Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

Tommy Paul USA
Tommy Paul ATP 18
12/10/2026 07:10
Valentin Vacherot
Valentin Vacherot ATP 14

Prediction :

 

Valentin Vacherot wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions

17th seed Valentin Vacherot continues the defence of his Shanghai Masters tournament. The third round will see him face 15th seed Tommy Paul in this outdoor hard court tournament. Vacherot has shown improved form in recent weeks and our prediction is that he will win this match.

In the last 16, the winner will take on either second seed Carlos Alcaraz or unseeded Zizou Bergs.

Valentin Vacherot was the shock winner of this tournament last year after having to qualify to get into the main draw. He is the world number 17, but down at 32nd in the live rankings due to the points he's defending. In the run up to this tournament, he was a semi-finalist in Tokyo.

His one match in this tournament saw him beat Sebastian Baez in straight sets.

Tommy Paul was two places above his opponent in the latest rankings. He has reached one outdoor hard court final this year in Delray Beach. He also made it to the last four in Adelaide and two other quarter-finals, but his form in recent weeks hasn't been good.

He'd lost his last two matches including winning just three games against Alejandro Tabilo.

Round two here saw him beat Adolfo Daniel Vallejo in straight sets.

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Tommy Paul v Valentin Vacherot Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.67 2.22
1xbet
1.68 2.23
Melbet
1.67 2.21
Betwinner
1.67 2.21
Bet365
1.67 2.2
Check all Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot odds

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Who will win the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot match is: Valentin Vacherot wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot game on 12/10/2026 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:

  • Tommy Paul has a 56.26% chance to win against Valentin Vacherot according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.68.
  • Valentin Vacherot has a 43.74% probability of winning facing Tommy Paul ⭐ with odds of 2.23 at 1xbet.

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tommy Paul has a 56.26 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Tommy Paul56.26 %
Valentin Vacherot43.74 %

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Form

Tommy Paul and Valentin Vacherot Last Matches

Tommy Paul Last matches
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

10 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

30 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Alejandro Tabilo
2 :  0
Tommy Paul

6 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open

Tommy Paul
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

4 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  3
Tommy Paul

2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open

Dino Prizmic
1 :  3
Tommy Paul

30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open

Coleman Wong
1 :  3
Tommy Paul
Valentin Vacherot Last matches
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

10 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Valentin Vacherot

5 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Jiri Lehecka
2 :  0
Valentin Vacherot

4 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Valentin Vacherot
2 :  1
Arthur Fils

1 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Valentin Vacherot
2 :  1
Stefanos Tsitsipas

29 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Valentin Vacherot
2 :  0
Alexander Blockx

26 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Valentin Vacherot
0 :  2
Lloyd Harris
Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction

Tommy Paul - Valentin Vacherot Key Points

  1. Vacherot is the defending champion in this tournament.
  2. Vacherot was a semi-finalist in Tokyo in his most recent tournament.
  3. Paul had lost his last two matches before this tournament.
  4. Paul only won three games when being beaten by Alejandro Tabilo in Tokyo,
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Our Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction

Can Tommy Paul dethrone Valentin Vacherot?  He has had good results on this surface in 2026, but he's only reached one quarter-final since March. His last two matches had been lost before he defeated Adolfo Daniel Vallejo in round two here. He could well win a set in this match.

Valentin Vacherot won this tournament last year and is going well again in 2026. The semi-finals were reached in Tokyo in his last tournament and he had a good win over Sebastian Baez in his first match here. Our Tommy Paul v Valentin Vacherot prediction is Valentin Vacherot wins.

Prediction :

 

Valentin Vacherot wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.