Pablo Carreño-Busta vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters
ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions
For the first time in six years, unseeded Pablo Carreno Busta takes on the fourth-seed Felix Auger-Aliassime. The pair meet in the third round of the outdoor hard court Shanghai Masters. Busta is regularly winning sets in his matches and Auger-Aliassime has been a bit shaky of late. Our prediction is that Busta wins a set.
The winner will take on either 14th seed Learner Tien or 20th-seeded Casper Ruud in round four.
Pablo Carreno Busta was 65th in the last ranking list, that's compared to his opponent's sixth position.
The Spaniard has played two matches so far in this tournament, both going to a deciding set after he lost the opening set.
In the last round, he defeated 29th seed Alejandro Tabilo. He has won a set in eight of his last ten completed matches.
The only previous match between these two players saw Auger-Aliassime win in straight sets, that was played on an indoor hard court.
The Canadian took nearly three hours to win his first match in this tournament. He beat unseeded Camilo Ugo Carabelli, needing to win sets two and three.
This is his first time in round three of an outdoor hard court tournament since Cincinnati in August.
He's lost a set in each of his last seven matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Pablo Carreño-Busta v Felix Auger Aliassime Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
3.7 | 1.29 |
|
|
3.65 | 1.3 |
|
|
3.6 | 1.29 |
|
|
3.64 | 1.29 |
|
|
3.64 | 1.29 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
Who will win the Pablo Carreño-Busta vs Felix Auger Aliassime Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Pablo Carreño-Busta vs Felix Auger Aliassime match is: Pablo Carreno Busta wins a set
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Pablo Carreño-Busta vs Felix Auger Aliassime game on 12/10/2026 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:
- Pablo Carreño-Busta has a 35.78% chance to win against Felix Auger Aliassime according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 3.75.
- Felix Auger Aliassime has a 64.22% probability of winning facing Pablo Carreño-Busta ⭐ with odds of 1.3 at 1xbet.
Pablo Carreño-Busta vs Felix Auger Aliassime Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Pablo Carreño-Busta has a 35.78 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Pablo Carreño-Busta | 35.78 % |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 64.22 % |
Pablo Carreño-Busta vs Felix Auger Aliassime Form
Pablo Carreño-Busta and Felix Auger Aliassime Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
10 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
8 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
2 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
29 Sept 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
28 Sept 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
10 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
29 Sept 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
18 Sept 2026 - Davis Cup
3 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
19 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Pablo Carreño-Busta - Felix Auger Aliassime Key Points
- Busta has already beaten one seed in this tournament.
- Busta has won at least one set in eight of his last ten completed matches.
- Auger-Aliassime has lost a set in each of his last seven matches.
- Three of Auger-Aliassime's last four matches have gone to a deciding set.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Pablo Carreño-Busta vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction
Felix Auger-Aliassime is the seeded player here, but he has been struggling for form in recent weeks. He's twice lost to Karen Khachanov and had to battle from a set down to defeat Camilo Ugo Carabelli in his opening match in this Shanghai Masters.
Pablo Carreno Busta has had to play for five-and-a-half hours to win his two matches in Shanghai. The latter saw him defeat seeded player Alejandro Tabilo. He has a chance of causing problems here and our Pablo Carreno Busta v Felix Auger-Aliassime prediction is Pablo Carreno Busta wins a set.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Pablo Carreño-Busta vs. Felix Auger Aliassime game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Pablo Carreño-Busta and Felix Auger Aliassime? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's ATP Shanghai Masters! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
