoor clay court Croatia Open. To do so, he must defeat the third seed Camilo Ugo Carabelli who is in great form at present. Can Ruiz cause an upset? Time for our match prediction.
Ruiz has been the surprise package in Umag. The latest rankings have him outside the top 550.. The 22-year-old Spaniard probably didn't imagine this run when going a set down in his opening qualifying match,
Since then, he hasn't looked back and in the main draw hasn't lost a set and in round one defeated seventh-seeded Kamil Majchrzak. He's now up to 363rd in the live rankings. His only other quarter-final this year was on the Challenger Tour.
Carabelli lost his only previous match against Ruiz. That was in 2021 on clay but he retired in the second set. He's in much better form now and a win here will take him into his second successive ATP Tour clay court semi-final.
The 26-year-old is now up to a career-high 51st in the live rankings. This week has seen him beat Francesco Passaro. He lost the first set on a tie-break but only dropped five games in the next two sets.
We tip Carabelli to win this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.8 | 2 |
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1.8 | 2 |
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1.8 | 2 |
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1.75 | 2 |
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1.8 | 2.02 |
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Who will win the Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli match is: Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli game on 24/07/2025 of the current ATP Umag Open season:
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz has a 56.75% chance to win against Camilo Ugo Carabelli according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 1.9.
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 43.25% probability of winning facing Pablo Llamas Ruiz ⭐ with odds of 2.02 at Unibet.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Pablo Llamas Ruiz has a 56.75 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 56.75 % |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 43.25 % |
Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Form
Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
22 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
21 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
20 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
19 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
14 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
13 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
22 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
19 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
18 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
15 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Points
- Carabelli is 312 places ahead of his opponent in the live rankings.
- Carabelli is attempting to reach his second successive clay court semi-final.
- The only previous quarter-final Ruiz has reached this year was on the Challenger Tour.
- This year has seen Carabelli reach three ATP Tour semi-finals and win a Challenger Tour event, all on clay.
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Our Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has had a consistent year on clay courts. He got to the last four in Bastad last week and is again going deep in Umag. He had to battle hard in his first match against a much-higher ranked player than Ruiz.
His opponent has had to play for six hours to get to this stage. It's only his second quarter-final of the year and his first on the ATP Tour since April 2024. He will find this tough against an in-form player. Our Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Camilo Ugo Carabelli predictionis Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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